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You'll find All Day Peterson atop most pre-draft cheat sheets, but not all. There are a few courageous dissenters within the expert community. Brandon Funston is such a man. He's taking MJD first overall, leaving Peterson for the chump drafting second. Funston has 250 words to make his case, starting now...

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__16/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-336853154-1249397044.jpg?ym10drBD3LXG52qKBrandon says: I understand that I’m not going to win this vote. Adrian Peterson is just too sexy. He’s young. He possesses track speed and a robo-physique. And he’s already compiled a library full of highlight-reel runs. But, for the non-lemmings among you, let me state an argument for Maurice Jones-Drew(notes) over AP.

1. Consider that Peterson has not finished among the top three RBs in fantasy points per game in either his rookie or sophomore campaign.

2. Consider that in those past two seasons, MoJo has outproduced him in yards per touch (5.50 to 5.43) and TDs per touch (.049 to .036).

3. Consider that MoJo, in a platoon role, was second among RBs in ’08 in receptions (62) while a full-time Peterson ranked just 44th (21), one reception better than Cedric Benson(notes).

Finally, let’s not forget health. The upright, violent stylings of AP caused him to miss two games as a rookie, which is one more than MoJo has missed in his three-year career.

Simply put, MoJo is dynamic in all facets of the game, be it short-yardage, between the 20s, receiving, blocking, durability ... you name it. And the biggest issue people have with him (his size) is actually a benefit as he’s easily lost by the defense in a crowd and his low, stout frame makes it hard for defenders to deliver a solid lick.

With an expected career-high workload of 300-plus touches this season with Fred Taylor(notes) gone, I won’t hesitate to buck convention and go with MoJo at No. 1.

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__16/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-867157282-1249397104.jpg?ymw1drBD_b_nEexDAndy says: The Adrian Peterson argument begins (and it should end) with the fact that he's the NFL's most dangerous skill position player, and he's going to get another huge workload in '09. He presents an unfair combination of speed, elusiveness and power -- absurd, humiliating, destructive power

Peterson led the league in rushing yards last season (1760) and he was second in carries (363). He already owns the single-game rushing record, and he's finished first in the NFL in per-game yards in each of his first two seasons. And his offensive line is among the best in football -- the Vikings' left side (McKinnie/Hutchinson) is as good as it gets. Only two backs have out-rushed Peterson in their first two NFL seasons: Jim Brown and Eric Dickerson. That is the company he keeps.

Basically, the 24-year-old Peterson is an all-time talent in an ideal situation. No back has a better chance to reach 2,000 yards. In fact, that's among Peterson's goals for '09:

"That’s my bar. It will always be 2,000 or more. God willing and with the guys I have surrounding me, I’ll be able to accomplish that one day."

What about NFL MVP?

"Oh yeah," he said.

It should go without saying that you'll want to own Peterson in the year that he reaches his objectives. His set-up right now -- this year -- is nearly perfect. He's the centerpiece of the offense and surrounded by talent. Whether you're drafting for ceiling or past performance, Peterson is the pick.

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Whose name do you call with the No. 1 overall fantasy pick?

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Photos via US Presswire 

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352 Comments

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  1. Trigga Play
    1. Posted by Trigga Play Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:05 pm EDT

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    I see MJD as the floor #1 draft pick, and AP as the ceiling #1 draft pick. No one has the ability to put up the line AP could put up besides him, but he does have an injury history, and he can be inconsistent, rushing for 250 yards one game then 55 the next.
    It really depends on your preference. Are you an upside or a consistency guy?
  2. Isaac M
    2. Posted by Isaac M Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:08 pm EDT

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    I couldn't help but notice that the argument for Jones-Drew included why he would be better than AP, but the AP argument just said "AP is really really good."
  3. Hurls
    3. Posted by Hurls Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:09 pm EDT

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    What about PPR? I think you gotta take MJD #1 in that case
  4. deathharbour
    4. Posted by deathharbour Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:12 pm EDT

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    In PPR leagues (the only leagues worth playing) this isnt even a discussion
  5. stevekbrakke
    5. Posted by stevekbrakke Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:18 pm EDT

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    I agree mjd is definetely #1 in ppr leagues I would have drafted him first but alas 14th pick for me in my first draft of the year and he slipped all the way to 4th. behind peterson, turner, and forte. I dont know what they were thinking.
  6. scooter281
    6. Posted by scooter281 Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:19 pm EDT

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    Matt Forte gets a big boost in PPR as well.
  7. Jamie T
    7. Posted by Jamie T Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:22 pm EDT

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    MJD really? I'd rather have Turner. I'd hesitantly take him with the three pick. He's all speculation, averages, ratios and fantasy hype right now. Not to mention how pitiful the O-Line in Jacksonville was last year.
  8. Jake
    8. Posted by Jake Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:24 pm EDT

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    Mjd=mvp
  9. Jake
    9. Posted by Jake Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:25 pm EDT

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    the jags o line is healthy and they drafted 2 OTs so yeah
  10. Mark L
    10. Posted by Mark L Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:30 pm EDT

