December 08, 2008
We don't know much about the severity of Joseph Addai's various injuries right now, because the Colts aren't a dumb team. They don't share the important information, ever.
Tony Dungy later suggested that Addai could have returned to the game if he'd been needed. That seems like good news, but you'll recall what Dungy said after Addai injured his hamstring in Week 6: "I think Joseph is going to be OK."
Instead, Addai missed the next two games, then played poorly in Weeks 9 and 10.
Let's look at the numbers that he's delivered over the past month...
Week 11 vs. HOU: 26 touches, 153 yards, two TDs
Week 12 at SD: 23 touches, 101 yards, zero TDs
Week 13 at CLE: 16 touches, 63 yards, zero TDs
Week 14 vs. CIN: 12 touches, 40 yards, zero TDs
You shouldn't need a graph to spot the trend. Addai's production is not what any of us expected, and you certainly can't blame the match-ups.
Next Sunday, the Colts play at home against the winless Lions, and Detroit has the NFL's worst...well, they have the worst everything. The Lions' defense allows 173.3 rushing yards per game and 5.0 per carry. If Addai were healthy, he'd probably be our top-ranked fantasy running back for Week 15. But he's clearly not at full strength, and understudy Dominic Rhodes has received double-digit touches in each of the last four games. Rhodes will be ranked as a solid RB2/flex against Detroit, since the Colts are likely to spend at least two quarters running out the clock.
If you're an Addai owner, you clearly need to watch the practice reports and try not to overreact to anything the Colts say publicly. They're just stiff-arming you. We'll update this situation throughout the week.
If you're a Rhodes owner, you need to gloat in the comments section...
Photo via AP Images