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- Reply to Dick Strong Sep 17, 2015 12:24 AMSlappytheclown Slappytheclown Oct 12, 2015 8:17 PM Flag
He's 28, and he still doesn't hit lefties and that BABIP will come down bringing the avg. with it. I could see .270 with 20HR, but unless the Diamondbacks let him play everyday it's hard to see big time value. Worth a later round flier in 12 teamers though.
As topic says, players currently ranked below 250 that will be useful next year. 1=top 50, 2=50-100, 3=100-200, 4=200-275. Left out some of the more obvious ones, though some of these may be obvious.
W. Flores (3), Roughned Odur (3), Kiermaier (3), Deshields (3), Suarez (4), Ellsbury (2), J. Harrison (2), Schoop (3), D. Travis (2), Cuddyer (4), Lucroy (2), Ozuna (2), P. tucker (2), Guyer (4), Dietrich (3), Conforto (3), Dom Santana (2), Pham (3), Mahtook (4), J. Rogers (4), P. Obrien (3), Susac (3), C. Walker (4), R. Ruiz (4), R. Shaeffer (4), O. Arcia (3), Mesoraco (3), N. Karns (3), J. Hahn (3), T. Walker (3), Desclafani (4), P. Corbin (3), E. Rodriguez (3), G. Gonzalez (3), Smyly (3), Colome (4), T. May (4), Gausman (3), Rodon (2), Velasquez (2), D. Hudson (3), M Stroman (3), De la Rosa (4), R. Montero (4), A. Meyer (4), Hutchison (4), Samarzija (4). Some depend on playing time and/or injuries ahead of them (ex. Familia gets hurt, mets closer is Montero?) or trade (Brewers trade Segura in offseason or more likely june/july). Listed upside potential, but most of these guys you could get late in standard drafts most likely next year. Good luck.
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 15, 2015 2:23 PM Flag
Don't listen to #$%$, of course you keep Stanton. You keep your best players regardless of position who can put up numbers. and you keep Fernandez over felix everyday all day.
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 14, 2015 3:24 PM Flag
Wacha, Severino and Conforto would be my next 3. Not sure on the last. I'd probably go Pineda as I don't like to keep closers unless they are top 4 elite.
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 14, 2015 3:19 PM Flag
Given the 6 you listed, I'd let Felix go. He knows how to pitch, but his velocity has been declining for awhile and those are 5 pretty good bats and a good pitcher to keep ahead of him.
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 14, 2015 3:18 PM Flag
much better than expected. The average looks legit with a BABIP that is not too high and a K% around 15% is good. He's got some speed, so 20-25SBs in a full year doesn't look out of the question and given the avg. and possibility that he takes even a few more walks next year bodes well for a good lineup spot and good R. Just not sure on the HR yet. Is it 7-8 or 15-20? I'd lean more towards 7-8, but if it did bump to 20-20 you could be looking at 3rd round value from a SS, maybe late 2nd round value?
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 11, 2015 7:25 PM Flag
Ah, the Rizzo, Laroche, Duda debate....Rizzo rk 18, Laroche 1100+, Duda 230. Yup, don't pay for that Rizzo value...
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 11, 2015 7:22 PM Flag
Thank goodness indeed you didn't own the 6th highest ranking 3b in Bryant and instead owned semien. Not sure where he is on the list, I got tired of looking for him after page 1
- Reply to DPac Sep 8, 2015 1:55 PMSlappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 11, 2015 4:31 PM Flag
Castillo, Bradley jr. is on a hot streak but Castillo seems more likely to have a higher avg and more HR year after year than bradley
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 11, 2015 4:24 PM Flag
now that your early 30's #$%$ and can re-live when you were a benchwarmer on you high school team in puxatawney PA that had 10 players I'm glad you can enjoy the game again.
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 11, 2015 4:20 PM Flag
Since this post, Sano 3 for 23, 2HR and 12k. Chris Davis can have value, so it's not a bad comp for Sano I just have concerns that he doesn't make that jump to top 25 value consistently.
- Slappytheclown Slappytheclown Sep 11, 2015 4:15 PM Flag
Arenado and Correa both have batted ball distance of 296 and 294 respectively, both have legit power. Arenado K's a little less and has higher avg upside, correa has more speed and is #$%$ I see 4 legit keepers for you in goldy, correa, Kershaw and sale. Then it gets a little dicier, i'd probably keep frazier and kluber but it's not clear cut. I'd try to throw in springer or chris davis and get back another true top 15 player, otherwise I don't see a need to make this deal.
I see #$%$ Strong is laughing at my Sano Comment, so here is my analysis on him.
currently has 36%K rate, BABIP .432 AVG .295
Some players comps from the last two years with high K rates, their BABIP/AVG and final or current Rank.
C. Davis 32.9%/.309/.249/34
M. Taylor 31.4%/.322/.238/201 (last 30 days)
K. Bryant 30.5%/.367/.269/40
J. Pederson 29.4%/.263/.213/279
C. Davis 33%/.242/.196/253
C. Carter 31.8%/.267/.227/94
A. Dunn 31.1%/.286/.219/335
M. Upton 29.7%/.286/.209/392
J Castro 29.5%/.294/.222/584
Highest K% for qualified hitters was 33%, Sano at 36% and that stabilizes pretty quickly. His upside is Stanton, a guy who had a 31%K rate first year and now sits in the 26-29% range with Power. His more likely comp is Chris Davis, another power guy who's value jumps around based on how lucky he gets with balls in play. .250 is average with power, but you never know if you're gonna get .280 or .220 in any particular season. His downside is probably what is happening to Chris Carter or Pederson this year. Power guys who can't solve K problems and make a lot of outs.
I think he'll have value longer term, but i'd be wary of a Stanton type improvement.
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