Roto Arcade - Fantasy

The Juggernaut Index is our annual attempt to rank every NFL team for fantasy purposes. We're not concerned with real-life wins and losses here, only fantasy potential. These rankings rely entirely on personal biases hard, incontrovertible math. They are not to be questioned.

Also, you'll notice that we've now reached the upper half of the Index. Every team remaining offers several useful fantasy pieces. Or they at least offer one dominant fantasy piece, and a few familiar names. There is no shame in a top 16 ranking.

16. Washington Redskins

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__3/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-569509197-1217540608.jpg?ymWHXrADDGEYdM4DIf you were asked to list Jason Campbell's strengths as a quarterback, you probably wouldn't say, "Precision passer, quick release, great anticipation."

Those are necessary traits in a West Coast offense, though. The switch to coach Jim Zorn's system shouldn't unnerve Campbell, exactly, since learning a new offense has become an annual event for the Redskins' QB. He's certainly adaptable, he's clearly talented, and he did the West Coast thing at Auburn for a little while. Campbell simply hasn't been an accurate passer in 624 career NFL attempts (57.7 completion percentage).

Still, Zorn sounds like a believer:

"Jason Campbell today was lights out," Zorn said after the morning practice. "He pushed through a lot of decisions."

We've ranked Campbell 20th among quarterbacks for fantasy purposes, and his Mock Draft Central ADP is 162.9. He's not a starting fantasy QB in Week 1, but he did improve from '06 to '07 -- both in completion percentage and yards per attempt -- and he'll have some dangerous weapons at his disposal.

The most significant of those weapons is the delightfully insane versatile and high-mileage battle-tested Clinton Portis. He was sixth in the NFL in rushing yards last season (1262), fourth in rushing touchdowns (11), and he finished as the 19th highest fantasy scorer in public leagues (210 points). It's worth noting that of all the running backs in the overall top 30, Portis was the only one who averaged fewer than 4.0 yards per carry.

Yet Portis is still only 26 years old and he projects as one of the league's few 300-carry backs. He's No. 9 in the composite running back rankings, and his ADP is 10.7. Portis reportedly had an unusually productive off-season, at least by his standards. There's little doubt that the Redskins intend to give him all the work he can handle...and possibly more:

Zorn already has said Portis won't have the freedom to take himself out of games, which means No. 26 will have to be a workhorse and the offense will run based on how he performs.

The image “http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__3/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-470717644-1217545013.jpg?ymZHXrADEgrwnT2L” cannot be displayed, because it contains errors.If you're drafting Portis, then you're also drafting Ladell Betts (ADP 182.0). And if some weasel snags Betts before your pick, then you should just go ahead and play their diabolical little game and trade for him.

Like Chester Taylor, Betts is an important handcuff. Brad Evans discussed all this in great detail in the Handcuff Hierarchy. Betts was an elite fantasy RB during the second half of 2006 while Portis was shelved due to injury. He rushed for triple-digit yardage in five straight games, from Weeks 12 to 16, and scored three touchdowns during that stretch. Betts also caught 53 passes in '06. He's an injury away from being a must-start fantasy back.

Washington's receiving corps is a blend of familiar names and interesting rookies. You know about Santana Moss, our No. 29 wide receiver. He's a home run threat, but also a guy who seemed to specialize in devastating drops last season. If Moss carried you to a title with his glorious Week 16 effort in 2005 (160 yards, 3 TDs), however, the drops are easily forgiven. Antwaan Randle El set career highs in receptions (51) and receiving yards (728) last year, but had arthroscopic knee surgery in May. You can't reasonably expect him to top last year's numbers, and that makes him a bye-week play at best.

Rookie receivers Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly were both second round picks, and both are of interest in dynasty drafts. Rivals said that Thomas "may be the best athlete of all the receivers in this draft class," but it actually sounds like Kelly should see more action, at least early in the year:

Kelly (6-4, 219), who is playing the X receiver, or split end position, does not possess the speed of Thomas, who has started out at the Z receiver, or flanker. He has, however, made a good impression in camp because of his receiving and blocking skills. Kelly has made several acrobatic catches on deep balls thrown by Campbell and has been physical on running plays in 11-on-11 drills.

"We're all impressed with what he's doing because he's been very mellow, if you will," Zorn said. "Not a big voice, but he makes a statement when he's on the field."

Both rookies are dealing with hamstring issues at the moment, so they'll have some catching up to do during the pre-season. 

Tight end Chris Cooley, of course, is one of the safest possible mid-round fantasy picks. He has excellent hands and remarkable blogging skills for a man his size. Cooley is No. 5 in our tight end rankings, and he's a primary red zone option for the Redskins (27 TDs in 64 career games). Rookie tight end Fred Davis is an excellent receiver, but he certainly won't get work at Cooley's expense.

LB London Fletcher (129 tackles in '07), DB Laron Landry (95 tackles), and DE Jason Taylor (11.0 sacks) are the most interesting IDP options, but the team defense wasn't roster-worthy last season (130), and they're facing a schedule loaded with tough offenses. They open at New York, then face the Saints, Cardinals, Cowboys, Eagles, Rams and Browns. You're not starting the Redskins D in a public league in any of those match-ups.

