Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
I like it. I haven't paid any attention to Jackson for a couple of seasons, so I'm surprised that he isn't quite the big stolen base option I thought he'd be (I assumed he had a 30 sb season under his belt by now). Looking at his numbers, though, I think Ozuna will be a great replacement. Hopefully AJax gets things going, otherwise he is not a very exciting option.
Yeah, who knows. It's amazing how quickly a guy can go from super-productive closer to just another bullpen piece (see: Chris Perez, Brian Wilson, Edward Mujica, etc). But when someone in my league dropped JJ, it seemed like a no-brainer to burn a roster spot that I wasn't using anyway.
I can't disagree with you about closer options, etc.
I think my point was more that JJ seems like a better spec add than most other guys. Unlike a Cubs or maybe Mets situation, where the role really does seem up for grabs, it seems like the A's would be most likely to circle back to their original closer.
People were talking about Cook a couple of weeks ago, but I think he had something like 7 blown saves in each of the last two seasons - that tells me that the A's tried to give him a shot at the role and he just couldn't capitalize.
Again, I see your side of it. I just have a hard time believing that the A's won't try to put their money guy back in the 9th inning.
Last 4 appearances:
5 2/3 IP
13:2 GB:FB; for the preceding 4 appearances it was 5:7 GB:FB
Obviously he was terrible earlier on. Yes, guys get paid and don't perform, but something else that happens all the time is closers going through rough patches. Looks to me like JJ hit his rough patch and is in the process of righting the ship.
I'm not sure if I'd use a high waiver pick on him, but he'll surely become closer again right? There's no way a team gives a pitcher "closer" money and then doesn't give him a chance to regain the role.
I agree with John that Iwakuma and Kimbrel would be fair. But for a starting point, I say offer just Iwakuma. Fielder has been terrible this year, so why not leave out the elite closer when making the initial offer? The other owner can always come back to you with a counter.
This isn't an extensive analysys, but...
Prince's cold start definitely isn't helping you. I bought into Lawrie this year, but he's definitely not someone you want as your starting 3b right now (although I guess he's just in there to fill in for Zimmerman). Your outfield is very solid, but lacking power - AJax, Choo, Martin, Yelich aren't home run hitters, and Springer can't carry your team.
You can definitely drop Shawn Kelley, with Robertson coming back to they Yankees' closer role. Grab another 3b - I know Moustakas has been terrible this year, but I'm extremely intrigued by his advanced stats and think he could heat up at any time, if he's available in your league. If not, maybe Plouffe? I'm not sure if he can keep up his production but he has some numbers in his past that suggest he could be better than most of us think. Nick Castellanos is also available in over half of leagues - not exactly a heavy hitter, but he's playing every day and heck, he's doing better than Lawrie.
I can't imagine sitting Prince, but at this moment I kind of like a 1b-UTIL combo of Rizzo/Tex over Prince/Rizzo.
I think Marcell Ozuna could add some pop to your outfield while not being a batting average liability. Drop Hutchison for Ozuna. I know Hutchison has been good, and I grabbed him for his last start, but I don't want anything to do with him against the Orioles for his next start. I don't think Hutchison will immediately get snapped up in a 12 team league - but if he does, good luck to the owner who starts him against Baltimore.
Just some thoughts!
I didn't think the Cubs would bother to go back to Veras, but I guess they're not excited about anyone else either. Maybe he finds his way back into that role, so if you have a free spot then maybe he's worth an add for now. I wouldn't be very thrilled to own Veras anyway, but a closer is a closer I suppose.
On a kind of related note: I grabbed Jim Johnson the other day, and I'm keeping him around even though the A's closer situation isn't getting any clearer. I'll drop Johnson if I there's another pitcher or position player I want to take a chance on - but since I don't have any short term needs right now, I'll keep JJ around in case there's a new development there.
Morse! He's playing every day, although it seems he does get removed late in ballgames. Morneau isn't hitting for much power any more, and he's not playing every day.
In fact, looking at the shorter term, here's what CBS Fantasy Baseball says about each one this week:
Just when Fantasy owners were ready to buy into him with his hot start through two weeks, Morse went into hiding, batting .125 (2 for 16) in his last five games. If he really is back to full health, though, his slumps shouldn't last long, judging by his .296 batting average with the Nationals from 2010 to 2012. His favorable matchups this week include three games at Coors Field, where he's 20 for 40 in his career and two games against the unstable Carlos Carrasco and erratic Danny Salazar. Give him another shot, why don't you?
If you're trolling the waiver wire for help at first base -- and woe to you in that unlikely event -- Morneau's .346 and .924 OPS will probably catch your attention. But don't be lured by his lofty percentages. The reason he's available is because his totals are lacking, and the reason they're lacking is because he doesn't play every day. Michael Cuddyer has already spelled him four times this year, most often against left-handers. The Rockies have three of those on tap this week. Plus, the matchups aren't so good to begin with against the Giants and Dodgers.
