I'd scoop up Moreland and Olt later on in the draft, but I'm afraid I'd have to pick Craig over Butler. It's just a very hittery lineup, very productive team, and he's going to be playing 1B all year and not get the shift-around like he did all last year and the year before.
I think Butler reached his ceiling last year. Underrated lineup, he's durable, they'll both finish around 25-90 .300, but Craig comes around to score R's more than Butler does, in a lineup that doesn't really drive him in as much.
I'd be happy with either, but I think Craig will be healthy all year and have the year Butler had last year, while Butler comes a little bit down, though not by much.