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  • The Commish The Commish Apr 16, 2008 1:13 PM Flag

    Answering Any Questions

    Trade
    Rollins, Dunn, Haren
    or
    Furcal, Holliday, Peavy

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    • Well, let's look at each position and compare projected stats. I'll use My Prediction, Roto Authority, MLB.com, and Sport Fanatics here. Respectively.


      Rafael Furcal
      .275, 13 HR, 60 RBI, 103 R, 30 SB
      .280, 11 HR, 54 RBI, 99 R, 28 SB
      .286, 12 HR, 61 RBI, 101 R, 30 SB
      .281, 11 HR, 53 RBI, 100 R, 30 SB

      Jimmy Rollins
      .285, 25 HR, 80 RBI, 105 R, 30 SB
      .287, 22 HR, 81 RBI 119 R, 33 SB
      .288, 26 HR, 85 RBI, 122 R, 37 SB
      .293, 25 HR, 82 RBI, 123 R, 36 SB

      You can see Rollins fantasy value outshines Furcal without question. Let's take a look at the OFs.

      Matt Holliday
      .315, 33 HR, 115 RBI, 105 R, 10 SB
      .321, 32 HR, 115 RBI, 106 R, 11 SB
      .333, 36 HR, 125 RBI, 110 R, 9 SB
      .321, 36 HR, 125 RBI, 112 R, 10 SB

      Adam Dunn
      .250, 40 HR, 100 RBI, 90 R, 5 SB
      .251, 38 HR, 99 RBI, 100 R, 6 SB
      .259, 41 HR, 104 RBI, 103 R, 8 SB
      .255, 40 HR, 102 RBI, 100 R, 7 SB

      So far, out of the 5 cats... Team A(Rollins, Dunn) lose batting average, but gain HRs and RBIs... and possibly Rs. Pretty even in SB. A bit more upside with Team A right now. Now for the pitchers.

      Dan Haren
      3.50 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 185 Ks, 15 W
      3.71 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 179 Ks, 14 W
      3.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 192 Ks, 17 W
      3.58 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 187 Ks, 15 W

      Jake Peavy
      3.10 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 220 Ks, 17 W
      3.06 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 222 Ks, 16 W
      3.08 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 220 Ks, 17 W
      3.07 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 214 Ks, 17 W

      Peavy looks to be on the way toout perform Haren in all SP categories. With that said we return to who wins this trade? Perhaps Team B can sacrifice the HRs and RBIs they should be losing, and they get a solid starter who's gonna perform day in day out. The trade is difficult to determine who wins. If I had to choose, I say team B wins... but it's pretty darn close.