Roto Arcade - Fantasy

Tue Oct 27, 2009 3:50 pm EDT

Court Report: Opening Storylines

With four games on tap for the NBA season's opening night, let's run through the fantasy plotlines for all involved parties...

Boston @ Cleveland (7:30PM ET)

BOS: The focus of much fear and trepidation from within the fantasy community during the offseason, Kevin Garnett(notes) ended up leading the Celtics in scoring during the preseason (12.7) and averaged 25 minutes over his final three tune-up games. But the question of course remains: Can he stay healthy all season and warrant that ADP that put him just outside of Round 1 (13.3)? How much of a draft bargain will Rasheed Wallace(notes) turn out to be (77.8 ADP), particularly now that Glen Davis(notes) is out for around two months with a broken hand? What does Rajon Rondo(notes) have in store for us in his fourth year (a contract year)? How is it possible that this is Kendrick Perkins'(notes) seventh NBA season?

CLE: The preseason is one thing, but we're all anxious to see how LeBron James(notes) and Shaquille O'Neal(notes) coexist now that the games start to count. How will Shaq's presence affect James' gaudy line? And what about Mo Williams(notes), who is coming off a career-high 17.8 points and 2.3 threes per game? Is there room for any fantasy production past those three players? Anthony Parker(notes) and Anderson Varejao(notes) will be on the court for around 30 minutes, so that's a start. Fantasy favorite Delonte West(notes) remains in limbo, opening the door for the sneaky-good "glue guy" Parker to start.

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Washington @ Dallas (8:30pm ET)

WAS: It sure didn't take long for injuries to beset the Wizards, as Antawn Jamison(notes) is looking at a few weeks off due to a dislocated shoulder. Andray Blatche(notes), the time is (once again) now. Of course, the real drama in Washington centers on Gilbert Arenas(notes) and his ability to 1) stay on the court and 2) return to a high level this season. We'll see how close he comes to his media day snippet about trying to take fewer than 100 threes - he averaged 1.3 long-range attempts in six preseason games. How many games will Caron Butler(notes) miss, and will they once again mostly be in March-April? How will the minutes shake out for newcomers Mike Miller(notes) and Randy Foye(notes), and how much usage will they find behind the team's big three? Are people sleeping on Brendan Haywood(notes) or will JaVale McGee(notes) turn things into a platoon?

DAL: The Mavericks added another veteran (Shawn Marion(notes)) to their experienced core (Dirk Nowitzki(notes), Jason Kidd(notes), Jason Terry(notes)), and things were clicking when he played in the preseason. Josh Howard(notes) is still Josh Howard, so just how substantial can Marion's fantasy impact be this season? Dirk is a lock, as usual, but how will J-Kidd and Terry follow up their ridiculously productive 08-09 seasons? Can Drew Gooden(notes) marginalize Erick Dampier(notes) enough to become a consistent fantasy asset himself?

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Houston @ Portland (10pm ET)

HOU: With Yao Ming(notes) and Tracy McGrady(notes) out of the picture (the latter for at least a while), there is a lot of usage up for grabs. Aaron Brooks(notes), Luis Scola(notes), Trevor Ariza(notes), and Shane Battier(notes) comprise the team's core, but how exactly is the pie divvied up here? Is Brooks ready to lead this team or just create some looks for himself? Just how productive can Scola be as the main post option? Is Ariza really ready for a featured role on both ends of the court? How high will Battier rank on the Curry Line this season? Can one of the team's "other" frontcourt players (Carl Landry(notes), Chuck Hayes(notes), David Andersen(notes), Joey Dorsey(notes)) emerge as useful in standard leagues?

POR: Brandon Roy(notes) and LaMarcus Aldridge(notes) are locks here, but then it gets interesting. Greg Oden(notes) will be under a serious microscope, and for good reason. Can he avoid foul trouble and become a real difference-maker in his second season? We know that Joel Przybilla(notes) can step in if it doesn't happen. For how long will Andre Miller(notes) remain a reserve behind Steve Blake(notes), and how will it affect his production? With Nicolas Batum(notes) out for most of the season, can Martell Webster(notes) provide more than occasional threes? How much playing time is available for players like Rudy Fernandez(notes), Travis Outlaw(notes), Jerryd Bayless(notes) in the team's typically deep rotation?

