Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
- TK from LA TK from LA May 27, 2016 5:48 PM Flag
As always, the answer lies with the data found at Fangraphs. So far this season, Votto's BABIP is a meager .254, which is 100 points below his career average. That suggests rebound coming. However, the data also show that his K rate is significantly elevated from years past, and his BB rate is lower than normal. As to his batted-ball profile, he is hitting more ground balls and fewer line drives. Not great. Overall, however, I expect his BABIP to normalize and his average to increase significantly. Better average means more R's and RBI's. Finally, his HR rate is still pretty good. So the answer is ... probably.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 27, 2016 2:15 PM Flag
Care to explain why Goldschmidt had such good seasons in 2013 and 2014 (before injury), when Pollock was a complete non-factor?
- TK from LA TK from LA May 16, 2016 3:08 PM Flag
That sucks. I guess Terry Collins figures he will get better at a task by NOT doing it. Hey, if that's true, then I should be able to dominate as a major league hitter!!
- TK from LA TK from LA May 16, 2016 2:53 PM Flag
Fair point. But his minor league splits show he hit lefties to the tune of .333/.414/.490 for a .904 OPS in 2015 and .324/.444/.378 for an .823 OPS in 2014. So I think he improves vs. lefties this season.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 16, 2016 2:15 PM Flag
Fowler is the beneficiary of an absolutely unsustainable BABIP of .429. When his BABIP comes back down to earth, he reverts to who he is - a guy with a nice (not great) BA, some SB's and a lot of runs, just like 2015. Jones meanwhile has a BABIP about 20 points below his career average and who is now reverting to his norm and hitting HR's. Jones can improve his present production, Fowler cannot maintain his current level. Always look to get a guy who is going to improve to career norms and trade the guy on an unsustainable hot streak - do the deal. As to the SP'ers ... both are lower-tier guys. Maeda has benefitted from an unsustainable BABIP of .237 and a 90% strand rate. Those will normalize, and make Maeda the guy he is with a 3.80 FIP. I stay away from guys with a 2.30 ERA and 3.80 FIP. That stuff will normalize to the negative.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 16, 2016 2:04 PM Flag
What is the rest of your roster? Roto or H2H? Is Conforto your "worst" player? If so, you must have the best team ever assembled, since as Matt pointed out, Conforto is a legit 4-category producer who is likely to wind up being a top-120 player at the end of the year.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 11, 2016 3:10 PM Flag
So #$%$'s brilliant comments about how terrible Segura will be this year? 18 R, 5 HR, 17 RBI, 4 SB, .350/.377/.536 for an OPS of .912. Wow, horrid.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 11, 2016 11:35 AM Flag
Me? I think Nola is a significant upgrade over Shields, while Gonzalez is going to give very similar production to Beltre. I am guessing your league has CI? Also, does the league feature holds? If not, then Betances has pretty limited value.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 11, 2016 11:29 AM Flag
That is my thinking. I already have Trout and Goldschmidt. and when Goldy returns to norm, I feel like I will have 3 of the top 10 fantasy players on my squad.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 9:01 PM Flag
Team 2 and it's not close. First rule in fantasy baseball trades, "Whoever gets the best player wins." Here, team 2 gets the TWO best players.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 8:59 PM Flag
What's the difference between Billy Hamilton and a can of spam? One is ugly, useless meat that provides no value and would make any reasonable person choke. The other is a food product.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 8:56 PM Flag
I like my end of the deal, no doubt. But I tell you, I run two teams and have Belt on both. He is an OBP monster who is quietly going to post 20 HR, 90 RBI and 100 R's.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 8:24 PM Flag
Ramos should not be a FA in any league. He is a legit closer with excellent ratios. As to a batter - Ozuna is quietly hitting HR's and producing 4 categories over the past three weeks.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 8:19 PM Flag
I kinda like A. Liriano gives up too many baserunners, and Iwakuma is running on borrowed time. Gray, Odirizzi and Gonzalez are all legit arms who will give you K's, ERA, WHIP. Pitcher wins are simply too mercurial to go into the analysis.
- TK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 8:16 PM Flag
I hear 'ya, and like my return. Arenado is a 4-category stud. But in this league, two significant bats like Belt and Pence mean a lot since basically nothing is available on the FA wire with all of the roster spots.
- Reply to Jamie May 10, 2016 4:04 PMTK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 6:44 PM Flag
Word of advice ... in 10-team dual league - heck in a 20-team dual league - don't have Billy Hamilton wasting a roster spot. He crushes your HR, RBI, BA, OBP totals, gives a few runs (not enough) and some SB's. Pass ... imaging having Villar as your Util player. Except that Villar is better.
- Reply to Larry May 9, 2016 10:50 PMTK from LA TK from LA May 10, 2016 6:41 PM Flag
If you insist on dealing Cutch for starting pitching (I wouldn't), then #2. Syndergaard's stuff is just stupid-good and his K rate blows Cueto out of the water.
Expert Fantasy Advice
Talking Brandon Belt and a look around the league. … More »