Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 23, 2016 6:03 PM Flag
Player A: 23 R, 6 HR, 12 RBI's, 10 SB's, .236/.271/.393
Player B: 25 R, 13 HR, 32 RBI's, 0 SB's, .211/.311/.437
Which player has more fantasy value?
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 23, 2016 5:58 PM Flag
"Marisnick is better than Springer."
Let's see ...
Player A 13 R, 1 HR, 6 RBI's, 3 SB, .180 BA
Player B 49 R, 15 HR, 41 RBI's, 6 SB, .260 BA
Guess which is which. You were saying?
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 22, 2016 2:33 PM Flag
"Rosario has 4 HR and 5 SB while batting .339 in 29 games in AAA Rochester this season." You must be kicking #$%$ in International League fantasy.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 21, 2016 8:26 PM Flag
So you are saying it's a legitimate prediction based on what a player might have posted in the majors if he had been good enough to stay in the majors?
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 21, 2016 6:53 PM Flag
Oh, and great prediction on the Taylor/Rosario front ... combined 40 HR and 45 SB?? Uhhh, how about 9 HR's and 13 SB's combined thus far, where Rosario is now in the minors. Great call.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 21, 2016 6:51 PM Flag
Nope, earlier this year - you proclaimed the value of Jake Marisnick as compared to George Springer. April 6, 2016, you wrote, "Marisnick is superior to Springer." The internet is a wonderful thing.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 21, 2016 12:47 PM Flag
You predicted great things for Socrates Brito in your prediction thread. Oops. Hemlocked. You also touted Jake Marisnick over George Springer in a different thread. Oops again.
I think you would have greater success in your predictions if you separated hitters from pitchers, and with that limitation, simply put names in one hat, descriptive terms in a second ("will have more SB's," "will log a better WHIP," etc.), and have a monkey pull name one, pull the descriptive terms, and then pull a second name: "Jake Marisnick ... will have a higher BA than ... Mike Trout."
First, what the hell 10-team, squid league are you in? Anyway, if Taillon is available, pick him up. Cole left the Pirates' game with an injury so Taillon will be back very soon.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 10, 2016 7:07 PM Flag
Harris is going to be pretty good ROS. However, power is a commodity not found on the FA wire, and getting a guy who has 35 HR potential is solid. Stanton is really struggling, unlike any prior year. Hey, to add a ton of HR's in any competitive league, you have to roll the dice.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 10, 2016 6:26 PM Flag
Here are the facts: In leagues with 12 teams, CI, MI, 5 OF spots and Util, finding legit bats is ... difficult. Acquiring two high-tier hitters for one elite hitter is rarely the way to go in fantasy trades - UNLESS the league is very deep and productive players are hard to find. Belt and Pence are two top-75 players. Yes, Arenado is the best player in the deal, but getting two highly productive bats matters. (Though I did re-acquire Belt.)
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 10, 2016 3:39 PM Flag
The deals are pretty balanced in my view. I gave up value - Pence, Belt, Sano, Diaz, Semien, Ziegler. I think I got a solid return, but these deals are clearly not unfair or ill-advised.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 10, 2016 3:38 PM Flag
No - Taillion is 25 years old and a more polished pitcher. Glasnow is 22 and working on a 3rd pitch. Glasnow's curve is ridiculously good, and he deals 96-98 mph deep into games. Both are potential stud pitchers, but Glasnow is the guy who could fan 250 batters in 220 IP.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 10, 2016 3:03 PM Flag
Bucco fan here. Watched his start. Dealt 95-97 mph with a nasty curve. Hurt by a HR. Sent down after start, but he is back and in the rotation for good within 10 days. His stuff plays - Pirates score runs, he is going to be a solid SPer and will give good counting stats.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 10, 2016 2:57 PM Flag
I think that Colon is replaced by Wheeler, and the Mets now have a very capable long reliever capable of spot starts. At least I hope so ... I have kept Wheeler on my roster in NL-only auction league for two months and counting.
I have re-worked my roster, trying to win the league. 12 teams, with CI, MI, 5 OF spots, Util, 4 SPer, 3 RP spots, IP limit of 1450 so K ratio matters. Keeper league, with 5 keepers. I never keep pitching ... I always look to upgrade and keep hitting. Very tough to find legit producers on FA wire. Closers are impossible to find, and very often play a key role in who wins this very competitive league.
2 weeks ago, I dealt Pence and Belt for Arenado.
I just recently completed two additional deals:
Semien, Ziegler and Stroman for Verlander and C. Allen. I don't trust Stroman, and Ziegler does not fan enough guys for my liking.
Also, I just dealt Aledmys Diaz, M. Sano and Teheran for Belt and Scherzer.
I used my considerable depth at SS to upgrade my pitching - a lot. I now have a solid offense, built around Trout, Arenado, Goldschmidt, Belt, Blackmon, Parra, Conforto, the red-hot J. Profar, newly off-DL J. Peralta, and Odor. Good combination of power and speed. My upgraded pitching now features Syndergaard, Scherzer, Salazar, A. Sanchez (FA pick-up 6 weeks ago), Verlander, McCullers, Gomez, Allen, Vizcaino and (I hope) Perkins.
Presently in 2nd place with 94.5 points. Hope to make up ground in W's, saves, ERA and WHIP, and continue solid hitting.
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 1, 2016 3:32 PM Flag
Incaviglia, Kittle and Kingman are not Stanton comparables - not even close. Incaviglia posted a .249 BA and .313 OBP in his first 1000 games. Kittle posted a .239 BA and .306 OBP in his career covering 843 games. Kingman posted a .234 BA and .303 OBP in his first 1450 games. Stanton has a VASTLY superior BA (.267) and OBP (.360), together with the fact that he is still just 26 years old. OBP matters a ton - it means more runs, assured position in the line-up, more production. Your comparison is thereby demonstrably flawed ... are you not tired of me schooling you on statistics?
- TK from LA TK from LA Jun 1, 2016 3:22 PM Flag
Wait, what? Keon Broxton??? He's batting .086 with 20 K's in 35 at-bats. And Taylor Motter ... you mean the guy who is 1-13 in his last 6 games?? That guy?
- TK from LA TK from LA May 27, 2016 5:48 PM Flag
As always, the answer lies with the data found at Fangraphs. So far this season, Votto's BABIP is a meager .254, which is 100 points below his career average. That suggests rebound coming. However, the data also show that his K rate is significantly elevated from years past, and his BB rate is lower than normal. As to his batted-ball profile, he is hitting more ground balls and fewer line drives. Not great. Overall, however, I expect his BABIP to normalize and his average to increase significantly. Better average means more R's and RBI's. Finally, his HR rate is still pretty good. So the answer is ... probably.
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