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Jay O 1594 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 27, 2016 12:37 PM Member since: Oct 19, 2007
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  • Reply to

    NEED QUICK ADVICE ON TRADE!!!

    by PAD Dec 13, 2011 3:38 PM
    Jay O Jay O Dec 13, 2011 5:51 PM Flag

    Definitely don't do it - sadly this season both are borderline contributors from a fantasy stand point. Chances are there are a couple of free agents worth picking up if your looking to add offense such as Brendon Morrison, Bryan Little and Jochan Hecht - chances are they are all still in the pool and offer better options than Ganger and Stastny.

  • Reply to

    Stamkos Trade help please !

    by Rey Dec 12, 2011 1:37 PM
    Jay O Jay O Dec 12, 2011 9:21 PM Flag

    Your goaltending isn't strong enough to survive the departure of Lundqvest, don't make the trade. And the dudes in the pool are spot duty at best.

  • Reply to

    Which Dman to drop?

    by marimo Nov 7, 2011 2:08 AM
    Jay O Jay O Nov 7, 2011 9:39 AM Flag

    Seeing how your league doesn't count blocks or hits that's going to filter out a lot of recommendations. I would see if Corey Potter is still available, he is in the top 30 dmen for PP time per game and his 21 min average is also decent.

    Grant Clitsome also has similar numbers but is on a woeful team. I would basically look to see who is getting the most ice time and has decent numbers to show for it - your probably looking at fringe players in your league and the ones most likely to produce are the ones seeing a ton of ice.

    As to who to drop, McBain for sure and what the heck maybe even Peckham as well.

  • Jay O Jay O Nov 7, 2011 9:25 AM Flag

    Why do you need anybody's help with this - just pick up an old issue of the hockey news preseason rankings and go with that. The reality is, unless your name is Sybil the Soothsayer, it is hard to predict the future. If these guys are on your roster and I had to rank anyone at the top it would be Malkin, the bottom, Pominville and the in between bits are all a matter of great debate. Based on this seasons performance so far, Vanek would be near the top and Perry near the bottom - but historically it has been the other way around - and just as easily could be again.

  • Reply to

    I'm fucked and need help.

    by A Yahoo! User Nov 6, 2011 1:19 AM
    Jay O Jay O Nov 7, 2011 9:18 AM Flag

    The only thing screwed about you is your lack of hockey sense and your inability to recognize a tremendous deal. Make the trade.

  • Reply to

    Three Quick Q's for Saturday

    by Bulldozier1963 Nov 5, 2011 12:02 PM
    Jay O Jay O Nov 5, 2011 12:16 PM Flag

    My crystal balls in the shop so can't answer the JVR question.

    With the goalie crop you already have why are you worrying about Riemer? Anyways be patient with him, in a couple of weeks things will look rosier and then you can trade him.

    Well seeing how Smith is on a roll - definitely him. The Sabres have got to get better and Miller should bounce back soon, perhaps tonight might be the one.

    As much as it pains me to say this, keep Broduer on the bench. Then I would toss the dice on the remaining two - favoring who ever is playing the crappier team.

  • Reply to

    Offered a Trade: Kovalchuk for Kessel

    by Paul Oct 28, 2011 9:15 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 28, 2011 9:42 PM Flag

    I am not the biggest of Kovie fans but I think Kessel's value is really high right now. One thing to bear in mind that Kovie is averaging more ice time then most Dmen in the league, he's 11th overall, the next highest forward is 40th overall and that's Getslaf playing almost 2:45 mins less per game.

    I would do the deal, and if your nervous about keeping Kovie, then flip him for some one else dependable.

  • Reply to

    How to Improve My Team?

    by seaner Oct 28, 2011 7:19 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 28, 2011 9:31 PM Flag

    Your team is totally solid. At a glance about the only move you might want to consider is dumping Myers for Quincey or Timonen and at this early juncture it might be an unnecessary move, Myers might turn it around; but with Erhoff assuming al ot of his duties, it might be a tough haul.

