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Between them, Brady and Manning have 13 Pro Bowl selections, four regular season MVP awards and three Super Bowl MVPs. They've also delivered two of the all-time fantasy seasons (Brady in '07, Manning in '04). These guys both rank among the greatest quarterbacks in NFL history. Today, however, we're focused only on 2009 fantasy value. Brandon Funston and Andy Behrens debate the merits of two elite QBs who are separated by very little in terms of average draft position (15.7 for Brady, 16.2 for Manning). Let's play the feud...

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__14/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-879154325-1247145021.jpg?ym.A4iBDvrzOQKU2Behrens says: Tom Brady(notes) authored the greatest fantasy season in history just two years ago (4806 yards, 50 TDs), and all of the essential pieces of his offense remain in place. Randy Moss(notes) and Wes Welker(notes) lead the AFC's best receiving corps, and the New England O-line returns intact. If veterans Joey Galloway(notes) and Fred Taylor(notes) have anything left to offer, there's a chance that the Patriots' attack could actually improve.

But even if the New England offense doesn't get better, it's worth noting that it was more productive than Indy's last year. Even with Matt Cassel(notes) at the controls and learning on the job, the Patriots still scored more points per game than the Colts (25.6 to 23.6) and they gained more yards (365.4 to 335.5). Now that Brady is back, expect New England to keep the accelerator firmly pressed to the floor. They're going to eviscerate opponents again, not merely beat them.

Are you worried about the knee? Well, the next negative offseason report on Brady will be the first. You're concerned about the departure of Josh McDaniels? C'mon. The Pats have survived coordinator losses before.

Brady's fantasy ceiling this season is simply much higher than Manning's. In fact, Peyton was just the No. 6 overall fantasy QB in Yahoo! leagues in 2008, and he finished only 10 total points ahead of Cassel. If you're the sort of fantasy owner who routinely gets a brand-name QB in Round 1 or 2, then Brady is the guy to target.

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__14/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-659842127-1247145039.jpg?ymPB4iBDeTS5SBRPFunston says Tom Brady is the reigning single-season TD pass champion. But it’s a mistake to think he can keep treating the league like his own personal candy store. The league adjusts, it always does. Just like when Peyton Manning(notes) dropped from 49 TD passes in ’04 to 28 in ’05. Or like when Dan Marino dropped from 48 TD passes in ’84 to 30 in ’85. Or when LaDainian Tomlinson(notes) dropped from 28 rush TDs in ’06 to 15 in ’07 … you get the idea.

The argument for Manning over Brady is simple: consistency. Manning guarantees you 16 games at a top tier fantasy production level for his position. Take a look at where Manning has finished among QBs in terms of fantasy points from 2000 to present:

2000: 3rd; 2001: 3rd; 2002: 3rd; 2003: 2nd; 2004: 2nd; 2005: 3rd; 2006: 1st; 2007: 4th; 2008: 6th

During that same span, Brady has finished in the top six just twice. But, that’s because he didn’t have Randy Moss to work with the whole time, you say. Well, Moss is two years older (32) than the last time he caught a ball from Brady in a game. And Brady is coming off a severe ACL injury. It’s just wrong to let your opinion of Brady’s value be formed entirely on the Sentimental Street of 2007.

I’m not picking Manning because I believe he’s going to be the top quarterback. I’m drafting him because I know he's a top tier lock, and assurances like that are few and far between in fantasy football.

Which quarterback would you select first on draft day?

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Photos via Getty Images

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449 Comments

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  1. Brock Lesnar
    1. Posted by Brock Lesnar Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:33 pm EDT

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    first, brady
  2. Brock Lesnar
    2. Posted by Brock Lesnar Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:33 pm EDT

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    first, brady
  3. *M*
    3. Posted by *M* Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:41 pm EDT

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    two best in the game
  4. jon h
    4. Posted by jon h Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:47 pm EDT

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    phil rivers
  5. jon h
    5. Posted by jon h Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:49 pm EDT

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    phil rivers
  6. nate
    6. Posted by nate Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:55 pm EDT

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    I think there's a pretty consistent fantasy opinion this year of: 1-Brees, 2-Brady, 3-Manning.
  7. allsaints
    7. Posted by allsaints Thu Jul 09, 2009 2:56 pm EDT

