Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
Just wondering how high/low people are on J-Hey this year....? I personally see a big progression coming and am intrigued by how well he was playing when leading off at the end of last season (albeit in limited AB's).
non-keeper/dynasty leagues i would be drafting him around 70 (no higher) if you are drafting in a keeper/dynasty league then he would get a nice bump up the draft board as he is so young and has nice upside
His numbers through age 23 aren't too different from Barry Bonds...
...that being said...
...he won't make much progress until age 25.
I see a possible 20/15 with a .265 average...the RBIs will be lacking since he is projected to bat leadoff.
Sorry...but he is a 4th or 5th OF at best in a 12 team league this year.
He made some nice progressions last year, especially in a severely reduced Strikeout %. In addition, he drove the ball better than he's ever done in his career (Line Drive % of 24). In addition, despite being just around his average HR% AND hitting an identical GB/FB rate as he did in 2012 (the year he hit 27 HRs), he saw a career-WORST 10.0 HR/FB% (he had never had below a 12.2 HR/FB% prior to 2013). This suggests to me that he was at least the same (if not a better) hitter than he was during his 27/21 campaign in 2012.
Now, am I buying him at that price? No, especially since Fredi Gonzalez is reportedly planning on batting him leadoff, so the RBI should be down and he may be more concerned with getting on-base than hitting dingers. But I think a 20/10 season is very reasonable. As to health issues, both of his injuries last year were fluke injuries (an emergency appendectomy and being drilled in the face by a pitch), so they don't concern me.
should be solid, but it's looking like the power won't ever reach the 18-20 hr/fb rate. He's great in OBP leagues too, I'm looking for 23/10 from him, .275 avg. Health knocks him down 15 picks for me though from where i'd take that production, so I probably won't be getting him this year unless he's undervalued.
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