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LA Clippers @ LA Lakers (10:30pm ET)

LAC: There couldn't be a worse way for Blake Griffin(notes) to start his season/career than with a knee injury that will cause him to miss an extensive amount of time. His "upside" is completely tied to his explosive athleticism. Eric Gordon(notes) seems like he could remain above the injury fracas that usually afflicts this team - and I love him for fantasy purposes this season - but how many inactive games will Baron Davis(notes), Chris Kaman(notes), and Marcus Camby(notes) total between them? Maybe Davis wasn't as bad as he looked last season, but how much better can we actually expect him to be at this point? Can Chris Kaman top 30 minutes per game for any length of time without then missing the next month or two as a result? Will Al Thornton(notes) ever actually be as good as people already think he is?

LAL: Assuming a healthy roster, we know the team's depth will affect Lamar Odom's(notes) fantasy line negatively. But what about the team's first-round fantasy pick not named Kobe Bryant(notes)? Pau Gasol(notes) produced like a third-rounder when Andrew Bynum(notes) was active last season and a first-rounder when Bynum missed games (check the numbers if you don't believe me). If he was your first-round pick, a (mostly) healthy Bynum and the addition of Ron Artest(notes) should have you feeling a bit uneasy about that choice. Artest's career usage rate dwarfs anything Trevor Ariza did, so he'll command touches. This is an intelligent collection of players that is led by a brilliant staff, so there's no reason to expect major issues, but how everything comes together will indeed be worth watching.

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35 Comments

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  1. million_dollar_sleeper
    1. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Tue Oct 27, 2009 4:07 pm EDT

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    baron davis's o-rank is still being carried by his last season in GS. he will never again play the minutes he received there, nor will the production per minute be as nice. he is a waste of draft value. split the difference with Kung Pau, mid 2nd rd pick. Bynum will get hurt
  2. million_dollar_sleeper
    2. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Tue Oct 27, 2009 4:09 pm EDT

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    i just drafted in the buser sports invitational and buser wasnt in it. whats up with that?
  3. mbuser
    3. Posted by mbuser Tue Oct 27, 2009 4:36 pm EDT

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    i am in it - i'm in roto1
  4. William B
    4. Posted by William B Tue Oct 27, 2009 4:56 pm EDT

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    Blake bustacap griffen
  5. SWC
    5. Posted by SWC Tue Oct 27, 2009 5:02 pm EDT

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    uh, MDS, you expect buser to be in 15 leagues? (or whatever the number is)
  6. million_dollar_sleeper
    6. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Tue Oct 27, 2009 5:18 pm EDT

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    doesnt matter how many leagues he "hosted"
    he should be looking to test his skills vs the best. me
    instead, i have been reduced to beating up on public leaguers
  7. SWC
    7. Posted by SWC Tue Oct 27, 2009 5:40 pm EDT

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    You've been reduced to whining.
  8. Sauce
    8. Posted by Sauce Tue Oct 27, 2009 5:52 pm EDT

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    How do I join a league with some professionals?... I as well, am sick of beating up on public managers.
  9. Pwedge180
    9. Posted by Pwedge180 Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:26 pm EDT

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    I gotta know why they are limiting us to 4 moves a week in H2H public leagues????? Streaming players is way more fun then just holding on to a handfull of marginal players.
  10. SWC
    10. Posted by SWC Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:29 pm EDT

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    Sauce:
    Basketball 2007 8 of 12 CantHandleTheKnicks3 Yahoo Public 142026
    Basketball 2007 1 of 12 This League's Wack Yahoo Public 211067
    Wow, quite an extensive record of beatings.
  11. SWC
    11. Posted by SWC Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:33 pm EDT

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    "Streaming players is way more fun then just holding on to a handfull of marginal players. "
    If your roster was better, you wouldn't have to stream.
    Look, are we trying to model a real NBA team or not?
    There's no streaming in basketball!
  12. million_dollar_sleeper
    12. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:34 pm EDT

