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Sat Nov 07, 2009 5:17 am EST

Court Report: King-sized Loss

A few major injury notes and a full state of games from a Friday night around the NBA...

• The good news is that clarity in regards to Kevin Martin's(notes) wrist injury came fairly quickly. The bad news is that he'll undergo surgery and is expected to miss a minimum of eight weeks. Although nothing is official as of yet, Beno Udrih(notes) is expected to rejoin the starting lineup, pushing Tyreke Evans(notes) to shooting guard. Udrih's ceiling is fairly well-established – he's averaged 12.3 points (47% FG, 84% FT), 0.7 threes, 3.2 boards, 4.8 assists, and 1 steal in 129 career starts – but as a starter he's absolutely rosterable in standard leagues. I'm convinced that Evans is miscast as an NBA point guard and like the move for his potential impact. Don't count on the efficiency getting much better than poor, but "addition by subtraction" (subtract Martin and some of Evans' distribution responsibilities) should be good for his line.

After a slow start, Andres Nocioni(notes) is back on the fantasy radar (his DUI arrest aside). His offensive responsibilities increase significantly with Martin out of the picture, and you can give Spencer Hawes(notes) and Jason Thompson(notes) a bump, as well. Omri Casspi(notes) has posted very good per-minute production thus far and should have a larger role in the rotation, although the Ime Udoka(notes) signing muddies the backup picture a bit. As for Martin himself, he's not a player you can cut in standard leagues. In roto, it's a bit easier to deal with carrying an injured player. Those of you in h2h leagues need to calculate your chances of making the playoffs while playing a man down for the next two months – if you aren't feeling confident, then add Martin to your trade block and see if you get some offers worth considering (and certainly be ready to produce some counter-offers). 

Tyrus Thomas'(notes) season went from bad to worse in a hurry. He broke his left forearm during a weight session on Friday and will miss the next four-to-six weeks, or somewhere around 15-20 games. It's not a bad move to make an add/drop in standard h2h leagues. Taj Gibson(notes) will continue to start at power forward – he posted 11 points, seven boards, one steal, and one block on Thursday and his college numbers project well to the NBA. Give him a look in deeper leagues. Brad Miller(notes) should see close to 30 minutes while Thomas is out, as well, meaning that he should be universally owned in roto leagues and largely owned in h2h formats. 

Joe Johnson(notes) was not happy after the Hawks' 103-83 loss to the Bobcats on Friday. Atlanta shot 40 percent from the floor and had just 10 assists, leading to the following from Johnson:

“Everybody who touches (the ball) wants to score. I really think guys on this team don’t know their roles, so it’s killing us. And it’s going to continue to kill us.”

Jamal Crawford(notes) led the team with 14 shot attempts in 34 minutes in the loss, and made only five, but that may just be a coincidence.  

D.J. Augustin's(notes) owners can't be happy to see that Raja Bell(notes) hit five threes en route to 24 points tonight. While Bell is still dealing with "situational" pain in his wrist, thus far he's been able to shrug it off. I'm not ready to completely give up on DJA just yet, but a night like tonight doesn't help the confidence level. Augustin had 11 points, two threes, and three assists in 24 minutes.

Tyson Chandler(notes) logged his first double-double of the season (10 points, 10 boards, 4 blocks) on a night when he was started in just 38 percent of leagues. Over the past three games, he's averaged 8.7 points, 8.3 boards, and 2 blocks in 32 minutes. I'm not here to offer any kind of ringing endorsement – it's just good to see production from him after off-season ankle and toe surgeries.

• A poor night for the Wizards as a whole (39% FG, 57% FT, 16:19 AST:TO), but Brendan Haywood(notes) sure had a nice line (9 points, 19 boards, 1 steal, 4 blocks in 35 minutes). Through six games, Haywood has averaged 11.5 points, 10.8 boards, and 1.7 blocks in 33 minutes.

• Those first few games sure were nice, but is it time to move on for Andray Blatche(notes) owners? He was ineffective once again (1 point, 3 boards, 2 blocks in 15 minutes) thanks to fouls, and his window of opportunity is shrinking as Antawn Jamison(notes) gets closer to a return. If there is an option on the wire with some potential staying power, then you can safely consider Blatche expendable.

