Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Known as the Sacagawea of fantasy primers, the Weekly Rundown guides head-to-head owners through a forest of obscure stats and exploitable matchups in an attempt to help solve lineup conundrums. While reading, keep in mind matchups are subject to change due to managerial moves, unforeseen injuries and Mother Nature's influences.

Every season fantasy managers are astonished by the numbers certain unheralded difference makers accumulate. Melvin Mora's(notes) '08 campaign instantly comes to mind.

Come October when the lights on the virtual diamond dim, numerous owners will look back at Marlon Byrd's(notes) totals in utter amazement.

The once highly touted Phillies farmhand -- Baseball America rated him the organization's No. 1 prospect in 2002, calling him a "poor man's Kirby Puckett" -- has transformed from docile pigeon to Hitchcockian terrorist since the All-Star break. American League pitchers, Tippi Hedren and freshly washed luxury cars have lived in fear. Over that stretch, the 31-year-old has totaled a balanced .288-6-21-16-5 line. That output, according to Baseball Monster, ranks 50th overall, several spots ahead of roster mainstays Jayson Werth(notes), Justin Morneau(notes) and Hunter Pence(notes).

Despite his sound across-the-board production, most owners continue to unfairly overlook the 34 percent-owned veteran. To the obtuse, Texas' crowded outfield, Ron Washington's general flakiness and Byrd's generic name are turnoffs. But for deep-league waiver hawks and the Rangers' arm-flapping fans, the sparkplug has been a revelation of sorts.

Coming off microfracture surgery and a torn meniscus, Byrd was understandably a forgettable commodity at drafts, even in AL-only leagues. But his rigorous offseason rehabilitation program added lower body bulk, which greatly enhanced his strength and ability to drive the baseball. Mentally, he also feels stronger this season than at any other point previously. Though more aggressive at the dish (0.28 K/BB), his dramatic rise in fly-ball percentage supports the outfielder's claims (career: 32.7, '09: 41.6). So far he's gone yard 14 times, a new career high.

While growing up in Atlanta, Byrd worshiped Dale Murphy (Side note: Like many cardboard collecting enthusiasts we hope he also shredded Upper Deck packs during the summer of '89 hoping to uncover the legend's lucrative reverse negative). Based on his consistent returns, friendly hitting environment and entrenched everyday spot, he very easily could compile year end totals which could be deemed mini-Murph-like -- and surprising.

Fearless Forecast (rest of season): 121 at-bats, .291 BA, 5 HR, 23 RBI, 21 R, 3 SB

DOUBLE DIPPERS

For stream conscious owners who want to push the innings-pitched envelope this is the list for you. Run support, ballpark factors, historical and recent trends, opposing offenses, opposing SPs, managerial tendencies and meteorological influences are painstakingly taken into account to give you the top double dippers of each week.


Other AL douple dippers: Ryan Rowland-Smith(notes), Sea (Oak, KC), Jose Contreras(notes), ChW (at Bos, at NYY), Vin Mazzaro(notes), Oak (at Sea, at LAA), Jeremy Sowers(notes), Cle (at KC, at Bal), Freddy Garcia(notes), ChW (at Bos, at NYY)


Other NL double dippers: Sean West(notes), Fla (NYM, SD), Ross Ohlendorf(notes), Pit (Phil, at Mil), Jason Hammel(notes), Col (LAD, at SF), Garrett Mock(notes), Was (at ChC, at StL), Bobby Parnell(notes), NYM (Phi, at ChC), Collin Balester(notes), Was (Mil, at StL)

FEAST OR FAMINE?  

Torn between two stat-similar infielders this week? Use the pitching and hitting staff sorters below to help you decide whether or not Adam LaRoche or Rick Porcello is fantasy feast or famine. Stats are for games played through August 20:


--

Image courtesy of US Presswire

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82 Comments

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  1. Tex
    1. Posted by Tex Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:47 pm EDT

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    So, logically...If she ways the same as a duck.....she's made of wood!....And therefore.... A witch!
  2. Tex
    2. Posted by Tex Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:49 pm EDT

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    Yes, I know...."weighs"....I cut & pasted it from another site....you're all gay.
  3. Tex
    3. Posted by Tex Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:50 pm EDT

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    Yes, I know...."weighs"....I cut & pasted it from another site....you're all gay.
  4. Paul B
    4. Posted by Paul B Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:50 pm EDT

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    I wish there was a way that they could have your Marlon Byrd "Cuckoo" sound effect play when you click on this week's "Weekly Rundown" link. Classic stuff Brad.
  5. Paul B
    5. Posted by Paul B Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:51 pm EDT

