Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Tue Jun 30, 2009 5:00 pm EDT

Fantasy Hoops Mock Draft, Round 2

Ludicrously early mock drafting has become a time-honored tradition here at Roto Arcade, and it continues this week. Let's take a look at the early rounds of '09 fantasy drafts. Assume standard roto settings. Your drafters are Matt Romig, Matt Buser, Justin Phan, Brandon Funston, Dalton Del Don and Andy Behrens.

For earlier results, just follow the links: Round 1.

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__14/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-602283937-1246395467.jpg?ymLBBgBDmZtWHtH8Kevin Garnett(notes), Boston Celtics PF – Round 2, Pick 1. To get the jump on the folks in the gallery below, yes Garnett’s minutes have declined for two consecutive years – his 31:06 per game last season was his lowest total since his rookie year – and he’s recovering from knee surgery, no slam dunk at age 33. The Celtics want Big Baby back as KG insurance, but they also appear willing to part with Ray Allen(notes) or Rajon Rondo(notes), a sign they still think Garnett can be centerpiece of a title team. They’re expecting Garnett to be 100 percent for camp. He fell just outside the top-10 in per-game fantasy output last season. Healthy, we’d expect first-round returns. (Romig)

Deron Williams(notes), Utah Jazz PG – Round 2, Pick 2. Some day, perhaps shortly after Bud Selig retires and Barry Bonds is elected to the Hall of Fame on his sixth ballot, sports historians will abandon steroids and cast a critical eye on the NBA’s juiced-ball era. Do you realize that of the top 30 single-game assist totals in NBA history, 15 were recorded between 1988-1992? Only one of the top-25 single-season assist totals has been recorded in the last 10 years. My point: now that all those NBA official scorers have been reassigned to Mellon Arena and tasked with making sure Sidney Crosby gets at least a secondary assist on every Pittsburgh goal from now until 2025, the assist is harder to come by. This makes Williams’ back-to-back 10.5-plus assist seasons all the more remarkable. He’s also an efficient scorer who will provide in the neighborhood of 19 points, one 3-pointer and one steal per game. (Mig)

Troy Murphy(notes), Indiana Pacers FC - Round 2, Pick 3. Murphy followed up Mike Dunleavy's breakout season with a breakthrough of his own, setting career-highs in four of six positive counting stats (2.2 3PT, 11.8 REB, 2.4 AST, 0.8 SPG) while maintaining an incredible level of efficiency (47.5 FG%, 45.0 3PT%, 82.6 FT%, 1.6 TO). He finished the season ranked seventh in per-game impact and only improved as the season went on. Murphy is once again poised to have a huge season in the very friendly Indiana system, paticularly with Mike Dunleavy's timetable being completely wide open, and he'll validate a pick here even if his numbers regress slightly. (Buser)

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__14/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-856158751-1246403990.jpg?ymWGDgBDUTI1TY26Steve Nash(notes), Phoenix Suns PG - Round 2, Pick 4. Nash was the 12th ranked player in per-game impact after Alvin Gentry took over last season, and that was with Shaquille O'Neal(notes) still on the roster. The Shaq trade frees the Suns to return to their fun-and-gun ways, so Nash regains elite status for roto re-draft purposes (and most others as well). He'll get occasional rest and won't push for 35 minutes per game, but the fantasy impact will be there. (MB)

Chauncey Billups(notes), Denver Nuggets PG - Round 2, Pick 5. I have absolutely no problem dialing up the Department of Redundancy Department once again to lock up a player who hasn't dropped outside of the top 20 in cumulative value a single time over the past five seasons. To give you some historical perspective, only two other players have accomplished this feat over that five-season span – LeBron James(notes) and Dirk Nowitzki(notes). (Kobe fell short in '04-'05 with a cumulative rank of 28) Mr. Big Shot is well into his 30s but has shown no signs of slowing down. Count on him to deliver another 75-game season of 17 points, 6 assists, 3 rebounds, 2 treys, and a steal.

Jose Calderon(notes), Toronto Raptors PG - Round 2, Pick 6. There isn't a whole lot of flash and flare to Calderon's game, but his record-breaking efficiency alone makes him a fantasy commodity and vaults him into the top 20. His 4.3 AST:TO ratio topped fantasy-MVP Chris Paul's(notes) figure, while his 151-154 (98.1%) conversion rate on free throws shattered Calvin Murphy's record that had stood for 18 seasons. Calderon opted to undergo surgery during the offseason to repair a damaged ligament in his left ring finger and should be better than ever heading into training camp.