  • Reply to

    Khabibulin/3rd goalie question

    by Dan Oct 27, 2011 5:19 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 27, 2011 10:07 PM Flag

    I am not sure of the scoring stats in your league, but as to Khabibulin's perceived value here's the rub. His GAA is less than a goal a game and the Oliers have a winning record. The Oilers are the lowest scoring team in the league by half and truth be told it will be almost impossible to maintain that 500 record unless they nail a sheet of plywood in front of the goal mouth.

    Khabibulin's fate lies within the scoring prowess of the lads in Edmonton and the only thing that could improve their current straights would be if Gretzky, Messier and Kurri came out of retirement and laced em' up on the newly formed Grandpa line.

  • Reply to

    Khabibulin/3rd goalie question

    by Dan Oct 27, 2011 5:19 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 27, 2011 6:40 PM Flag

    I think you were a little generous in your trade for Bryzgalov - but its in the past. Unless there is a better goalie in the FA pool, keep Khabibulin at the very least as a spare in case one of your other two go down to injury.

    As to shopping him, although his numbers are great, until he packs on a few wins getting a decent return on him will be a challenge. I would hold him at least until some other GM's goalie situation becomes dire and hopefully Khabibulin will still be solid and you can deal from a position of strength.

  • Reply to

    Briere for Pacioretty

    by Dan Oct 27, 2011 4:49 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 27, 2011 6:34 PM Flag

    I think Angus's prediction of 60 -75 points is real ambition considering Pacioretty's best campaign to date would have netted him 53 points if he had completed it. On the other hand Briere - who has also had injury problems in the past - has averaged a scoring pace of 50 points or better each of his last 9 years (and most of those seasons were 60 or more).

    I would take Briere, even injury prone, playing with Philly, he is in a much better position to repeat 50 or more than Pacmax is with the Habs.

  • Reply to

    Nugent-Hopkins value

    by JHG29 Oct 27, 2011 4:43 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 27, 2011 6:25 PM Flag

    No offense but that doesn't seem like a very good strategy in trying to turn around a bad H2H team. How many players are you looking to replace and who are they?

  • Reply to

    WHICH MOVES WOULD YOU MAKE?

    by A Yahoo! User Oct 26, 2011 6:39 AM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 26, 2011 7:03 AM Flag

    A) I would probably stick with Elias, especially if positional play is important in your league. Both are fairly consistent 50 plus point a season players.

    B) it's a little early to drop him, just don't play him against the league lightweights like Washington, Detroit and Montreal. Save his efforts for the Florida's and Phillies of the league. And especially the Rangers with their 7 majors to date - that's basically one per game.

    C) Khabibulin, his numbers border on freakish so far given the team he has in front of him. And he has a ton of starts, sadly not enough wins. Considering that they have about the lowest goals for total in the league, it's a sad state of affairs when their goals against total is even lower and Edmonton still manage to find ways to lose. The Oil will get better and the Bulin wall will help them.

  • Reply to

    DOOZY of a DEAL

    by Schoots Oct 26, 2011 12:47 AM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 26, 2011 6:46 AM Flag

    At first glance it seems ot be a solid enough deal for you - although the loss of Chara and Subban may hurt you. In the early going you look like you have stellar defense but that will change as things settle a little.

    How many positions do you play a night? And what are the scoring stats for goalies?

    My concern is that by losing two defensemen who put up real decent numbers that your actually negating the gains that Kessel and Marleau provide. Don't let Kessel's tremendous start fool you, do the math and figure out the averages. But having said that, at a quick glance it looks like the deal adds 25 points to your total after the loss of the Dmen and averaging the defense core you have.

    I take it you'll drop Roloson or trade Rask? And I am guessing Frolik is your bubble guy.

  • Jay O Jay O Oct 26, 2011 6:32 AM Flag

    Now I see why he's your arch nemesis. Look Batman, there's a reason why the Joker ts your main enemy and not the Riddler, there isn't much of a mystery in this deal, it's a heist pure and simple albeit disguised as a shell game. Don't do it.

