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Is this the year the RB bubble burst in fantasy football? Fantasy football is sometimes simply a game of managing risks, and currently, RBs easily face the biggest risks week in and week out...they get beat up and miss time, often the entire year, or get stuck in RBBC situations. Meanwhile top 5 wrs preseason are mostly top 5 wrs right now. Top 5 qbs are mostly still top 5. Only Rodgers has missed time but he is coming back soon..I hope. The risk is much lower. Manning, Graham, Calvin, Brees and a few others might merit taking in the 1st round next year, where as this year the top ten was all RB in most formats...any thought?
I'll draft the same. I took McCoy #10 and TRich #11 and then immediately traded TRich and Ben Tate for Jamaal Charles. Keep in mind, our draft was over a month before the season started and TRich was supposed to be a workhorse, Lynch-style running back that produced a lot of TDs.
These are the top 11 picks in my 10 team non ppr 2 QB league..
1. Adrian Peterson
2. Arian Foster
3. Jamaal Charles
4. Doug Martin
5. CJ Spiller
6. Marshawn Lynch
7. Aaron Rodgers
8. Ray Rice
9. Calvin Johnson
10. LeSean McCoy
11. Trent Richardson
I waited and drafted Stafford and Ryan. I traded Ryan while he still have Julio and got Russell Wilson. And then I just made a trade where I aquired Tony Romo. So I now have 2 top 5 QBs, and 2 top 5 RBs. I'm 9-2 and tied for 1st place.
I took in this order in the draft
Don't know what i would have done differently. I took Stafford and Kap to back up Peyton in case he looked fragile. Then after week 1, I knew that team was gonna hum so I traded both. Got Lacy and Matt Prater for Kap, I wanted the Kicker for my QB in case of drives stopping short for the insurance and then I traded Stafford and Cecil Shorts for Jordy Nelson and Eric Decker. That second trade didn't work out the way i hoped it would. During the draft, I was flamed for taking Peyton in the 2nd round, pick 16 but couldn't wait to round 3 where i wanted to take him cause Brees was taken in round 2 pick 12. Didn't know if he would last another lap. Throughout the year, I got Zac Stacy, disposed of Blackmon. This year it worked out that with two core RB1s starting with a Fantasy point machine like Peyton I was able to withstand the ups and downs from the WRs. The really big advantage i had clearly was having the same kicker as my QB. Now that was huge, cause i got points on pretty much every drive that went into enemy territory. That will definetly be part of my strategy going forward.
- 1 Reply to Thomas
I am going to go after guys who are the best at their position. Peyton, Calvin, Graham. RB's are a #$%$ shoot this year and guys like Zac Stacy and Gio Bernard have been useful this year. I think I'll wait on RB's next year depending on what spot I get to draft from. It's risky to wait on RB's though, so I dunno. It's a gamble whichever way you go.
I think that there is way more depth at WR than RB. Next year I'm taking a RB with my 1st and maybe second pick in the draft just like this year. With the exception of Calvin Johnson (maybe). I took that approach this year and am going to make the playoffs in all my leagues. I actually took RBs with my first 3 picks in one league. I think if you stock pile RB's you can easily make a trade for a high value later in the year after some of the RBs go down, ?That's what I did.
I will absolutely draft differently next season. No more RB's in the first few rounds for me - too unpredictable and the injury risk is too high. I'd much rather spend those picks on top 5 WR and QB or a top 3 TE. The guy that won our league last season didn't take his first RB until the 4th round.
- 2 Replies to Nic
i think the point of the thread though was to discuss the uncertainty of grading the top RBs and whether a change in strategy is warranted.
i bet anyone who drafted doug martin, ray rice, arian foster, cj spiller or trent Richardson thought they had a top 8 RB as well.
I had #3 pick in my league and took McCoy after martin went #2 luckily, but there was plenty of logic in taking rice or spiller. I know I did a lot of research and only was able to get comfortable with the pick a day before the draft.
You're making a decent point here. Only a handful of sure play RBs in first round maybe. Identifying the later round sleepers might be the key. I'm playing as a relief manager I took over since week 4. The team was so messed with no QB1, and no RB1(not even a RB2). The team did have strong WRs Dez, Green, VJax, Gordon, Blackmon. I survived relying on these WRs making trades and playing the waiver. They do actually have safer value.
I honestly don't know what to consider for next year strategy wise as I broke my strategy during the draft based on circumstances, and boy am I glad I did.
in rd 1 & 2 I always go BPA w/ tie breaker to RB and I always try to get a WR before rd 3 since we start 3 WRs but I ended up McCoy, MJD and brees after he slid, though I was planning on holding off until rd 5 due to expected mid rd QB value.
my team ended McCoy, MJD, Brees, Bowe, Decker but it easily could have been McCoy, MJD, Fitz, Bowe, Brady...and boy would that have been a tanker.
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