Randy Foye(notes) was reasonably effective on Friday (16 points, 2 threes, 4 boards, 2 assists) and should be a great play against the Suns on Sunday, but the Wizards then only play twice in the following nine days, so he'll only have so much of an opportunity to take advantage of Mike Miller's(notes) absence. Nick Young(notes) got the start tonight but is one-dimensional even at his best (creating his own shots) and won't offer much to the Wizards or fantasy owners.

• While a few more assists would be nice, you won't find many T.J. Ford(notes) owners complaining about tonight's line (40 minutes, 18 points, 10 boards, 4 assists, 2 steals). He's looked much better in the past few games and his starting gig looks much more solid as a result. The same can't be said for Brandon Rush(notes), who did little in 15 minutes (2 points, 0 threes) and then left with an ankle injury, while Dahntay Jones(notes) continues to produce (40 minutes, 18 points, 5 boards, 5 assists, 2 steals, 1 block). Rush could be looking at a reserve role once Troy Murphy(notes) returns. It's difficult to put much trust in Jones, given his history, but he's certainly in a friendly system. He's scored in double figures in five of six games this season, something he did in just 11 of 79 games with the Nuggets last season.

Tyler Hansbrough's(notes) NBA debut went as you should have expected, as in heavy on the per-minute production (14 minutes, 13 points, 5 boards, 7-of-10 FT). 

• The thin and winless Nets played only eight on Friday, and things got even worse after Courtney Lee(notes) left with a groin strain early in the second half. The severity of the injury is not yet known. The Nets play the Celtics on Friday and then have a much-needed three consecutive days off.

Elton Brand's(notes) line (8 points, 5 boards, 0 blocks in 19 minutes) looks that much worse when you consider that the Nets started Eduardo Najera(notes) opposite him at power forward. The Princeton offense has done him no favors thus far – in five games, he's averaged 11 points, 5.6 boards, and 0.8 blocks in 29 minutes.

Charlie Villanueva(notes) appears to be rounding into form. He scored 28 points tonight to give him 44 in his past two games. The Pistons need to find more ways to directly help each other score, however. They registered just 11 assists on 38 made field goals on Friday, and over the past five games have just 67 total assists (versus 66 turnovers).

• The availability for both Richard Hamilton(notes) and Tayshaun Prince(notes) on Sunday remains up in the air.

Ryan Anderson(notes) left Friday's game with a sprained right ankle and could miss time as a result of the injury, but no specifics are known as of yet. Brandon Bass(notes) (23 minutes, 13 points, 6 boards) would likely start if Anderson indeed misses time, and Matt Barnes(notes) (35 minutes, 18 points, 9 boards) would continue to see steady playing time.

• All of the Suns' starters had usable lines in the 110-103 win over the Celtics, but Jason Richardson(notes) was big-time, compiling a season-high 34 points, six threes, and 10 boards in 38 minutes.

Chauncey Billups(notes) was a minus-26 against the Heat tonight in 31 minutes, thanks to six points on 2-of-7 shooting, two assists, and five turnovers. That's about as bad of a night as you'll ever see from Billups.

Kenyon Martin(notes) played only 12 minutes because of a left leg injury that George Karl suggested could sideline him for "a week or two." He'll be re-evaluated on Saturday, and Chris Anderson will get a chance to post some numbers if Martin does indeed hit the shelf.

• Finally, some volume offense from Mario Chalmers(notes) to help produce a robust overall line (16 points, 4 threes, 5 boards, 4 assists, 1 steal). 

• Finally, some offense from Jose Calderon(notes) in what was his best game of the season (16 points, 2 threes, 4 boards, 8 assists, 0 turnovers, 1 steal). There's at least a decent chance that the dude can still play, 

Chris Paul(notes) scored or assisted on 26 of the Hornets' 36 field goals on Friday (8 makes, 18 assists). Who can blame him for any amount of frustration when he goes for 21 points, seven boards, 18 assists, and two steals, and yet his team only scores 90 points and loses by 17?

