Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
1B- Belt, Morse
3B- Machado, Tomas, A-Rod
SS- Kang, Semien, Segura
OF- Polanco, Leonys, Choo, Myers, Eaton, Pompey
SP- Pineda, Hammels, Quintana, Cain, Pomeranz/Hahn, Hutchison
RP- Giles, Gregerson, Parnell, Soria
Morse: hits #4 behind Yelich and Stanton
Pearce: AAAA player, but hey post hype happens
Garcia: hasn't proven anything, but he plays in a good lineup in a good park
Span: really more utility value for steals than anything else
The other 2 should not be rostered.
Except that Rizzo's luck last year was exactly the league average.
Look at a spray chart, you'll notice Rizzo has areas that are much more densely populated. What does that suggest to you?
To me it does not suggest a ball jumps off a bat in a random, lucky direction. A ball landing 5 or 10 feet different from another similarly hit ball is lucky. The ability to put the ball in a gap, or down the line... is not lucky.
if you want to look at what kind of contact rizzo is making, this is the metric you should use: LD: 22% GB: 36% FB: 42%. Laroche had a nearly identical line... he also had a better hard hit % and med hit %. Do you know why Rizzo hit for a higher average, and had more home runs? Rizzo ISO: .240 Laroche ISO: .196- For comparisons sake, Stanton was .267. Rizzo turns 26 this year.
Isolated Power (ISO) is a measure of a hitter’s raw power and tells you how often a player hits for extra bases. We know that not all hits are created equally and ISO provides you with a quick tool for determining the degree to which a given hitter provides extra base hits as opposed to singles. While batting average and slugging percentage each offer part of the answer, they aren’t very good at distinguishing players without being considered together, even if you know a player’s walk rate as well.
If Laroche has a better profile in hard-hit, medium-hit, etc. Why did Rizzo have 50% more xbh than Laroche. Seems to me that iso is a much more reliable metric.
buy, buy, buy. A lot of people are putting this guy down for a 290 average based on very poor luck last year. How long is that gonna stick in the 8 hole? Be forwarned: He's very streaky. Likely returns Heyward type of value.
I don't see a problem with it. Bailey is very replaceable and Soler/Ross look like they will both be valuable. 3 years from now you'll be glad you did it.
Recent advances in TJ surgery give Fernandez an 80% chance of returning with the same strength, or better. Considering he had like 80 k's in 50 innings along with excellent peripherals... and his stuff is nasty, He is very much so a keeper.
AL Playoffs - Red Sox, Indians, Mariners, White Sox
AL Champ - Mariners
NL Playoffs - Nationals, Pirates, Dodgers, Cardinals
NL Champ - Nationals
WS Champ - Mariners
AL Rookie - Dalton Pompey
AL Comeback - Prince Fielder
AL Cy Young - Felix Hernandez
AL MVP - Jose Abreu
NL Rookie - Kris Byant
NL Comeback - Matt Harvey
NL Cy Young - Max Scherzer
NL MVP - Cutch
Fantasy Rookie - Kris Bryant
Fantasy Comeback - Dustin Pedroia
Fantasy Cy Young - Clayton Kershaw
Fantasy MVP - Mike Trout
Fantasty Best Value - Shin Soo Choo
You think Kemp is trending upward for a keeper? Meanwhile Mesoraco and Brantley are both already good, and trending upward. The answer is B, and its not close.
- Krocka Krocka Apr 1, 2015 12:38 PM Flag
If we were drafting today, in a 12 team keeper league. I would draft him in the 4th round. This guy is Kershaw's main competition for cy young past 2015.
- Krocka Krocka Apr 1, 2015 12:32 PM Flag
Arenado and Brantley. Arenado will likely hit 25+ home runs. Donaldson might hit 30. The gap between Brantley and Dickerson is much steeper.
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