Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
As more players continue to go down for stints on the IR people are starting to wonder if they should drop Marty who is going to be out for a while. So I thought I would put this out there to compare what realistically can be expected when he returns.
First off, initially he was out until March, but now since his surgery went off successfully they are saying February, maybe slightly sooner. That easily puts him in the lineup before fantasy playoffs begin.
For the sake of math and prediction assume he is activated Feb 3 (the Devils 1st game in Feb). That means he will be active for the last 32 games of the season...12 or 13 of those games are going to come against teams that the Devils (one would expect) will have a better record than.
Assume Brodeur comes in and plays/wins 60% of those remaining games that still gives him 19 wins + the 6 he has now leaving him with 24 wins on the season. I would also expect 2 shutouts in that span judging from the schedule which gives him 4 on the year.
I know this is all speculation and guessing based on timetables and schedules but in my league that is a somewhat realistic 256 points to drop onto the FA market.
If I have a player go on IR for a long period of time in my league I will drop him because a FA can make up most of the points, especially when paired with a good trade. I dont know of anyone who can make up 200+ fantasy points in 3 months like Marty has the potential to do.
Anyone agree? Disagree? Open it up to discussion because if I am wrong I'd like to understand what I am missing.
He will be available for 32 games of the regular season perhaps. However that would be more like 15 ish games for fantasy reg season?
And perhaps 15 for fantasy playoffs. Assuming that you draft a whole new team entering your fantasy playoffs. . . .
Not entirely sure on this one though - but that sounds right yea?
Which kinda decreases his value a tad :(
- 1 Reply to ThaKiing
My book, that increases his value.
You get 15 regular season games to make sure he's back to form from the injury. If he's not, then you've got some time to use him as trade bait. If he is, then you've got the best goalie in the league for the playoffs.
I'm not sure about that February 3rd prediction. But regardless, you don't just drop a guy like Marty Brodeur.
If this were baseball and A-Rod got hurt for 4/5 of the season, you'd still IR him.
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