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2007 Washington team stats

Rushing: 116.9 Y/G

Passing: 216.4 Y/G

Points per game: 20.9

Turnovers: 29

Red Zone possessions and TDs: 55, 27

'08 Schedule strength: .523

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The rest of the Index...

32) Chicago, 31) Tennessee, 30) San Francisco, 29) Miami, 28) Baltimore, 27) NY Jets, 26) Oakland, 25) Tampa Bay, 24) Atlanta, 23) Houston, 22) Kansas City, 21) Buffalo, 20) Carolina, 19) Detroit, 18) Seattle, 17) Denver, 16) Washington

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75 Comments

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  1. Dave!
    1. Posted by Dave! Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:38 pm EDT

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    You forgot to mention Brett Favre, Andy.
  2. Lee Majors
    2. Posted by Lee Majors Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:44 pm EDT

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    Whoop. Sorry, Dave! My bad.
  3. Patrón
    3. Posted by Patrón Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:01 pm EDT

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    Scalp em Skins
  4. Paul Wall
    4. Posted by Paul Wall Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:07 pm EDT

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    Devin Thomas, Malcolm Kelly, Chris Cooley, Fred Davis, Santana Moss, Randle El and Clinton Portis! Campbell should do quite well with those weapons.
  5. Gitar
    5. Posted by Gitar Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:46 pm EDT

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    clinton ortis will be a top 5 fantasy scorer next season
  6. mike
    6. Posted by mike Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:56 pm EDT

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    six?
  7. Jason E
    7. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    16th? Thats terrible. The skins are at least a top 10. Campbell is due or he is going to be out, we can't afford to keep waiting on him to develop. To his deffense he has had to learn a new offense just about every year of his career but its now or never. He needs have a quicker release and needs to make better decisions. If he can accomplish this look out the skins will be a playoff team agian. The west coast offense will spread the field only if Campbell can perform. If he does then Portis will have a HUGE year. Look for 1800+ yards and 20+ td's. GO SKINS
  8. mike
    8. Posted by mike Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:56 pm EDT

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    nine...
  9. Jason E
    9. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    posts?
  10. wild cucumber
    10. Posted by wild cucumber Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:19 pm EDT

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    I feel as that their receivers all have potential but wont reach it this year... I have santana moss as my 1st wr backup in my league.
    I have both Matt Forte and Rashard Mendenhall... should I play them in a committee role or is one of them clear cut above the other... I like Mendenhall more but Forte will get more carries... Answers are well appreciated, thanks.
  11. Jason E
    11. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    if those are your only choices your screwed
  12. charlie
    12. Posted by charlie Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:20 pm EDT

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    1, no wait, 6. err, i mean 9. oh well, i might be 15. i really don't think it matters.
    portis will be a top five back at the end of the year and cooley will be the number 3 te and the end of the year. both are studs!
  13. Jason E
    13. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    matt forte prob has most potential though
  14. wild cucumber
    14. Posted by wild cucumber Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:19 pm EDT

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    No no no its for my flex position... I have LT and Bush ahead of them.
  15. Jason E
    15. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    you might be better off with forte over bush......he has a terrible season last year. Has much potential as well though...needs to toughen up
  16. Blake H
    16. Posted by Blake H Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:52 pm EDT

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    #10 -- you are a JOKE! do you honestly think portis will rush for more than 1800 yrds and get more than 20 TDs?!?! you are an idiot!
  17. Jason E
    17. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    forte....is he the starter in Chicago? if not now he will be
  18. Blake H
    18. Posted by Blake H Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:52 pm EDT

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    start forte over mendenhall, and consider putting in mendenhall in RB and benching reggie if matchup determines it
  19. Jason E
    19. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    Blake, I said if Campbell rund the west coast offense well portis will have a Giagantic year and yes he will have 1800+ and over 20 TD's............have you forgotten his time in Denver already?
  20. Jason E
    20. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    portis was never happy in washington with Gibbs at the helm...he is finaly happy and his off season work proves it. His best year ever this year even if Campbell plays bad. If he plays well he will be top 2 back
  21. Jason E
    21. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    they are top 10 easy....among the others are pats, colts, dallas, giants, philly, greenbay, carolina, chargers, and browns. who else?
  22. ir40meday
    22. Posted by ir40meday Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:24 pm EDT

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    i am die hard skins fan and was at fan day last week, and honestly they didn't look that good, I think we'd be lucky to go 7-9 or 8-8.....I really hope I'm wrong
  23. Jason E
    23. Posted by Jason E Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    what made them not look good?
  24. ir40meday
    24. Posted by ir40meday Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:24 pm EDT

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    To give them some credit they had been training for 6 days in a row mostly 2adays,but they took too long to get lined up, JC's throwing was off,,,, and not one pass over maybe 12-15 yards.....and for a west coast offense that won't cut it...and that was against our number 2 defense......
    but our number 1 D, looked good (without Landry, Montgomery, and a few others)
  25. Todd W
    25. Posted by Todd W Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:14 pm EDT

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    Training camp never looks great, especially not the first week.

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