Roto Arcade - Fantasy

The Juggernaut Index is our annual attempt to rank every NFL team for fantasy purposes. And we're finally near the end. We're not concerned with real-life wins and losses here, only fantasy potential. These rankings are not to be questioned.

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__4/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-747498716-1220107436.jpg?ymsvXrADcPtYIHMN3. Indianapolis Colts

It shouldn't be necessary for us to explain why, exactly, the Colts will have a terrific offense this season. We'll just remind you that they've finished among the NFL's top five in points and yards every year since 2003, and we'll refer you to the team statistics below (28.1 PPG and 358.7 YPG in '07).

In an era of unpredictability, they have been both consistent and excellent.

Indianapolis is the only team with a quarterback, running back and wide receiver ranked among the top five at their position for fantasy purposes. They also have the No. 6 tight end, the No. 7 kicker, and the No. 14 team defense.

It would be a severe understatement to say that there are lots of useful Colts. There are, in fact, many elite Colts. Let's review them by average draft position in Yahoo! leagues...

Joseph Addai, RB, ADP 6.0. Entering his third NFL season, Addai already has 23 career touchdowns. His workload was light over the final six games in 2007, but he was also dealing with an injury (or injuries) to his neck and/or shoulder and/or chest. (The Colts are not a dumb team. They reveal very little). Indianapolis has averaged 18 rushing touchdowns per season over the past three years, so it's not like the ground game is an afterthought. Addai will rarely fall beyond the seventh overall pick. If you're handcuffing, the picks are Dominic Rhodes and rookie sixth-rounder Mike Hart, not the recently cut Kenton Keith.

Peyton Manning, QB, ADP 12.1. The only thing we've really learned as a result of all the fretting about Manning's knee injury is...well, it's something most of us didn't need to know:

Manning said he hadn't worn a knee brace during his rehab. "Especially anybody that knows me, I wear tight jeans. There's no way a knee brace could fit under my blue jeans."

When our desire for fantasy information takes us inside Peyton Manning's pants, we've probably gone too far.

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__4/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-663065292-1220107450.jpg?ymsvXrADuQPTPbKvThe Colts' QB hasn't missed a game in his pro career, and he's not going to miss the opener this season against the Bears. It's possible that the injury you should worry about belongs to an offensive lineman:

Jeff Saturday is weighing options that include playing with an injured right knee or undergoing surgery that could force the Indianapolis Colts' three-time Pro Bowl center to miss a good portion of the 2008 season.

"Jeff is trying to determine the best course of action to take," Ralph Cindrich, Saturday's agent, said Tuesday afternoon. "He could have surgery or he could strap it up and play."

The Colts actually selected a few centers in the draft, so they'll have replacement options.

Injury worries have caused Manning to drop to No. 4 in our preseason QB ranks, but it's important to note that he's basically been the most reliable player of the fantasy era. In Manning's worst seasons, he's still passed for more than 3700 yards and 25 touchdowns. He's thrown 30 or more TD passes in three of the past four seasons. Tom Brady has only reached that total once. (True, Brady only needed eight weeks to get there, but still). 

If the Colts were panicked about Manning's knee, they would have kept more than two QBs on the roster.

Reggie Wayne, WR, ADP 15.9. It felt like Randy Moss broke every meaningful receiving record last season, but Wayne actually led the NFL in yardage (1510) and he had six more receptions than Moss. If you're a believer in the reemergence of Marvin Harrison, then maybe you're dropping Wayne a spot or two in the WR ranks. There's no reason to exclude him from the second tier, however, nor from the top six at his position. Wayne arguably offers less risk and fewer question marks than any other receiver. 

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__4/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-953423622-1220295491.jpg?ymAyXrADfHjsjTB7Marvin Harrison, WR, ADP 47.9. Yes, he's playing, despite the knee issues that ruined his 2007. And yes, prior to those injuries he'd gone eight consecutive seasons with at least 80 receptions, 1100 yards, and double-digit touchdowns. And yeah, apparently he separates himself from gun charges as easily as he separates from DBs.

You're drafting Harrison in the fifth round as a WR2, just ahead of Calvin Johnson (ADP 48.8) and a full round before Roddy White (55.8) and Dwayne Bowe (59.0). That's not consistent with our preseason ranks, where Harrison is the No. 24 receiver behind Johnson at 19, White at 20, and Bowe at 23.