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    Brees beats them both ....again but anyways of Manning and Brady, I'm goin Brady for the simple fact that he can WIN YOUR LEAGUE for you whereas manning can't. You may be taking a bigger risk, but in Fantasy F Ball you absolutely have to. Brady's a lock for 22-25 points every week. Manning has the occasional "bad" 15-17 point day
  8. Tevita
    8. Posted by Tevita Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:03 pm EDT

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    Peyton Manning Is Way Better
  9. Captain America
    9. Posted by Captain America Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:04 pm EDT

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    Manning is clearly on the down side of his run. His last 2 seasons have him as 4th and 6th among QB's but last year he was tied for 8th in PPG. Not good. This year he has a new coaching system that if the news out of the early camps can be trusted, he is not happy with. Harrison is gone some of his O-line has retired and the running game has left the building. As a Indy fan I am hoping Brown will help. Reggie is a good WR but he is not a TD WR, he is a Yds type of WR. For me Manning is not worth the high draft pick it would take to get him when young guns like A. Rodgers and P. Rivers will be waiting 2 rounds later with probably better production in the "09". If I am going to risk a high draft pick on a QB, It has to a QB with the talent and coaching staff in place to support him, Brady or Breese are the true choices here. I choose Brady.
  10. Lee Majors
    10. Posted by Lee Majors Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:06 pm EDT

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    Yeah, most of us have Brees at No. 1. It's murkier with Brady and Manning. Those two are usually 2/3 (not always).
  11. Ebber N
    11. Posted by Ebber N Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:08 pm EDT

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    R-i-v-e-r-s
  12. FaiZ
    12. Posted by FaiZ Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:11 pm EDT

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    Peyton is peyton, but it is high risk high reward for Brady, and i'm willing to take that chance!! =)
  13. shibbytime2005
    13. Posted by shibbytime2005 Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:12 pm EDT

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    Brady is back and whoever takes him in the draft won't regret it.
  14. ervynz44
    14. Posted by ervynz44 Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:15 pm EDT

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    peytin is better out of those 2. but it will prolly be something unexpected like kyle horton or Kurt Warner who actually takes the crown. something unexpected tends to happen that is 1 lesson i've always learned.
  15. Rob v.17
    15. Posted by Rob v.17 Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:19 pm EDT

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    lmao rivers is an overrated bum. just wait until that loser can't just blindly toss up floaters and have his gigantic catchers snatch them out of the air.
    and i'd take peyton. brady won't have belichik throwing a fit and running up the score again.
  16. kazepdp
    16. Posted by kazepdp Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:19 pm EDT

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    Mcnabb!!!!
  17. Mike A
    17. Posted by Mike A Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:21 pm EDT

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    you didn't even mention all the coaching changes for manning or the loss of marvin harrison. Brady wins while manning tries to hold his team together.
  18. Khonesavath C
    18. Posted by Khonesavath C Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:21 pm EDT

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    matt hasselbeck! hahahahaha!! GO SEAHAWKS!
  19. texans network
    19. Posted by texans network Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:23 pm EDT

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    drew brees he is purely a fit qb for da nfl and he was 1 td away from breaking dan marino rec so.. that tells me something about da purdue man
  20. Chief Jeem
    20. Posted by Chief Jeem Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:24 pm EDT

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    Brees is not better than either of them.
  21. Chief Jeem
    21. Posted by Chief Jeem Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:25 pm EDT

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    He was going for Marino's single season passing record, not touchdowns, get your facts straight.
  22. mcman44
    22. Posted by mcman44 Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:26 pm EDT

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    Who is Kyle Horton?
    Expect Romo to be top 5 now that he can throw to who he wants to. He's good for a lot of TD's too.
  23. Flash Bazbo
    23. Posted by Flash Bazbo Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:26 pm EDT

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    Phillip Rivers all the way!
  24. Louis
    24. Posted by Louis Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:26 pm EDT

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    They have 4 Super Bowl wins between them. Brady: Rams, Panthers and Eagles. Manning: Bears.
  25. Southern G
    25. Posted by Southern G Thu Jul 09, 2009 3:27 pm EDT

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    Who cares about fantasy dickering!
    The real Tom Brady will lead the real NE Patriots to a real Super Bowl win, and maybe a perfect season getting there!

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