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It's the Reds home opener and they typically put up some runs opening day.... Should I risk starting Weaver?
You start weaver every game he pitches.
Weaver is good enough to start against any team in baseball. You don't draft a starter with a 50-55 ADP and not start him against good offensive teams.
Considering Weaver's general draft position, I really don't feel that he's a pitcher who should only be started based on matchups. He's someone you have to put out there every time.