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    Its a tough call. You could make the argument for Michael Turner and Matt Forte as well (and many have). They all have tremendous upside, but they also carry question marks. Bottom line for me, I really don't want a top pick in this year's drafts. I'd rather be getting two guys at the end of round 1/start of round 2, than get a guy who has as many question marks as this years class of top running backs and have to wait all the way to the end of round 2. It is going to be the most interesting fantasy football season in several years, that is for sure.
  11. Mark L
    11. Posted by Mark L Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:32 pm EDT

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    Not to mention how deep running back is as a position overall, you might want to consider skipping them altogether in the first round.
  12. Jay M
    12. Posted by Jay M Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:35 pm EDT

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    Even in my PPR league, I guarantee that AP goes first....He is really just that good. I would be really happy with MJD at 2 though.
  13. Jon P
    13. Posted by Jon P Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:39 pm EDT

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    Either guy is entirely viable. Barring injuries, I don't think we're talking about a huge gap in production. The one thing I will give to Funston is the injury history with AP. Let's face it, AP can top 2,000 yards in a season, even if he misses a couple of games. However those missed games could be ruinous for FF teams. Still, I think AP's ceiling is pretty high and it'd be tough not to grab him immediately.
  14. Lee Majors
    14. Posted by Lee Majors Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:57 pm EDT

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    Isaac, when you're arguing for AP, it's not necessary to discuss the field. I like MJD just fine, but I don't put anyone in Peterson's tier.
  15. The Guru
    15. Posted by The Guru Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:07 pm EDT

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    Whoever said the Jags o-line is really good because they drafted two guys is a complete moron. AP is the # 1 pick and Turner should be the # 2.
  16. Three And Out
    16. Posted by Three And Out Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:10 pm EDT

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    I think MJD has too many question marks surrounding him to be my #1, but as Mark said, I too would prefer not to have a first pick this year. My league is not currently PPR, but I like Forte a lot in that format, especially with Cutler at the helm.
  17. MDS
    17. Posted by MDS Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:16 pm EDT

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    YO ADRIAN!!!!!! who wants a part time RB over the leagues most prolific runner?!?!?!?!? u kidding me?
  18. emDiDDy
    18. Posted by emDiDDy Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:16 pm EDT

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    What about LT he's coming off a "down" year where he had more TDs than AP and more total yds than Mojo.Dont sleep on LT, he's got sumthin to prove to all you naysayers I see 1500/400/20 in 09!
  19. Dan
    19. Posted by Dan Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:23 pm EDT

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    Im taking AP. he is too good to pass up. MJD has no chance of getting to 2000 yards. ever. If AP gets enough oppurtunies he can do it. And now that they have percy harvin and bernard berrian at WR, teams shouldnt be able to go all out on ruin stopping against them. It should free up some space for AP to succeed.
  20. Derek O
    20. Posted by Derek O Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:37 pm EDT

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    I was just talking to a buddy about this exact point. First post hit it on the head, AP has the potential to rush for 2000/20...not really taking into consideration his catching ability. That stat alone could win a league...BUT he could also go down for 4 games and only give you 10 great games (he's still going to run into those defenses that give him troubles for a couple of the games). Making MJD the best pick, yea Forte and Turner could be big but I think MJD has proved more as a starter.
    Another thing to look at is the rest of the offense. Neither offense, passing wise, is good. But I give the edge to the Vikes if they can improve their QB...they got lucky that Jackson went down now Rosenfels can get some more reps. I'd take Berrian/Rice/Harvin/Shiancoe over Northcutt/Williamson/Holt/Lewis to help spread out the offense.
  21. Brian P
    21. Posted by Brian P Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:38 pm EDT

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    If you're going to mention AP's health, then you should probalby consider that if MJD is a complete full-time back for the first time, he's going to get pounded more. Don't assume he's going to be an ironman this year.
  22. Kevin
    22. Posted by Kevin Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:45 pm EDT

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    Logged into a couple of different leagues and sorted running backs by points for 2007 and 2008. AP only ranks in the top 4-6 depending on the league. He's a better real life player than fantasy. I'd rather have MJD or Forte.
    You can talk about AP hitting 2000 yards but so far he hasn't even had 1900 TOTAL yards in either of his seasons. If you're looking for a Marshall Faulk, Priest Holmes, LT2 type of upside (i.e. rushing + receiving + touchdowns), MJD looks like the best bet.
  23. McLovin
    23. Posted by McLovin Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:51 pm EDT

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    I have Forte first on my board, AP #2, Turner #3, and MJD #4. Forte was a stud as a rookie with defenses keying on the run because there was no passing threat (which won`t be the case now that Cutler is there). I think AP will actually loose some of his stats due to Harvin and the probability of a Wildcat formation. Turner is solid but will be utilized less this season with more emphasis on the passing attack due to T. Gonzalez and confidence in Matt Ryan. MJD will have more opportunities but I am not sold on how productive he will be due to their O-line and lack of a passing attack.
  24. Fitzy
    24. Posted by Fitzy Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:53 pm EDT

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    What, people are actually passing up ADP for another back? LMAOOOOOOOOOOOO, too funny!
  25. Fitzy
    25. Posted by Fitzy Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:56 pm EDT

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    "1. Consider that Peterson has not finished among the top three RBs in fantasy points per game in either his rookie
    or sophomore campaign?"
    Huh? Liar. WTF league do you "fantasy experts" play in, anyway? -1 fantasy point per carry for having the name Adrian Peterson?

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