  • Reply to

    Tyler Seguin

    by Jake G Oct 25, 2011 7:34 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 25, 2011 8:19 PM Flag

    I agree with David, 50 points is more realistic for Seguin than the 80 plus he's on pace for. People always seem to forget that scoring is out of whack for about the first ten games of the season - with tons of players getting abnormally high numbers.

    Once Coaches settle their lines and defensive pairings, once the rookies are returned to junior and the on the cusp players with two way waiver free contracts get sent to the AHL or loaned oversea's; scoring will settle down and balance out, defense will get tighter and goalies will start to shine just like every other season since the lock out.

  • Reply to

    Vokoun trade

    by Kurt Oct 25, 2011 6:57 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 25, 2011 8:00 PM Flag

    Its reasonable enough but I seriously doubt that he will accept it. Statistically speaking both goalies are extremely similar - its' just that Kari "Let one in" is a lot more maligned than Vokoun. By offering Myers your basically saying that you do not have the confidence that Lehtonin will maintain his winning record in Dallas and that you are confident that Vokoun will in Washington.

    Myers is the sweetner in the deal and if the other GM senses your doubt in your own roster, he will try to pry a little bit more from you than a Dman who has seen his prowess usurped by Christian Erhoff both in points, time on the ice, and quarterbacking the powerplay.

  • Reply to

    Ginormous Trade!!

    by Ariel S Oct 25, 2011 7:14 PM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 25, 2011 7:47 PM Flag

    Gotta agree with Mike D. About the only thing tempting is getting Michalek and even if he maintains this scoring pace, his plus minus is going to be awful.

    The only thing to bare in mind is so far this season the Senators lines don't seem to be totally set. Granted as of late Michalek seems to be paired most often with Spezza and Greening. But no matter what he will skate on the top line.

    Both players lead their respective teams in TOI averages (McDonald doesn't count because he's injured) with Stewart on a line with Berglund and Oshie, he will get his chances but they will be significantly less.

    Basically with Stewart for Michalek, if you want to take a "risk" on a trade that might pay off big then go for it, in the grand scheme of a long season, even if it backfires it wouldn't cripple you.

  • Reply to

    Jagr?

    by Nathan G Oct 25, 2011 12:56 AM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 25, 2011 9:40 AM Flag

    My sleepy eyeballs missed the eleven team league thing - oops

  • Reply to

    Jagr?

    by Nathan G Oct 25, 2011 12:56 AM
    Jay O Jay O Oct 25, 2011 9:39 AM Flag

    Haven't a clue as to the type of league your in, scoring stats or the size ( I am guessing its a small league and you picked in the latter half of it) but judging from your roster, you don't have a lot of "obvious" choices to drop.

    Lupul's a possibility because he has never managed to be much more than a 50 point a season guy and chances are he will expend this seasons energy achieving a total well below his personal high watermark. Yes he is off to a spectacular start - but his play is never spectacular, he doesn't excel in FA wins, SOGs PIM's - he's the prototypical journeyman. Consider trading him while his stock is high.

    Chris Stewart has had one decent season points wise and one amazing season shot % wise. He seems to be around a 60 point performer.This campaign to date he is mediocre at best, you could also consider dropping him.

    Duchene is also off to a very slow start (you have a thing for Av's and former Av's?) - this ones a bit of a tough call, he appears to be a 50 plus point per season performer but is on pace for just north of 40. I think he will hit the 50 - 55 mark, but then again if I could divine the future, I wouldn't be playing fantasy hockey.

    The real question is do you think Jagr will have more than 45 - 50 points this season - because that's the line that the three players mentioned might struggle to attain. Don't get bedazzled by one great game against a terrible team because so far the early going suggests Jagr may also struggle to reach the same number. However it is one of the absolute best players this league has ever seen and to be honest he is worth the gamble.

    So pick one of the three mentioned and swap him for Jagr, but chances are by the time you read this, someone else has already grabbed him.

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