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    no no no. ive been whining long before buser stood me up
    and you shouldnt be talking about profiles... mr 7 of 12 Utah Bricks Yahoo Public 69037
  13. SWC
    13. Posted by SWC Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:34 pm EDT

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    #11
    my tom hanks tags around the last line didn't show.
  14. Pwedge180
    14. Posted by Pwedge180 Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:41 pm EDT

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    Always done faily well by streaming. I didn't realize this was going to lead me to a GM job in the NBA. If I want 8 different starters each night why take that option away is all I am saying?????
  15. SWC
    15. Posted by SWC Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:41 pm EDT

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    Nice cherry pick MDS. How about 77% performance for 22 teams over the past 9 years?
    And I wasn't the one complaining.
  16. BLAHZAY
    16. Posted by BLAHZAY Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:54 pm EDT

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    Heres an idea MDS: Join a league or make a league of great/good players you have met or know. I am in a very competitive league (3rd yr) and it is so much fun. all active and know their stuff. Call it the MDS/Sauce/SWC league.
    Side Note: I wander what the pre game gaga will be from the CAVS or if they not joking this year.
  17. stephen
    17. Posted by stephen Tue Oct 27, 2009 7:00 pm EDT

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    I'm excited for the season especially since the NFL quality is even lower than usual. I took a chance on Baron (who I never draft) because I have a feeling he'll be pretty good this year. I also expect a decent year from Sessions.
  18. million_dollar_sleeper
    18. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Tue Oct 27, 2009 7:10 pm EDT

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    im well ahead of ya blahzay. my private leagues are more competitive than Y!'s F&F leagues
    i wasnt cherry picking blahzay, thats the last public league you played
    sauce: the sign ups were at busersports, otherwise keep an eye out here for the roto arcade leagues
    i dont know if midseason leagues exist for other sports so itll be a long wait til baseball season
  19. ShmoeDizzle
    19. Posted by ShmoeDizzle Tue Oct 27, 2009 7:13 pm EDT

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    Is that serious about Agent Zero taking less than 100 threes? I'm screwed. I could've taken Tony Parker 5 rounds later!
  20. robert f
    20. Posted by robert f Tue Oct 27, 2009 7:20 pm EDT

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    they should have fantasy winterball leagues. That way I can obsess over Single A ball players who will never make it to the bigs.
  21. The Hawaiiangiant
    21. Posted by The Hawaiiangiant Tue Oct 27, 2009 7:52 pm EDT

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    MDS is a fraud.
  22. Pabs
    22. Posted by Pabs Tue Oct 27, 2009 7:56 pm EDT

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    Buser, didn't you also praise Diaw when he was with the Suns and make him a must in 2nd/3rd round of the draft, despite the return of a healthy Stoudemire a couple of seasons ago. You've made mistakes, just like most pundits, though you do however offer good insight even though it may seem obvious to some.
    Please do tell me of one amazing prediction you made which was unexpected - i.e. super sleeper.. Any?
  23. King of all Fantasy
    23. Posted by King of all Fantasy Tue Oct 27, 2009 8:11 pm EDT

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    Buser- Thanks for the hard work on your writing. I appreciate it. You are one of the top NBA fantasy columnists out there.
  24. ShmoeDizzle
    24. Posted by ShmoeDizzle Tue Oct 27, 2009 8:50 pm EDT

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    Gilbert just chucked up a brick from 3pt land! Looks like he can't take another 'til next game to stay on pace.
  25. mbuser
    25. Posted by mbuser Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:21 pm EDT

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    "didn't you also praise Diaw when he was with the Suns and make him a must in 2nd/3rd round of the draft, despite the return of a healthy Stoudemire a couple of seasons ago" ... say wha? feel free to search my archives for whatever it is you are looking for. but yes i've been wrong before, which puts me in the limited company of everyone else in the world. i'm not really in the "amazing prediction" business, i'm just trying to help people win their leagues. i'll just say that if all i ever did was give out bad/incorrect info, then nobody would pay attention to my stuff
    boston's defense got it done tonight. dallas' offense looked pretty bad, but dirk/terry won't combine for 14/40 too often

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