Jason Kidd(notes), Dallas Mavericks PG - Round 2, Pick 7. Those who avoided Kidd last season because of his odometer reading missed out on a top-10 performance in the Yahoo! game. Despite being 36 years old, Kidd has managed to remain healthy – four straight seasons of 80-plus games played. He also maintained his career-average of two steals per game last season, while dropping his turnovers to a very palatable 2.3 per game clip. Teamed with Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas has proven to be a nice home for Kidd. But rumors that New York has sincere interest in signing Kidd in free agency this summer, and a reciprocal interest from Kidd, is an enticing scenario to consider. Running the point for head coach Mike D’Antoni, whose teams haven’t finished out of the top five in scoring offense in any of the past five seasons … well, one just needs to look at Chris Duhon(notes) to see what kind of an impact D’Antoni’s system can have on a point guard. (Funston)

http://a323.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sports_fantasy_experts__14/ept_sports_fantasy_experts-244474307-1246404004.jpg?ymkGDgBDSzPk2l4JDwight Howard(notes), Orlando Magic C - Round 2, Pick 8. I’m no doubt playing with fire here by agreeing to take on fantasy’s single-most negatively impacting stat last season -- Howard’s 59.4 free-throw percentage. Call this an experiment, though, as this mock team’s roster also possesses Dirk Nowitzki, who produced the third-most positively impacting FT mark last season -- 6.7 attempts per game at an 89.0 clip. Based on last year’s numbers, Nowitzki and Howard combined for a 66.2 free throw shooting percentage, which still leaves me with a lot of work to do in the category. Foul shooting accuracy will have to figure into the thought process for every pick on this team the rest of the way. If you throw out free throw shooting, Howard was the fourth-most valuable fantasy player last season. If his charity stripe work can be somewhat negated, he’s a nice deal at No. 20 overall. (BF)

Devin Harris(notes), New Jersey Nets PG - Round 2, Pick 9. Harris truly broke out last season, averaging 21.3 PPG, 6.9 APG and 1.7 SPG while finally given more than 30 minutes per game for the first time in his career. His wiry frame is a concern as far as durability, but at age 26, there’s also still room for further growth. And with Vince Carter(notes) traded away to Orlando, Harris is going to assume an even bigger role in the offense -- and since he also averaged 7.7 APG after the All-Star break last season, a monstrous 2009-10 could be in store. (Del Don)

Tim Duncan(notes), San Antonio Spurs FC - Round 2, Pick 10. Duncan is trending the wrong way, as his rebounds, steals and blocks all declined in 2008-09 compared to the previous season. While his minutes will continue to be monitored with San Antonio concentrating more on the postseason than the regular season, Duncan remains a double-double machine and an effective shot-blocker. Few center-eligible options offer his assist production as well. Duncan is 33 years old and has accrued a ton of mileage throughout his career, but he’s played in at least 75 games in each of the past four seasons. With other owners looking for the next big thing and Duncan being past his prime, he now comes at a discount on draft day. (DDD)

Caron Butler(notes), Washington Wizards GF - Round 2, Pick 11. My greatest fantasy weakness -- other than an inexplicable fondness for Boof Bonser -- is an appreciation for offseason self-hype. When elite players say things like this, I'm interested:

"I know, personally, I will be in the best shape of my life, the best condition of my life. Physically, mentally, I will be better than ever. I will have the best year of my career next year. I'm putting that on paper. I will have the best year of my career, on the court and off the court. I will be seriously ready."

Butler's per-game averages were excellent last year (20.8 PPG, 6.2 REB, 4.3 AST); it's all about durability. He's missed at least 15 games in each of the past three seasons. But even if this career-year stuff is just lip service, he'll be a useful fantasy piece. He's paired with LeBron James here. (Behrens)

Gerald Wallace(notes), Charlotte Bobcats F - Round 2, Pick 12. And here's another multi-category beast with durability issues. Wallace's improved shooting percentages boosted his value significantly last season; he was a 60-something percent free throw shooter as recently as '06-'07, but last year he cracked 80 percent. You know you're getting points (16.7 in '08-'09), rebounds (7.8), blocks (0.9) and steals (1.7). In fact, with Wallace and Chris Paul on the roster, this team may already have a steals surplus. (AB)

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Photos via Getty Images

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66 Comments

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  1. Trigga Play
    1. Posted by Trigga Play Tue Jun 30, 2009 5:22 pm EDT

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    I agree that KG is worth a 2nd round pick in roto, but I worry about him in H2H. Considering his age and injury history, I'd say that he's extremely likely to get games off and rest during the stretch run/playoffs of H2H.
    I'd rather take someone who is more likely to contribute for a full season: Carmelo Anthony or Chauncey Billups. We know the Nuggets should still be jockeying for the best possible seeding even in the last few games.
  2. David D
    2. Posted by David D Tue Jun 30, 2009 5:27 pm EDT

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    Garnett might be a second round roto or H2H pick.
    Williams is a stud. Can't justify taking KG over him.
  3. million_dollar_sleeper
    3. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Tue Jun 30, 2009 5:34 pm EDT

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    mig putting hockey references in the bball mock draft?
    is that all the hockey coverage we get around here?
  4. a-mak15
    4. Posted by a-mak15 Tue Jun 30, 2009 5:56 pm EDT

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    Had to throw in the Crosby (Pittsburgh) reference, homer ;)
    where's T-Mac?
  5. Blake H
    5. Posted by Blake H Tue Jun 30, 2009 5:58 pm EDT

