Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Known as the Sacagawea of fantasy primers, the Weekly Rundown guides head-to-head owners through a forest of obscure stats and exploitable matchups in an attempt to help solve lineup conundrums. While reading, keep in mind matchups are subject to change due to managerial moves, unforeseen injuries and Mother Nature's influences.

Note: Due to BBQ/family committments, this week's Rundown is slightly condensed. Have a safe, but explosive Fourth!

LEADING OFF

Stepping away from the geek machines this holiday weekend, several fantasy owners will likely engage in a variety of risky behaviors. Diet beer consumption, Roman candle wars and whiffle ball games a handful of days removed from surgical sterilization are sure to jeopardize the health of many.   

The virtual masses would universally agree plucking Mike Hampton(notes) off waivers is also a perilous activity. But the seemingly ancient hurler is in a prime position to post explosive numbers this upcoming week.

Umm, yes, you read that correctly.

In his past four starts, the former All-Star has been stealthily effective. Though matched against infirm opponents (Pit (2), Ari, SD), he's emerged victorious twice and tallied a 2.16 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 25 innings. More impressively, he's accumulated a 64.9 groundball percentage over that stretch. According to ‘Stros pitching coach Dewy Robinson, Hampton's sudden resurrection is primarily due to a renewed emphasis on his four-seam fastball:

"We felt some of the teams were just sitting on his off-speed stuff, his sinker, his changeup, his curveball and slider. He needed to speed up the bats because they were sitting on the off-speed."

Playing hot potato with a short-wicked M-80 might seem less endangering than trusting an over-the-hill starter in an unforgiving ballpark, but with home matchups against Pittsburgh and Washington, he's unmistakably user-friendly.

In three starts this season against the Bucs (20 IP), he's dominated, racking an impeccable 3-0 record with a 0.90 ERA, 0.70 WHIP and ridiculous 16:2 K:BB split. The southpaw has yet to face the Nationals this year, but the perpetual basement dwellers have batted .244 and averaged a mere 3.6 runs/game since June 1, the fifth-worst mark on the senior circuit.

Obviously, he's a one-week rental in 14-team mixed leagues, but based on his gracious slate, the six percent-owned Astro is a terrific roll-of-the-dice option.

Fearless Forecast (this week): 14 IP, 2 W, 1.93 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 10 K

Battered, bruised or should not be used: Aramis Ramirez(notes) (rehabbing in low minors, returns Monday), Erik Bedard(notes) (smooth simulated game Friday, may start Tuesday), Kevin Slowey(notes) (DL'ed with strained right wrist), Scott Downs(notes) (should be activated by Monday), Josh Hamilton(notes) (rehabbing at Triple-A Oklahoma City, will suit up for Texas sometime this week), Edinson Volquez(notes) (started throwing session, probably 2-3 weeks away), Raul Ibanez(notes) (rehab assignment now won't start until Sunday, late-week activation likely), Ryan Doumit(notes) (participated in first rehab game without restriction, back right after break), Juan Pierre(notes) (Man-Rammed)

DOUBLE DIPPERS

For stream conscious owners who want to push the innings-pitched envelope this is the list for you. Run support, ballpark factors, historical and recent trends, opposing offenses, opposing SPs, managerial tendencies and meteorological influences are painstakingly taken into account to give you the top double dippers of each week.


Other AL Double Dippers: Brett Anderson(notes), Oak (at Bos, at TB), Jeremy Sowers(notes), Cle (at ChW, at Det)


Other NL Double Dippers: Barry Zito(notes), SF (Fla, SD), Sean West(notes), Fla (at SF, at Ari), Jordan Zimmermann(notes), Was (at Col, at Hou), Jason Hammel(notes), Col (Was, Atl), Jon Garland(notes), Ari (SD, Fla), Walter Silva(notes), SD (at Ari, at SF), Virgil Vasquez(notes), Pit (at Hou, at Phi), Craig Stammen(notes), Was (at Col, at Hou)

FEAST OR FAMINE?  

