Draft and Trade Talk Message Board
10 team H-H Keeper league
5x5, plus 2B, 3B, CG, QS
I may be jumping the gun here since I don't even know who will be kept yet or who will be in the draft pool, but I wanted to get some early feedback. I'm thinking of targeting Matt Wieters. What I do know is this - I have the first pick in the 9th round (81) and the last pick in the 10th round (100), Matt Wieters current ADP is 101 (11th round).
Using the average 2010 projections from ESPN and MLB, these are his projected numbers.
516 AB, 80 R, 20 HR, 91 RBI, 2 SB, .303 BA
That may be a little high, it may be a little low. That's my dilemma, there is really know way to tell until we play ball. Each season we add 1 Keeper to our teams, if Wieters puts up his projected numbers he could potentially be that guy.
Here's what he projects compared to McCann.....
+12 R, - 6 HR, - 8 RBI, -2 SB, +.08 BA, + 63 ADP
If the projections are correct, he would fall around 80 - 90 overall on the player ranker.
So, do I take him early (81) in hopes of him living up to the hype and becoming a potential keeper, or do I hope he falls to around his ADP (100) with hopes of him being putting together a solid year, or do I pass him altogether and go with my usual strategy of getting Suzuki or Montero late?
My Current Keepers
Prince Fielder (Mil - 1B)
David Wright (NYM - 3B)
Chase Utley (Phi - 2B)
Ryan Braun (Mil - OF)
Tim Lincecum (SF - SP)
Given the strength of your keepers, why not take the risk in the 9th on Wieters? Although if you look at the available catchers, chances are in your keeper league Mauer and V-Mart are gone arguably making Wieters the #3 catcher, be cautious of someone else taking him earlier than the 9th, especially in a keeper league
its amazing. you have a custom league which affects players values tremendously, and then you totally ignore it in assessing players. weiters doesn't get many extra base hits - he's a terrible choice under the league settings.
I don't think he slips to the 100th pick. Going to have to grab him with pick 81 (and he may not even make it that far). I think it's a worthwhile reach in a keeper league. At worst he gives you solid numbers this year. At best he becomes the stud we all think he will and he's a 2nd round pick next year. If Wright struggles again this year you have his replacement (keeper-wise)! Good luck.
- 1 Reply to discodave
He went undrafted last year, as he should in my opinion. I ended up picking him up about a month into his major league campaign. People in my league don't tend to buy into hype, but more so into the real numbers.
All have extremely high baseball IQs, but not in fantasy.
I say play it by ear Hainje. I think he will put up at least those numbers, but if every is catcher crazy early on, then you should wait on him, but if you get the feeling he'll be gone the pull the trigger. Not as big a risk as you think (IMO). The end of his season last year he started to put up solid numbers.
- 1 Reply to Mooch
I'm thinking about waiting until the 10th round (pick 100). If he's there then great, if not then oh well.
Another issue with him is his doubles and triples, or lack there of. Suzuki and Montero both put up 30 doubles last season. If Suzuki improves in the slightest his value would be comparable to Wieters.