Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Ludicrously early mock drafting is a time-honored tradition here at Roto Arcade, and it continues this week. We're taking a look at the early rounds of '09 fantasy drafts, assuming standard rotisserie settings. Your drafters are Matt Romig, Matt Buser, Justin Phan, Brandon Funston, Dalton Del Don and Andy Behrens.

For earlier results, follow the links: Round 1, Round 2, Round 3, Round 4.

LaMarcus Aldridge(notes), Portland Trail Blazers FC - Round 5, Pick 1. As threatened, this team drafted another big man, filling a tricky position. Aldridge's post-break numbers from last year (19.1 PPG, 8.6 REB) are completely attainable for him over the course of a full season -- and it wouldn't be a huge surprise if he exceeded 20.0 PPG. He'll shoot respectable percentages while giving you a steal and a block per night. (Behrens)

Tony Parker(notes), San Antonio Spurs PG - Round 5, Pick 2. Not a bad consolation PG for a team that just missed out on D-Rose in Round 4. I'm not necessarily expecting another 22.0 PPG, but Parker remains a lock for 18-20 points, a terrific FG percentage, and a useful assist total (6.9 per game in '08-'09). (AB)

Rudy Gay(notes), Memphis Grizzlies F - Round 5, Pick 3. Gay didn’t build on his breakout 2008-09 season last year, instead dropping off in every category, albeit mostly slightly. Still, he contributes across the board and now entering his fourth year in the league, Gay should improve in 2009-10. (Del Don)

OJ Mayo(notes), Memphis Grizzlies SG - Round 5, Pick 4. Mayo impressed as a rookie, averaging 18.5 PPG, 3.8 REB, 3.2 AST, 1.1 SPG and 1.8 3PT while shooting 87.9 percent from the free throw line. As previously mentioned here, players often make the biggest leap during their second year in the league, which means Mayo could be a monster this season. In hindsight, the 2008 NBA Draft looks extremely strong, especially the top-10. (DDD)

Hedo Turkoglu(notes), Toronto Raptors GF - Round 5, Pick 5.At this pick, I was obviously being mindful of finding a player with a solid FT% (see Dwight Howard(notes) pick in Round 2). But this team was also in need of assists and someone who can fill the small forward spot. Turkoglu is a check mark for each criteria, as he hit on nearly 81 percent of his free throws and also was fourth among small forwards last season with an average of 4.9 assists per game. I think he'll prove to be a nice fit in Portland alongside Brandon Roy(notes) and LaMarcus Aldridge Toronto alongside Jose Calderon(notes) and Chris Bosh(notes). (Funston)

Shawn Marion(notes), Toronto Raptors F - Round 5, Pick 6. Marion’s star has fallen dramatically from a time not so long ago when he was considered a top-five lock. But he still offers unique value in his roto versatility -- low TOs, solid ratios, 8-plus rebounds and a block and steal per game. His scoring took a dip last season, mostly because he suddenly became a non-factor behind the arc (0.1 3PG) after averaging more than one three-pointer per game in each of the previous six seasons. His scoring did improve after he was dealt to Toronto, a D’Antoni-style offense, and I think there’s a decent chance he can rediscover his deep ball if he remains with the Raptors and develops a greater comfort level with the team. Either way, he’s a solid get this late in the draft. (BF)

Andris Biedrins(notes), Golden State Warriors C - Round 5, Pick 7. Even with the drama-filled Nellie soap opera going on in Golden State over the couple seasons, Biedrins has managed to fly under the radar and has become the only player on that team whom you can really depend on to deliver consistent production from season-to-season. His shooting percentages dipped a bit last season, but he managed to set career-highs in points, rebounds, assists, and steals. (Phan)

Nene Hilario(notes), Denver Nuggets FC - Round 5, Pick 8. Nene's comeback campaign ranked right up there with Dwyane Wade(notes) and teammate Chris Andersen(notes) as he battled back from testicular cancer to put up the best numbers of his career. You can't help but be a bit skeptical about his value heading into next season, but the upside of him putting up top 25 production once again is just too much to pass on at this stage in the draft. The Nuggets' frontcourt situation will remain the same, so the opportunity for him to match his '08 numbers is certainly there. (JP)

Andrea Bargnani(notes), Toronto Raptors FC - Round 5, Pick 9. Bargs took a solid step forward in his third season (15.4 PPG, 40.9 percent 3PT, 1.2 BPG) and I'm expecting even better things this coming year - he'll be locked in as the Raptors' starting center from the outset. His unorthodox and efficient fantasy line fits in well on this squad, as does his center-eligibility. (Buser)

Marcus Camby(notes), Los Angeles Clippers FC - Round 5, Pick 10. Despite a drop-off in production, Camby finished the past season 24th in per-game impact and, despite missing 20 games, his season rank was a very solid 44th. The Zach Randolph(notes) trade not only clears the path for Blake Griffin(notes) but also means Camby's role as a backup big is now more significant, and starter Chris Kaman's(notes) recent injury history is much more extensive than Camby's. (MB)

Andrew Bynum(notes), Los Angeles Lakers C - Round 5, Pick 11. We know the story here. He’s got the talent to be a fantasy force in the pivot (15 points, 9 rebounds, 2 blocks is a reasonable per-game expectation). But he’s also fragile (almost a full season missed over last two years). With big men it’s easier to assume a guy is injury prone rather than unfortunate, but I’m willing to gamble at the C2 position on a guy who could easily be a top 10 force at his position. (Romig)

Ray Allen(notes), Boston Celtics SG - Round 5, Pick 12. There’s not much going on here in the hustle categories (3.5 rebs, 0.9 steals, 0.2 blocks), but even in his advanced years Allen can still score and be a reliable source of 3s who won’t sap your field-goal percentage (41-percent treys in 2008-09). And OK, maybe I’m still a bit mesmerized by that 18-for-32 performance in Game 6 vs. the Bulls. That was special. (Mig)


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