Torn between two stat-similar infielders this week? Use the pitching and hitting staff sorters below to help you decide whether or not Adam LaRoche or Rick Porcello is fantasy feast or famine. Stats are for games played through July 3:


--

Image courtesy of US Presswire

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61 Comments

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  1. BigNoise
    1. Posted by BigNoise Sat Jul 04, 2009 10:51 am EDT

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    Happy Fourth fellow Noisers! Decorated in red, white and blue, here are this week's discussion questions. As always, your participation is strongly encouraged.
    1) Which pitcher will be more valuable from this point forward: Ricky Romero or Johan Santana? (Noise: Romero)
    2) Vegas over/under: Albert Pujols 160 RBIs. (Noise: Over, 161)
    3) Favorite Founding Father. (Noise: Ben Franklin -- the first true American pimp)
    4) Firework of choice. (Noise: Saturn Missiles)
    5) The next swarm of insects to invade a major league park: type, when, where? (Noise: Locusts, Game 7 of the 2011 World Series, Wrigley Field)
    BONUS: Song you can't avoid every Independence Day, but wish you could. (Noise: Lee Greenwood, "Proud to be an American")
  2. Eddy A
    2. Posted by Eddy A Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:10 am EDT

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    1) Santana. track record doesnt lie
    2) Just under. Well unless, he hits like 5 more grand slams lol
    3)Ditto, ben Frank
    4)Saturn Missles
    5)Locusts, progressive Park.....within the next few days
  3. chrisstan99
    3. Posted by chrisstan99 Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:36 am EDT

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    League of extraordinary gents.....join if you dare
  4. P-Mo
    4. Posted by P-Mo Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:42 am EDT

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    1) Santana
    2) OVER....Pujols is a beast
    3) Thomas Jefferson
    4) Saturn Missiles are the greatest...especially because they annoy the hell out of the neighbors
    5) Locusts, Wrigley, 2010 NLDS....we all know the Cubs aren't gonna make it to the World Series
    Bonus: Springsteen "Born in the USA"
  5. Shucky
    5. Posted by Shucky Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:42 am EDT

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    1. Johan
    2. 160
    3. Thomas Jefferson (Did you know his voice was so high pitched he had proxies deliver speeches because people made fun of him)
    4. Dixie Cannon
    5. The Nats will invade Washington today.
    Bonus: Anything by Toby Keith cause he sucks.
  6. Anrkist
    6. Posted by Anrkist Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:46 am EDT

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    1) Johan is a bum.
    2) Over, 200
    3) Hancock. Cool name.
    4) Strobe lights... they look so cool when you drop them in a 5 gallon jug of cheap red wine. Any substance will do though. Hand soap.
    5) Let's go with Gnats/Lice in the same series but during game 2 to coincide with the Plagues of Egypt. Locust would have worked if not for them being the 8th plague.
    6) The National Anthem.
  7. Trigga Play
    7. Posted by Trigga Play Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:58 am EDT

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    How does Zimmerman not make the main double dippers list, the kind of numbers he's been putting up the last month?
  8. Max
    8. Posted by Max Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:03 pm EDT

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    LMAO @ Noise thinking Cubs play in word series with home field advantage. Swarm of locusts much more realistic.
  9. In Kobe I Trust
    9. Posted by In Kobe I Trust Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:18 pm EDT

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    1) I will have to say DONT MESS WITH JOHAN in the 2nd half
    2) Over and i see him getting 168 (my mama told me so)
    3) I am backing George Washington hard after seeing this
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RBIWdPl4m0s
    4) Got to say the light and grow snakes have amazed me from my youth til now
    5) I succeed to the NOISE, no way anyone is toping that
    Bonus- I can't seem to get away from Toby Keith "Courtesy of the Red, White & Blue" I agree with putting a SHAQ SIZE boot up Osama's a (double crooked letter).... but any song can be overplayed
  10. LOVE DOCTOR
    10. Posted by LOVE DOCTOR Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:27 pm EDT

