Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
Anyone want to take a stab at ranking the incoming rookie class? Just for fun as it's mostly a guessing game at this point. But if you do rank them, please clarify if you are talking about re-draft or dynasty leagues.
8) J Ennis
10) Randle (Unless LA screws up and starts Boozer at Center. In that case Randle would start at PF and I'd move him up into the top 3-5 on my personal list)
13) Smart (Skyrockets up my list of Celts trade Rondo and don't get a starting PG in return.)
I'm sure my list will change a few times before the season starts, but that's my 1st rough guess. And this would be for re-draft leagues. In dynasty formats I'd have guys like Exum, Smart and Harris higher.
Nobody is going to trade a healthy top 40 player for a guy who just snapped his leg in half! I'd tend to agree that he is likely to return to fantasy dominance, but that is NOT guaranteed.
If you owned 1 of these top 40 SF's would YOU trade them for George right now?
^^Those are the only SF eligible players currently ranekd in teh top 40 by Yahoo. Personally the only one I'd consider trading away for a guy with a broken leg would be Rudy Gay.
I'd probably drop Marshall and Ross. Ross is the most expendable to me, since he's basically a 3 point specialist with a pretty bad FG%. You can find someone else that can get you 3's very easily. But Ross doesn't do enough else to be worth owning IMO. If he could up his peripherals like PTS,REBS, ASTS or get over 1 steal per game, or up his FG% into the 45 range then it would be adifferent story. But that's a lot to have to go right before I'd consider owning him in a 12 team league unless it was a last resort. But looking at your roster it makes even less sense to keep him since you'll have plenty of 3 point shooters like Melo, Ariza, Green, Hardway, J-cross, Carroll and Dragic even.
I'd go with Marshall as your other drop, mainly because I don't see him duplicating his numbers from last year with the Lakers again in Milwaukee. They have Brandon Knight who will either start at PG over Marshall, or maybe at SG with Marshall starting. But even in that scenario, Knight and Parker will want the ball in their hands a lot, cutting down on Marshall's possession time, and therefore his opportunity for 3's and assists. And if Kidd is serious about giving Giannis run at PG, that will hurt Marshall even more. I doubt that will happen, but I won't put anything past Kidd, he's a moron.
IMO there is still a chance that Marshall will have fantasy success, but that chance isn't high enough for me to keep him over guys like Green, Carroll or Giannis.
Just my opinion though. Who knows? Maybe Antetkounmpo will be a big bust this year and Marshall will average 2 3's and 11 assists per game lol.
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OK, so, if I were to keep 5 of your current players and not make any trades I would keep:
Kyle Lowry, Nicolas Batum, Paul Millsap, Ryan Anderson and Eric Bledsoe.
Although I do have concerns about some of them. I already talked about Millsap but still think even with a dip in production he's worth keeping. Anderson I'm concerned with because of his injury and time off. Not sure if he'll come back 100% from day 1, or will take time to get back into it? Also, with Asik taking most of the center minutes and Davis taking most of the PF minutes, I'd be worried about Anderson's playing time taking a slight dip. He'll still get minutes, probably at both F positions, but he could very well be closer to the 28-30 MPG mark, than the 36MPG mark. I also know there were "rumors" of N.O. shopping him in trade talks before the draft. If they are still trying to trade him, that could effect his fantasy value 1 way or the other?
I REALLY like Horford and think he'll be great this year but with no 3 point shot and no % categories to increase his value, I think his value takes a few rounds of a hit in your league, making him expendable IMO. Same with Vucevic and Lopez.
Kawhi and Thad are big ?'s for me. In this league I don't think I'd take Kawhi because his %'s and low TO's don't boost his value. BUT he could have an increased role and still is a great overall player with nice 3 PT %, so that's a tough call.
Thad had great stats on a horrible team last year. His increased 3 point shooting really took him up a level in value. I'm a BIG fan of him in real life, but if he goes to Minnesota he just won't have the same value. Having Rubio, Martin, Wiggins and Pekovic on the court with you is a little different than MCW and D-leaguers.
As far as trading goes, depending on the strategy and needs of the other managers, some combo of 2 or 3 of the guys you don't plan on keeping would be extremely fair value for someone trying to trade a stud for depth. Good luck!
I've never played with those type of categories, but I would assume that Kyle Lowry would be your most valuable player ( I know you said Millsap was on your comment, but the way I look at it, Lowry has MUCH more value). He had 2.4 3PTM last year compared to Millsap's 1. He also shot the 3 at 38%, which is better than Millsap's lower %/ lower volume shooting. He also had a total of 31.7 combined points when you add up all other categories. Millsap did a little better with a combined total of 32.3. But that was without Al Horford, and basically nobody competing with him for minutes. With a healthy Horford who is a 1st/2nd round value by himself, and someone like Adrienne Payne to at least compete for rotational minutes, I see Millsap's overall value dropping SLIGHTLY this season. Not drastically, but I do see it going down, while Lowry's should stay the same IMO. He wanted to be in Toronto, and his only competitors (Vasquez and Lou-Will) can both play off the ball. I know that MIllsap did have the highly coveted 1/1/1 with 3's, steals an blocks, but I still think Lowry will have more overall value this season.
Anyway, that was off topic and didn't answer your question. I just recently got back into the fantasy b-ball mode and wanted to share my $0.02.... Will reply again soon with my actual opinion on who to keep lol.
I'd drop Marshall and Green.
However, be mindful of where you're drafting....dropping Green or Ross for a pick outside the top 5 isn't worth it. Better to trade for the rookie(s) you believe in during the season during an inevitable downswing.
Darko Saric - If he drops, it's your gain. Wait out the year.
KJ McDaniels - Minutes, minutes, minutes, good, well-rounded college stats. Was a 2014 second round pick.
CleAnthony Early - Same reasons as above (though not as good)
Rodney Hood - He'll take most of Alec Burks' minutes.
Picking from your list - Batum, Horford, Leonard, Lowry, and Anderson.
Depending on your risk tolerance and time frame, go trade for Paul George. You're thought process seems good. You have a bunch of so-so keepers, go get some surefire stars. Start you trades with offering Milsap.
I'm in a very similar situation - owning George in a dynasty league. I won't be sending offers to try and trade PG. I've built a very good team trading FOR injured players at reduced values. I got Kevin Love when he broke his hand two years ago, Dwayne Wade this past year (for basically nothing), and Anthony Davis at a slightly reduced value during on of his injury issues.
You're trying to build an every year contender. Don't fall into a one-year trap.
To note, I also have guys like Curry, Wall, Drummond, Hayward, Giannis, and more on this team, so while the loss of PG hurts, it doesn't kill my team.
Of the guys you mentioned as trade targets, the only one I'd consider is Drummond.
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