There's a difference between playing at peak level and merely playing; clearly we're not all convinced that the 36-year-old Harrison is about to have a vintage season. Notes like this from KFFL inspire little confidence:

Mike Chappell, of the Indianapolis Star, reports Indianapolis Colts WR Marvin Harrison (knee) did not shed much light on his condition when he talked to reporters Tuesday, Aug. 19. He offered no opinion on whether he is back to where he was before he suffered his left knee injury last season.
 

Dallas Clark, TE, ADP 54.5. In Harrison's absence last season, Clark had the best year of his career. He caught 58 passes, and nearly one in five resulted in a TD. He was fifth among tight ends in fantasy scoring last season (121 points). However, if you're bullish on Harrison, then you shouldn't reach for Clark in the sixth round, not with so many other high-ceiling TEs on the board. 

Anthony Gonzalez, WR, ADP 100.0. This is everyone's favorite mid-round sleeper at WR, and you'll earn some "Nice pick" comments in draft chat when you take him. Gonzalez was terrific in Weeks 12-15 last season, catching 20 passes for 347 yards and three TDs. He was productive in the playoff loss to the Chargers, too, catching four passes for 79 yards, including a 55-yard TD that gave the Colts a fourth-quarter lead. Those of you drafting Harrison enthusiastically should consider Gonzalez three or four rounds later as a hedge. 

The Colts' defense scored reasonably well last season in fantasy leagues (150 points), but they certainly don't face a soft schedule (.594). Non-division opponents include Minnesota, Green Bay, New England, Pittsburgh, San Diego, Cleveland and Cincinnati. The best IDP options on the Colts roster are Gary Brackett, Freddy Keiaho, Bob Sanders, Robert Mathis and Dwight Freeney. As with the Colts' offense, there are a bunch of useful defensive pieces to choose from. 

Oh, and another thing: We haven't made a big deal about kickers here in the Index, but it's worth noting that Adam Vinatieri's longest field goal last season was 39 yards. He was 9-for-11 from 40-plus yards the prior year. 

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2007 Indianapolis team stats

Rushing: 106.6 Y/G

Passing: 252.1 Y/G

Points per game: 28.1

Turnovers: 19

Red Zone possessions and TDs: 69, 39

'08 Schedule strength: .594

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The rest of the Index...

32) Chicago, 31) Tennessee, 30) San Francisco, 29) Miami, 28) Baltimore, 27) NY Jets, 26) Oakland, 25) Tampa Bay, 24) Atlanta, 23) Houston, 22) Kansas City, 21) Buffalo, 20) Carolina, 19) Detroit, 18) Seattle, 17) Denver, 16) Washington, 15) St. Louis, 14) Minnesota, 13) Arizona, 12) Jacksonville, 11) Cincinnati, 10) Philadelphia, 9) Pittsburgh, 8) Green Bay, 7) NY Giants, 6) Cleveland, 5) New Orleans, 4) San Diego, 3) Indianapolis

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Photos via Getty Images

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84 Comments

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  1. Thomas P
    1. Posted by Thomas P Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:13 pm EDT

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    pats are #1
  2. Zachary J
    2. Posted by Zachary J Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:19 pm EDT

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    first....
  3. parklife420
    3. Posted by parklife420 Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:59 pm EDT

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    Colts will be huge this year. Peyton's gonna throw 40 tds...
  4. Comish
    4. Posted by Comish Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:55 pm EDT

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    BRADY MOSS WELKER WATSON and the 4 headed best MARONEY MORRIS JORDAN FAULK any day of the week over INDY
  5. danaay
    5. Posted by danaay Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:46 pm EDT

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    When our desire for fantasy information takes us inside Peyton Manning's pants, we've probably gone too far.
    -thats a good line
  6. speedy
    6. Posted by speedy Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:45 pm EDT

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    colts are good but i think manning will struggle with the knee
  7. blenn
    7. Posted by blenn Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:08 pm EDT

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    2 pats 1 dallas
    pats have no running game, maroney isnt so great
    romo, jason witten, T.O., marion barber, felix jones, a stud defense plus patrick crayton
    they will be good
  8. Nickko
    8. Posted by Nickko Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:46 pm EDT