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    Any love for Lackey??
  11. Aqua Cadet
    11. Posted by Aqua Cadet Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:29 pm EDT

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    1. Johan. But only because Ricky Romero is a tool.
    2. Over, if he is pitched too. But the type of beast Pujols is, teams may start walking him with the bases loaded.
    3. I hope that Thomas Paine counts. This mother was crazy. Wrote Common Sense and Rights of Men during the Revolution, right? France likes him so much they make him a senator or something. Mother licka doesn't even speak French! But it is whatever. Then the French Revolution occurs, so they jail him. He writes a book advocating deism, free-thinking, and denounces the Church. They set him free. Paine and Napoleon become friends.
    Paine dies in America with no friends at age 72.
    4. That Dragon thing from Lord of the Rings.
    5. Joe Buck and Tony Kornheiser for Game 1 of the WS this year, any park.
    Bonus - Fortunate Son by CCR. I like me some CCR, but people play this as if it was the damned anthem of America.
  12. million_dollar_sleeper
    12. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:41 pm EDT

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    i was streaming hampton last week, nice to see ya catch up to us Brad
    romero over mr second half? thats gonna take a lot of blisters
    George Washington, id like to talk to him about his 40 acre "hemp" farm
  13. Ari
    13. Posted by Ari Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:44 pm EDT

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    Ricky Romero is having a better rookie season thus far than luminaries such as Lincecum and Hamels did. It's a shame playing in Canada means he isn't recognized by the American media.
  14. Erin Quinn
    14. Posted by Erin Quinn Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:55 pm EDT

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    You forgot about Wandy Rodriguez. 7/7 vs PIT and 7/12 vs WAS!!!!
  15. cubbybear
    15. Posted by cubbybear Sat Jul 04, 2009 12:58 pm EDT

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    1. Santana.. he'll bounce back albeit with a horrible team.. 2. Over.. l83.. 8 shy of Hack Wilson's 191 3. John Adams- Paul Giametti(HBO miniseries) as Adams busting King of England's balls is priceless! 4. A whole bunch of Salutes or Maroons- those white flashes followed by loud reports 5. fruit flies at Tropicana Field ? BONUS-agree with u Noise: "Proud to be an American".. isn't it too obvious?!
  16. smittp321
    16. Posted by smittp321 Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:00 pm EDT

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    yeah a little late on hampton; came off the dl with a nice qs (@ PETCO, tho)
  17. Andre
    17. Posted by Andre Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:09 pm EDT

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    1. Johan by a lot. The problems are in his head and he's money in the 2nd half.
    2. Over. Maybe the rest of the lineup will participate in this hitting thing the rest of the way forward.
    3. Hamilton. Dude was gangsta. His duel with Aaron Burr on the Palisades was epic.
    4. Monkey Drive - It's a cardboard monkey driving a rocket propelled cardboard car that shoots jumping jacks and eventually explodes... Close second is the Roman Candle - The firework you can hold in your hand and aim at your friends. Man the holiday was so much more fun before The Man started busting people for fireworks here in NYC. Honestly everything used to be much more fun in NYC, sigh...
    5. Cicada invasion in Citifield on 10/4/09 as the Mets attempt to put away the 'Stros and earn a playoff birth. The swarm causes a routine play to take a crazy hop a la the Coco and The Seagull and The Mets go on to another October of raking leaves and playing golf.
    BONUS: "Pink Houses," John Cougar Melloncamp
  18. Walker
    18. Posted by Walker Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:15 pm EDT

