Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
- Dick Strong Dick Strong 6 hours ago Flag
Posey is a known commodity.
MLB pitchers and AL East pitchers have not had enough time to develop a book on Sanchez and they won't have enough time in the next 4 weeks.
Sanchez by a mile.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong 6 hours ago Flag
If you don't believe that Desmond, Myers, Nunez, and Upton have more value than Arenado then there is no hope for you.
The key flaw with your logic is the same as those that value Billy Hamilton.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 26, 2016 8:28 PM Flag
I find it funny how you keep bringing up extreme examples. If you know someone that has 10 Nolan Arenados or 10 Josh Donaldsons on their team...great.
However, if you look at the MLB HR lead right now, Mark Trumbo, he has very pedestrian runs totals and Khris Davis (4th in MLB in HR) has very pedestrian R and RBI totals. Same for Todd Frazier, Chris Carter, and Evan Longoria.
On the other hand, the standard deviation across all five categories for a balanced player like Will Myers offers everything where Trumbo, Davis, Carter, and Longoria offer little else...and Frazier only offers SB in addition to HR.
Perhaps this is why Eduardo Nunez has a higher overall standard deviation number than Josh Donaldson.
But hey...feel free to take advance of whatever categories you like.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 26, 2016 4:24 PM Flag
Right...because Bill James' work is so not respected in the game of baseball and his stats like power/speed number aren't listed on any sports reference site, right?
There is extreme value in balanced players that is often missed by neophytes.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 25, 2016 6:23 PM Flag
Logic would tell most people not to compare a MVP (commonly referred to as the #1 player) to another player and say "oh golly gee...the analogy doesn't work when you use extreme cases".
You really need to get of your logic impaired conundrum.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 25, 2016 3:33 PM Flag
I am saying that balanced guys that consistently perform and high standards are MORE VALUABLE than any one trick pony.
You fail hard at math, logic, and reading comprehension.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 25, 2016 3:24 PM Flag
Broxton and it is not even close.
Broxton's minor league stats (in 912 games):
511 R, 85 HR, 378 RBI, 179 SB, .254 BA
Broxton's minor league 162 game averages:
90 R, 15 HR, 67 RBI, 31 SB, .254 BA
Broxton's last 30 days in MLB:
13 R, 5 HR, 13 RBI, 10 SB, .313 BA
Broxton's MLB 162 game averages:
62 R, 15 HR, 39 RBI, 46 SB, .231 BA
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 25, 2016 3:18 PM Flag
Nobody is that smart!
I am the one person in my league with any smarts!!
I am going to get Stanton FOR FREE!!! You wait and see Mr. Non Believerer.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 25, 2016 3:13 PM Flag
For Mike, Tim W, and any other mathematics and logic impaired fool: (this was written May 30, 2011)
I understand that philosophy...and I patently disagree with it. Here's why...
All 40+HR guys and 40+ SBs guys are taken in a hurry. Why? Because they are usually highly ranked and they tally BIG in certain categories. That is GREAT if you can load up on those guys and MOST IMPORTANTLY...if they stay healthy. Then you will have large numbers in all categories.
...what happens if you have 3 guys you expect to hit 40+ HRs and one goes down for the season (say...Josh Hamilton)? Then that is a large chuck of your HR production (assuming you put together a 200 HR team). That is 20% of your expected output. Are there any 40 HR guys left in your FA pol to replace him on June 1st? No. They are all taken. Who do you replace him with? Some 12 HR/season fluffer? After all...all the 30+ HR guys are taken too. Then you have a HUGE drop off because the only 20 HR guys left also have huge flaws...like they are .195 hitters like Carlos Pena.
...the same thing would happen if your 50+ steal guy went down for the season. What if you have Juan Pierre for steals and he goes down? Can you get a 50 steal guy from the FA pool? No. How about a 40 steal guy? No. How about a 30 steal guy? No. You then have to get a 15 or 20 steal guy that has some serious flaws...maybe he is in a timeshare or he hits 0 HR (not a big deal if losing Pierre). But then you have a HUGE drop off in steals...and if you only have 2 guys for steals and expect them to steal 50 bases each and another 50 from the rest of your team for a total of 150. Then having one of your "steals guys" go down and having to get a 20 SB replacement means that you have lost 30 SBs (or 20% of your total expected output)
...now...say you buy-in to my philosophy of a balanced team...(cont. later)
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 25, 2016 2:10 PM Flag
You are obviously mathematics and logic impaired.
You may continue to be willfully ignorant at your own peril.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 25, 2016 2:09 PM Flag
45/5 is patently stupid.
You want the guy that goes 15/15.
I will pull up an old post to summarize EXACTLY why that is the case.
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 24, 2016 6:01 PM Flag
In a H2H league you need stats every day and as often as possible.
How exactly is a player on the DL (useless for 2+ weeks) going to help you in your stretch drive to hold on to 6th place for the playoffs? (I'll wait for the answer)
- Dick Strong Dick Strong Aug 24, 2016 5:25 PM Flag
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Power–speed number or power/speed number (PSN) is a sabermetrics baseball statistic developed by baseball author and analyst Bill James which combines a player's home run and stolen base numbers into one number.
The formula is:
PSN= (2*HR*SB) / (HR+SB)
(It is the harmonic mean of the two totals.)
Power–speed number is displayed as a number with one digit after the decimal point.
James introduced the power–speed number in his commentary on Bobby Bonds, writing "it is so crafted that a player who does well in both home runs and stolen bases will rate high, and his rating is determined by the balance of the two as well as by the total."
* Simply put...this number will win you more fantasy baseball championships than any other number. In order to max out this number a player must do well in both HR and SB. If a player hits a ton of HR and steals zero bases then his power/speed number is 0. Similarly, if a player steals a ton of bases and hits zero HR then his power/speed number is 0. To do well...you need A LOT of both and to compile A LOT of both you either need to accumulate both in a hurry (rapid compiler of stats) or sustained over a long period of time (sustained compiler of stats). Note: Charlie Blackmon is about to be the only MLBer to be in the top 10 in power/speed number for each of the past 3 seasons.
1. Betts (BOS) 23.3
2. Altuve (HOU) 22.6
3. Myers (SDP) 22.5
4. Trout (LAA) 22.0
5. Upton (2TM) 20.8
6. Harper (WSN) 19.2
7. Goldschmidt (ARI) 19.0
8. Desmond (TEX) 18.9
9. Nunez (2TM) 18.5
10. Blackmon (COL) 17.5
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