Fantasy Football is highly subject to randomness, and anyone who trusts the so-called experts is likely to be fooled by randomness. Here's what that means. If the adviser you trusts makes bad calls and gives bad advice, you can be sure the adviser has no skill. However, the opposite does not hold. If an adviser makes good calls and gives good advice, you cannot be sure the adviser does have skill--the adviser may just be lucky this time, and you may be exposed to disaster next time you trust them.