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    I wish there was a way that they could have your Marlon Byrd "Cuckoo" sound effect play when you click on this week's "Weekly Rundown" link. Classic stuff Brad.
  6. Tex
    6. Posted by Tex Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:51 pm EDT

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    Don't you hate guys who nail the first post and then, in their excitement, immediately follow it up with 2 or 3 more useless posts?....Don't you hate that?
  7. Paul B
    7. Posted by Paul B Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:53 pm EDT

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    There's an echo in here for some reason...
  8. A Gels
    8. Posted by A Gels Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:54 pm EDT

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    lawl.
  9. BK
    9. Posted by BK Sat Aug 22, 2009 3:58 pm EDT

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    Nice piece! Need a HUGE favor. Who do you like for just the Home Runs and RBI's the rest of the way.... Kyle Blanks, Travis Snyder, Colby Rasmus, or Matt LaPorta??? Please respond ASAP, it would help alot. Also, if you can rank the 4 in order it would be that much better. Thanks again!
  10. A Gels
    10. Posted by A Gels Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:01 pm EDT

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    BK ive read that in every article for three days. For HR and RBI take blanks....
  11. ruio99
    11. Posted by ruio99 Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:14 pm EDT

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    Not even a glancing ref to Nelson Cruz? Those HR are in the bank now...
  12. million_dollar_sleeper
    12. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:17 pm EDT

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    you guys having trouble clicking the Post Comment button? its tough
    tex, all your comments are useless. im sure everyone is used to em by now : )
    "hey beavis, evans said poop, Heh heh heh eh he heh heh heh!"
  13. sum_nox
    13. Posted by sum_nox Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:27 pm EDT

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    I'm feeling pretty smart lately - in an 18 teamer, I snagged Borbon and Byrd right before this prognosticator decided write colums. Sweet.
  14. DOMINATION
    14. Posted by DOMINATION Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:29 pm EDT

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    No Josh Johnson?
  15. Brian
    15. Posted by Brian Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    Harden with 2 home starts against two of the worst offenses in baseball and you list him as the 10th best 2-Start pitcher in the NL this week. Not very accurate IMO
  16. paco
    16. Posted by paco Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:40 pm EDT

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    hey Brad Congratulations on winning your Cruz Homerun total bet the first day he came from the DL; bet yo were a little scared after Cruz was on the DL for so long and some of them reports coming back that werent so positive
  17. Vince K
    17. Posted by Vince K Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:47 pm EDT

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    Harden should be ranked second for NL two-start pitchers.
  18. million_dollar_sleeper
    18. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Sat Aug 22, 2009 4:55 pm EDT

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    no closing time tonite means youll have to wait another 5 days to post the Charlie Haeger Cant Pitch 55 headline. i ran out of moves so the knuckleballer is on the team for good... why do we use limited moves to stop streaming when the simple answer is a 60 IP weekly max??? oh yahoo, where art thou? MDS has to manually do this trust his opposing managers. Dusty Diamonds All-Star Fantasy Baseball. if anyone knows that reference, tell me who your first pick is, mine is Alan not Sparky or Mikey
  19. david b
    19. Posted by david b Sat Aug 22, 2009 5:17 pm EDT

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    Jesus, MDS, you're references are getting too thick and show-offy, you're like the Umberto Eco of the Roto Arcade boards, without the laughs. Charlie Haeger? Dusty Diamond? Is that a play on Dustin Diamond, or Dusty Baker? Or Sammy Hager's 'I Can't Drive 55'? I would give you more credit than any of those, but it seems like you took the path more traveled, and that has made all the difference.
  20. million_dollar_sleeper
    20. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Sat Aug 22, 2009 5:32 pm EDT

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    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lyJWVw6xqY0
    its not really usable tho cuz everyone knows, Sammy Hagar likes to party but David Lee Roth is the party
  21. jah341
    21. Posted by jah341 Sat Aug 22, 2009 5:43 pm EDT

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    Any chance Julio Borbon gets another OF start in the next month? I'm tired of seeing him DH, even when he comes off the bench, when he only needs 1 more OF start!
  22. Wild Kired
    22. Posted by Wild Kired Sat Aug 22, 2009 5:45 pm EDT

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    I'll take Jason Werth over Byrd any day.
  23. Billy Bean
    23. Posted by Billy Bean Sat Aug 22, 2009 5:49 pm EDT

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    MDS is the village idiot where he lives, I'm convinced of it.
  24. Steve
    24. Posted by Steve Sat Aug 22, 2009 6:03 pm EDT

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    What a lame article title!

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Andy Behrens

Roto Arcade is a fantasy sports blog edited by Andy Behrens. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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