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    Where is Shawn Marion?
    Sure, he sucked in Miami, but since he moved North of the Boarder, vintage Matrix was back (minus a few 3s). He should get 14 ppg, 9 rpg, 2 apg, 1.7 spg, 1.1 bpg, .6 3pg, 1.7 TO
  6. Trigga Play
    6. Posted by Trigga Play Tue Jun 30, 2009 5:59 pm EDT

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    UGH, Murphy and Nash, really? Seriously, Billups and Melo are on the board are more efficient and have longer track records of success or age and diminshing returns on both those guys. I know that they were busts last year, but I think Butler and Brand deserve 2nd round consideration. Boozer does as well.
    And Shard is better talentwise and everythingwise than either Murphy or Nash. Horrible, horrible picks.
  7. UGA
    7. Posted by UGA Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:00 pm EDT

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    I wish Yahoo! could provide a list of the top available players during these mock drafts.. It's hard for me to know off the top of my head if they are passing on a player I think is more valuable.
    But KG with the 1st pick in the 2nd round is pretty risky.. He's a selfless player so his stats have been dropping, declining minutes, and I'm sure Boston will be giving him plenty of games off to rest.
  8. Prent
    8. Posted by Prent Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:04 pm EDT

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    troy murphy? he had one good year?wait til he dies halfway through the season. and CPRENT tries trading him
  9. Blake H
    9. Posted by Blake H Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:07 pm EDT

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    Trigga, how can you say Nash is a horrible pick, with your arguement that they he doesnt have a long enough track record?! You're kidding right....
  10. Brock Lesnar
    10. Posted by Brock Lesnar Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:08 pm EDT

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    Marion is done. Not a 3rd rounder IMO.
    Where is Joe Johnson, Id take him over anyone in this round 22+ free throws, assists, and threes.
  11. UGA
    11. Posted by UGA Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:11 pm EDT

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    @Trigga Play
    Brand and Boozer in the 2nd round? Are you retarded?
  12. Brock Lesnar
    12. Posted by Brock Lesnar Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:13 pm EDT

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    I like Nash here too, although I think in general you could get him later. He fell to the end of second rounds in all my drafts, and that was last year. 15-11 50% 90% 1.5 threes 1+ steal at the minimum. Not a bad pick here, probably couldnt get him back at the end of the third, but Id like him more as the end of the 2nd round value or begin third round
  13. Drawman
    13. Posted by Drawman Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:14 pm EDT

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    Dang, T-Murph is a second round pick now? I got him late last year for my Pacers homer pick and man I rode his rebounds all year. Too bad I won't pay 2nd round for him though. Also, I'm staying the profane away from KG. I will not draft him....you can have him. Not even in the the 3rd round would I take him.
  14. Blake H
    14. Posted by Blake H Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:24 pm EDT

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    is there WNBA fantasy basketball? if so where can i find a league
  15. Blake H
    15. Posted by Blake H Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:24 pm EDT

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    is there WNBA fantasy basketball? if so where can i find a league
  16. eric c
    16. Posted by eric c Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:26 pm EDT

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    wow troy murphy at the top of the second round???
  17. gaborik10m
    17. Posted by gaborik10m Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:26 pm EDT

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    I'll be laughing at whoever picks Troy Murphy in the 2nd round. Looking at a potentially disastrous season with Al Jeffe and Murph if these picks are truely made in rounds 1 and 2. Yikes!
  18. a-mak15
    18. Posted by a-mak15 Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:31 pm EDT

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    Murphy (coming off one brilliant season) over Duncan (consistency epitomized) doesn't look right.
  19. emb01981
    19. Posted by emb01981 Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:36 pm EDT

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    lol @ Troy Murphy in the 2nd round. Also there is no wnba fantasy league because well there are no wnba fans.
  20. Jon
    20. Posted by Jon Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:40 pm EDT

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    Maybe one day idiots who comment on these things will understand the difference between Fantasy Basketball and NBA Basketball. Most of you morons would take Dwight Howard over Murphy, obvious in real life terrible in Fantasy.
  21. Chapel E.G.
    21. Posted by Chapel E.G. Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:44 pm EDT

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    david west over murph. west takes 7 more shots and 4 more ft's per game than murph. he will anchor your %'s. you can get 3's/rebounds easily in later rounds.
  22. eric c
    22. Posted by eric c Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:49 pm EDT

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    obviously dwight in the 2nd round would be horrible for a roto league.... either way, troy murphy is NOT a top 15 fantasy player in any format in my opinion.
  23. Brian
    23. Posted by Brian Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:56 pm EDT

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    Picking Murphy that early would be insane. That's a rookie fantasy basketball mistake. No way he outproduces last year, this guy's also injury prone. Even if he did replicate last year, you'd be paying full price for it with that pick, an awful value pick.
  24. bretteckert99
    24. Posted by bretteckert99 Tue Jun 30, 2009 7:07 pm EDT

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    You guys have no idea what you are talking about......I dare one of you guys to let me into the friends and family league (if there is one). Where is Pianowski? Preparing this weeks fantasy golf article??
    P.S. LOVE THE BUSER SIGHTING!! He knows more about Basketball than anyone on here.

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