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    1. Johan - The Mets offense can't get any worse, right?
    2. Under - At some point opposing pitching will stop pitching too him. Remember Barry Bonds getting walked with the bases loaded about 5 years ago? Don't be surprised if Pujols begins getting the same treatment. I'm going to say he has 152 RBIs
    3. Ben Franklin - He's on the $100 bill, 'nuff said.
    4. Those little black pellets that turn into snakes
    5. Cockroaches at the new Citifield
    6. Proud to be an American - Can't really go wrong with that pick.
    Happy 4th!
  19. Justin W
    19. Posted by Justin W Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:29 pm EDT

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    cubbies wont make the series you goose!!! ever
  20. marinerjoey
    20. Posted by marinerjoey Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:33 pm EDT

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    1) Johan, but I'm rooting for Ricky. He is on my team
    2) I'll say Albert gets 158 because they will walk him too much
    3) Ben Franklin, he's on the $100 bill
    4) Dixie Whistlers all the way!
    5) Beatles will invade Manny's dredlocks today.
  21. Marty McFly
    21. Posted by Marty McFly Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:43 pm EDT

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    Hey Brad,
    Can you please bring back the "To Catch a Thief" section? As an avid head-to-head player, I found the section extemeley helpful in managing the steals category week-to-week. As steals are by far the rarest offensive category, streaming a multi-steal game from a speedster paired up with a poor defensive catcher can make for a huge impact and win you the category for the week.
    I'd also love to read more info on what pitchers allow the most steals. (Like Chris Young.) All that info was very, very useful.
    1. Johan
    2. Under (148)
    3. John Hancock... cool name and that big signature oozes confidence
    4. They all basically do the same thing
    5. Lice from Manny Ramirez's hair at the next Dodgers game
    6. Proud to be an American
  22. Jet
    22. Posted by Jet Sat Jul 04, 2009 1:55 pm EDT

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    1. Santana...gotta go with proven talent
    2. Under for Albert....remember all the Josh Hamilton hype pre all-star break last season?
    3. I cannot tell a lie...George Washington...besides, who doesn't like cherry pie?
    4. Roman Candles....keeps everyone away from you and on the edgy side, lol!
    5. Fire ants...emitting from the center field "Hill" at Minute Maid Ball Park and crawling up Michael Bourn's legs.
    Bonus: R*O*C*K in The USA by John Melloncamp
    Hey....to all fellow Noiser's....have a happy and SAFE 4th!
  23. Drazen
    23. Posted by Drazen Sat Jul 04, 2009 2:07 pm EDT

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    im in a 12 team league and i was wondering if i have the best team ever...1b.pujols,2nd base utley,ss hanley,3b miggy cabrera,ofs..adam lind,adam jones,and ryan ludwick and uti is jason bartlett..thats my offense...lol...and my pitching staff includes johan,greinke,billingsley,romero,verlander,and jurrjens and my closers are jose valverde and K ROD...THE GREATEST TEAM IN FANTASY HISTORY!!
  24. HOFFMAN J
    24. Posted by HOFFMAN J Sat Jul 04, 2009 2:19 pm EDT

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    1) COME ON, dont be ridiculous...romero has been great lately but see Wall, Rookie
    2) Albert- Under... due to intentional walks...watch out for ryan howard making a run at him in second half..
    3) all of our founding fathers were incredibly smart and forward thinking men, who pledged to risk their fortunes, their sacred honor and their very lives in signing the declaration of independence..and they did just that...
    hard to go against Ben though- was at his museum in Phily this week- an amazing individual
    4) favorite firework- anything that i dont have to pay for, and doesnt make my kids cries...
    5) tough one... i know alot of cockroaches come out of the woodwork here during football season- they are dallas cowboys fans who have never set foot in texas... as for baseball, i will say it will be moths flying out of bud selig's debut during a brewers game in september...
    song i wish i could avoid on the 4th- anything by toby keith
    H
  25. HOFFMAN J
    25. Posted by HOFFMAN J Sat Jul 04, 2009 2:20 pm EDT

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    p.s. the red hats worn by all baseball teams this weekend? lame... baseball trying to act patriotic, but all it really is is a scam to sell more caps

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