Gonzo should be a 2nd rd pick this year. I think he may fall in to the 3rd rd in some leagues forgetting his potential and worried about HR output. The guy still hits for AVG. and OB. Let's not forget he's pretty much top 5 in all of MLB in batting with RISP. There had better be a special player ahead of him for me not to take him in the 2nd rd and for sure any round after.
My 1b rankings pretty go like this
Votto,Pujols,Fielder, then Gonzo. And I think thats your 1st tier. My first pick probably has 1 of them followed by top tier 3b of Cabrera,Wright,Zimmerman,Longoria, and HanRam. Beltre is close but I think there's probably a better player where he's going at to not pick.