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  • Jeff Jeff Mar 24, 2014 10:09 PM Flag

    Who do I need more ... Eaton or Masterson ?

    Roster in a 18t 6x6 h2h dynasty league:

    C Joe Mauer
    1B Brandon Moss
    2B Dustin Pedroia
    3B Chase Headley
    SS Ian Desmond
    OF Carlos Beltrán
    OF Shane Victorino
    OF Torii Hunter
    Util Nick Swisher
    SP Félix Hernández
    SP Jered Weaver
    RP Joe Nathan
    RP Jason Grilli
    P José Veras
    P Ian Kennedy
    P Bartolo Colón
    BN Rajai Davis
    BN Trevor Plouffe
    BN John Buck
    BN Adam Eaton
    BN Mark Teixeira
    BN Chris Owings
    BN J.J. Hoover
    BN Brandon Kintzler
    BN Bruce Chen

    Should I offer Eaton for Masterson or stay put ?

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    • Masterson's ERAs the past 4 seasons: 4.70, 3.21, 4.93, 3.45.

      Masterson's FIP the past 4 seasons: 3.93, 3.28, 4.16. 3.35.

      Masterson's K rate skyrocketed last year, from a career of 7.3 per 9 IP to 9.1 per 9 IP. He also benefitted from a very favorable BABIP of .285, compared to his career number of .302. That difference means a difference of 165 base hits allowed in 193 IP, compared to the actual result last year of 155 hits allowed. Since Masterson walks a ton of guys (76 last year), the 10 extra hits would have meant a WHIP of 1.25 rather than 1.20. Further, his ERA jumps from 3.45 to 3.55.

      Those are the stats. How much do you value a guy likely to post a 3.55 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and whose K rate has to be a repeat of an unusual career high to help your team?

      I am leery. Huge jump in K rate, for a guy now 29 years old, where his FIP has bounced around like a pinball. I don't trust guys like that. He could be superb - 190 K's, 3.20 ERA. He could just as likely give you 150 K's and an ERA of 4.20, since he has done that very recently.

    • Keep Eaton. Your OF is very old for a dynasty. If you want Masterson, offer Victorino. He is more likely to get Masterson and his dynasty value is similar to Eaton's.

    • Go for Masterson, I heard on MLB network they say he could maybe win cy young as he develops more each year as a starter after being in relief years ago

    • I would be surprised if you could get Masterson for Eaton - but it's worth a try.

    • I'm not a fan of Eaton so I would look at trading him

    • Or if you feel I should offer someone else for Masterson, I would like to hear your thoughts. Thanks

 

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