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    As huge of a Pats fan I am, I think they are going to pick Dallas at Number 1
  9. Ags07
    9. Posted by Ags07 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:12 pm EDT

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    Dallas is #1. Better D, better TE, better RB.
  10. J4M9B
    10. Posted by J4M9B Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:37 pm EDT

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    The Index is totally correct in stating that the colts have consistency, and highly skilled fantasy weapons, but it appears that maybe the Colts "half-Dynasty" is closing it's doors on another Super Bowl Opp. The offensive line is the most important aspect of any offense, arguably the most on any team period. No doubt missing Saturday on Sunday will have a negative impact especially in pass blocking situations, combined with a brutal schedule, and Jacksonville smelling blood, the Colts may miss the playoffs for the first time in a while. Whether the real Colts do well or not they still have fantasy value worth its weight in gold, barring a catastrophic knee injury to Manning or Bob Sanders.
  11. Ernest
    11. Posted by Ernest Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:25 pm EDT

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    they should be ahead of cowboys
  12. Kevin
    12. Posted by Kevin Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

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    it is ridiculous that the colts are lower than the pats. and im a chargers fan so im not just bein a dumb hometown fan. all the pats have is a great qb and wr. their def is solid but very old. the colts have the number 2 qb, number 3 wr, number 5 rb, and the number 4-6 te depending on who you talk to. their def will surprise people, and they have a better supporting cast of receivers. case closed.
  13. CMUTIMMAH!!!
    13. Posted by CMUTIMMAH!!! Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:55 pm EDT

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    ok... don't care what number commenter you were.... but the colts are stacked.... have been for years. Good to see Wayne finally come into his own though...
    After this season we'll be talking about drafting Anthony Gonzalez in the Torry Holt draft range.
    Just think if the Colts drafted a Vernon Davis type tight end!
  14. AJ
    14. Posted by AJ Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:36 pm EDT

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    The first of many comments debating New England vs. Dallas. And the first one to disagree with the Colts at 3. The pats will be 1. With two picks in the top 10, you can't argue, so unfortunately they'll win at another thing. :( And the Colts should be 2. You are counting on a lot of one year stats in Dallas when in Indy you know what you're getting. 2nd!!
  15. doin work 22 son
    15. Posted by doin work 22 son Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:14 pm EDT

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    the Pats are a joke, a one hit wonder with those offensive stats they put up...hopefully if they try to duplicate it people will do the right thing in the 4th quarter and break Brady's leg and Moss's hip if they are still in during a blow out which should have been done anyway
  16. danasty 21
    16. Posted by danasty 21 Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:40 pm EDT

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    1a Cowboys 1b Patriots
    Cowboys have the best overall production for fantasy with the edge coming from barber and witten but Patriots have the two best fantasy players that not to mention set records...its just about dead even
  17. truedemon
    17. Posted by truedemon Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:22 pm EDT

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    look at all you fairies crying, "1st." how pathetic.
  18. GK
    18. Posted by GK Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:06 pm EDT

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    But the Pats can't cheat anymore! so the days of this so-called dynasty in New England are over
  19. Mark Donohue-the Legend
    19. Posted by Mark Donohue-the Legend Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:27 pm EDT

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    The Cheateroits really suk!!!!!!!!!!!
  20. my_nombre_is_longer_than_yours
    20. Posted by my_nombre_is_longer_than_yours Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:32 pm EDT

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    Hey a little help from anyone here. I need help choosing which QB to start week 1. Should I go with Roethlisberger against the Texans or Brett Favre against the Dolphins? Thanks to anyone who helps.
  21. George F L
    21. Posted by George F L Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:29 pm EDT

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    Harrison will come back to form. Just watch.
  22. D
    22. Posted by D Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:18 pm EDT

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    This list is so lame. Pats do not deserve to be ranked as high as they apparently will be. They have a QB and 2 receivers for fantasy value. No clear running back threat and an old defense which will be worse this year. I hope every one remember the Culpepper to Moss connection that was so over hyped in Minnesota and how it quickly crumbled because it is about to happen again.
  23. John R
    23. Posted by John R Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:01 pm EDT

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    Dallas certainly has the Pats beat big time at RB and TE even though the Pats have a slight edge at QB and WR so #1 should be Dallas.

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