I rest my case!
That's a bit tricker, because Howard is showing some decent power this year. But I just don't trust that guy anymore.
It seems crazy to want Dunn over Howard or Tex. But to me, he's the only one who's producing at a decent level, and the one who could feasibly keep up some semblance of this production through the season. He's the only one of the three who's been healthy for multiple consecutive years, and his power has always been legit.
But really, I'm just a guy on the internet. I'm no expert. When it comes to these three, if your goal is to get rid of Dunn and land one of these other heavy hitting 1B, your guess is as good as mine as to which will ultimately have the best season.
Sorry, I was about to answer but realized I'm not quite sure if you mean try to get Howard by offering Dunn, or if you mean trying to get Tex by offering Howard.
I mean, I'm not sure that it's really buy low. We know that Tex is no longer a .290/30hr guy; he's .260/25hr at best - and with his wrist injury and what he's said about it (he doesn't trust his wrist), I don't think anyone expects even those power numbers.
I didn't think that Dunn was going to be able to get much done in Chicago with Abreu taking over at 1B, but .260 with 3hr doesn't seem beyond his abilities. If your league deducts points for strikeouts, I guess I could see how Tex might be an upgrade. But in terms of avg and power, I would trust Dunn to show a lot more power while not falling as short in avg as we might expect, given Tex's decline.
That's an interesting question. I guess there are people who would laugh and say "Springer of course." But I own Pineda and I'm confident that he's going to be a really productive pitcher all season - the innings are a bit of a question, but it doesn't seem like the Yankees are particularly concerned.
Springer obviously has huge potential, but he has not done anything in the major leagues; his value will probably never be higher than it is right now, with people being excited about his possibilities. (He's clearly had sustained success even with his 25% k rate, but I have no clue how that's going to translate to the majors.)
Overall I think right now, Springer could have probably landed a better pitcher than Pineda - for this reason, I think the Springer side did better. But I believe both teams are getting young, productive players with a lot of upside.
I prefer the Simmons for Robertson deal for you. Desmond and Kimbrel are both really high end guys, and in that case I prefer the top-tier position player over the elite closer.
I like Rendon and regret dropping him before the season started. Lohse has been productive so far and is usually a fairly reliable contributor. They're a couple of useful pieces.
Having said that, I think it was a smart and bold move to trade these two for Craig. Craig was drafted as a top-8 1B, and although he isn't looking good so far this year I think he's worth a shot for what you had to give up. I think Lohse's roster space can now be used to stream pitchers and it'll work out completely fine for you; Rendon could fulfill the hype surrounding him, but I don't mind the tradeoff for what Craig could give you.
Definitely Upton. With Springer, Gordon, and Desmond, I don't think you need Marte's stolen base potential - those three, plus the odd steal here and there from your other guys, should be enough from week to week. I'd much rather have Upton's production upside.
Side note: for what it's worth, Upton is only one season removed from multiple consecutive 18-20 sb seasons!
Nah. I don't think he's worth a high waiver pick.
If you really need steals, though, I could see picking him up as a FA and dropping Lindstrom.
Here are the cases for Crain and Germen:
Crain has been touted as the eventual closer for the Astros since spring training. Everything that I've read has said that he's the clear choice once he's back. He should be pitching in extended spring training in the next couple of days (per Mike Hurcumb, CBS Fantasy Sports, 4/6), and then won't be long before he's back. I don't like the idea of owning a Houston closer just because there won't be many opps, but that's why I passed on Cishek last year and he turned out alright.
Germen is only a good bet because... Valverde has to lose that job evenutally, right? At that point, the choices are Farnsworth, Carlos Torres, and Germen. I don't see Farnsworth closing; Torres is 32 years old and while he's striking out a lot of guys his baa is .273 and his whip is 1.5. Germen makes sense to me as a young guy who is proving his abilities in the majors this year.
Neither of these guys seem like they'll get a shot at their teams' closer roles in the very near future. If I wanted them, I don't think I'd be worried about getting a jump on them just yet, but I'd probably start keeping my ear to the ground on Crain's rehab and Valverde's struggles (or lack thereof).
- Reply to alex g Apr 16, 2014 10:06 PM
I wouldn't have done it, but I don't mind the trade if you believe that heavily in Abreu.
Walker would have been nice to keep around, but whatever - at this point it doesn't look like he'll be back to the majors until mid-May at the absolute earliest. The extra roster spot could allow you to stream guys and pick up stats in the meantime. Maybe you find someone worth hanging onto.
We know that Fielder is very capable of hitting .300/30/100 against major league pitching. While Abreu has put up crazy stats in Cuban and international competition, he hasn't done it against this kind of pitching, nor does it appear that he's done it over anything close to a 162 game season.
I can easily see Fielder and Abreu putting up similar stats. I think I'd just prefer to hold on to the consistent major leaguer over the unproven but exciting import.