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- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 14, 2013 8:50 AM Flag
Jennings: good matchup (KC bottom 10 in YPC), good workload, an offense committed to the run, last 4 games either 100+ yards or multiple TDs. SJax: playing well, also at home, dream matchup. Not PT (who gets work? How committed to run?) nor Todman (will get some work but marginal talent in poor offense).
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 14, 2013 8:46 AM Flag
Jennings: quality matchup (KC is bottom 10 in YPC), good workload, healthy, last 4 games either 100+ yards or multiple TDs. Cooper : dream matchup and the WR most targeted by Foles. The third is problematic. Likely stuck with Ridley and his uncertain workload, but would start 1 of the Vikes if either is active. Good luck.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 14, 2013 8:37 AM Flag
Both are risky starts. The Leaky Curtain Steelers D is worsening as the season progresses, but have hope in the self destructive tendencies of Andy Dalton, which should be enough for the Steelers to be only slightly below average this week (18-20th perhaps). The Bucs draw the offense that has played THE fewest snaps of any NFL team, have a much better defense than 4-9 would suggest and are strong (rush defense) where the 9rs want to go. My hunch is the Bucs live up to their mean of roughly 10-12 in defensive production. Good luck.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 11:38 PM Flag
I agree with you on Crabtree. He's the riskiest of the 3 although he's arguably in the most upside position. Washington is so weak, however, that it's hard to envision Douglas not out producing Stevie. Good luck.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 11:33 PM Flag
3-4 Gio and Stacy: tough call between the 2.
Vereen is on a tear. Jennings resumes the starter role and has 3 100 yard games followed by 2 TDs in his last 4 and KC is not a daunting matchup for an offense, like Oakland's which is committed to the run. At RB3 Gio would be my choice but that's entirely a gut call.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 11:24 PM Flag
I own all of these guys. No, you don't bench Vereen for Gio. Yes, Gio could go off vs the Steelers leaky curtain defense, but he has 12-15 touches to get it done and luck has to be with him. Vereen gets enough touches in space that he doesn't require luck to produce.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 11:20 PM Flag
Wow! Clay "sexy." Earlier this year I couldn't trade him for a 6 pack. Times have changed. I like both this week, but, as a closet 49 fan, I'm partial to Davis. Good luck.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 11:16 PM Flag
If you believe Pagano it's TY who he "...wants to get more involved in the offense..." It's Houston. Someone's going off.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 11:12 PM Flag
I like all 3. I'd exclude Amendola as it's unclear who is healthy and what the roles figure to be post Gronk. Rogers may be the Colts most talented WR. Patterson has huge upside with no apparent healthy Viking RBs and he would be my choice, but he comes with an equally uncertain floor.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 11:05 PM Flag
Jennings has a quality matchup. KC is average as a run defense on the season and 24th or so over the past 4 games. He resumes the lead back role and has 3 100 yard games and 1 multiple TD game in his last 4. He's an easy start. SJax, despite being left for dead earlier this season, is playing well and gets the best matchup of this group vs the hapless Skins. Both are playing at home. Third is tough as I doubt AP plays, the Giants have given up on the year and the Saints figure to dismantle the Rams. Ok: Stacy, but there's no conviction there.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 10:55 PM Flag
Searching out the most dour choices you've succeeded in finding them. Todman lacks skills but should get you 8-10 points. CJ?K in tough matchups like this is prone to 1 or 2 points.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 10:52 PM Flag
Odd comment "...Stevie is safest choice..." This is the team with 5 turnovers last week including 4 picks. Stevie's a pretty easy last choice and certainly has the least upside vs a 4-1 home team over the last 5 weeks. I'm not a Harry Douglas fan due to his lack of skill, but he has a cushy matchup vs a team literally falling apart at its head coach's behest. The Skins are dead last in most pass defensive metrics despite strong competition by the incompetent 11 comprising the Cowboys (lack of) defense and that was before their head coach decided to disembowel his team.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 6:09 PM Flag
Spiller gives you home run potential. Obgby doesn't, but should be productive in a 10-15 touches sort of way. Spiller would be an easy choice for me but the Bills offense has been very erratic lately.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 6:05 PM Flag
Todman's not very good, but that doesn't mean he won't be productive. I'm with Brad: Cooper may go off and is the better play, but if your team is a significant favorite start Todman for his guaranteed touches.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 6:01 PM Flag
I'm unsure why you see more upside in Clay. Olsen draws more targets and faces the weakest part of the Jets abysmal pass defense. Both have quality matchups but Olsen is usually an earlier read in his offense than Clay. Good luck.
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 5:56 PM Flag
Dallas has no defense because it lacks sufficient skilled players and it's now worse with Lee out. What you hope for is self destruction by the other team, lucky breaks on special teams and turnovers. Flynn is capable of gross incompetence. You ready to bank your playoff hopes on that happening?
- Ol' Blues Ol' Blues Dec 13, 2013 5:47 PM Flag
Rainey pretty easily: better skills (Ogby is a fullback trying to play tailback), on a team committed to the run, on a team that has sufficient OLine run blocking to run successfully, and has a coaching staff so obsessed and lacking in creativity that he figures to get 2 to 3 times the workload.