• Another night, another very good line from Anderson Varejao(notes). Although J.J. Hickson(notes) got the start against the up-tempo Knicks, Shaquille O'Neal(notes) played only 19 minutes and Varejao came off the bench for eight points, 14 boards, two steals, and two blocks in 35 minutes. In seven games on the season, his averages now include 8.6 points on 51-percent shooting, 9.6 boards, 1.7 steals, and 0.9 blocks in 33 minutes.

• The centers and the point guards were the feature attraction in Milwaukee's uninspiring 87-72 win over the Timberwolves. Andrew Bogut(notes) (17 points, 10 boards, 4 assists, 2 steals, 2 blocks) outdueled Al Jefferson(notes) (8 points, 3-of-12 shooting) while Jonny Flynn(notes) (20 points, 4 boards, 3 steals) got the better of Brandon Jennings(notes) (9 points, 4-of-16 shooting, 6 boards, 2 steals). 

• Tough offensive night for Thunder players not named Kevin Durant(notes) (27 points) and Russell Westbrook(notes) (33 points). The two combined to go 25-of-47 from the floor (53%), while the rest of the team was just 15-of-45 (33 percent), highlighted by Jeff Green's(notes) 3-of-15 (gotta love 2 more steals and blocks, though)

• The threes continue to fall for Trevor Ariza(notes) – he hit two more on Friday and has 17 in six games (2.8 per game) on 46-percent shooting (17 for 37). 

• Something closer to what was expected from the Rockets' non-Scola frontcourt players on Friday: Chuck Hayes(notes) had two points and five boards, while Carl Landry(notes) had 21 points and nine boards in similar playing time. 

• So maybe Anthony Randolph(notes) is a fantastic backup center, after all? Andris Biedrins(notes) was out with a back injury, and Nellie opted for Mikki Moore(notes) at center, and he did not disappoint (19 minutes, 0 points, 4 boards, 3 turnovers). Randolph came off the bench for 15 points, 14 boards, 2 steals, and 1 block in 29 minutes, although he was just 5-for-15 and had three turnovers and no assists. Stephen Curry(notes) fouled out in an ineffective 22 minutes (5 points, 1-of-5 shooting) in what was a poor night overall for the Warriors (35-percent shooting), although Anthony Morrow(notes) took advantage of the excess playing time (18 points, 3 treys). Keep in mind that we should blame Stephen Jackson for any problems the Warriors have:

“It’s a terrible start and that does nothing but get contagious. If you’re going to blame somebody, I’ll take the blame. I’ve been doing it since I got here.”

• The Clippers' starting backcourt (Baron Davis(notes), Eric Gordon(notes)) had a field day against the Warriors, combining for the following: 50 points on 64-percent shooting, 5 threes, 10 assists, and five steals. Heck, even Sebastian Telfair(notes) got in on the fun (20 minutes, 13 points, 1 three, 6 assists).

• Another big night in a loss for Zach Randolph(notes) (21 points, 15 boards), and he continues to own the offensive glass (7 Friday, 4.7 per game on the season). The Grizz have had success getting everyone touches thus far, but it's largely because they are wasting little energy on the defensive end – they are averaging 115 points against through six games – and Allen Iverson(notes) has yet to be given the opportunity to truly exert his influence, although you get the feeling that it's coming.

Kobe Bryant(notes) scored 41 points for the third time in four games, pushing his scoring average to a league-high 34.5 points per game. 

D.J. Mbenga(notes) did exactly what the Lakers needed him to do in his start at center, grabbing 13 boards and blocking four shots in 30 minutes. He could be in line for another start Sunday (NOR), the Lakers' only game over the next five days, as the team could use the light schedule as an opportunity to give Andrew Bynum(notes) and Pau Gasol(notes) a bit more extended rest.

Greg Oden(notes) showed a few strong moves against Tim Duncan(notes) in the block en route to 14 points, 8 boards, and four blocks, but was again limited by foul trouble (25 minutes, 5 fouls). 

Andre Miller(notes) joined Steve Blake(notes) in the starting lineup for the Blazers, pushing Brandon Roy(notes) to small forward, a move that Nate McMillan says should stick for at least the next week or two. Miller had a mixed bag for a line (10 points, 6 boards, 4 assists, 2 steals), but the 33 minutes of playing time are what is key. If the playing time is there, the rest will work itself out.

Tony Parker(notes) left Friday's game after just 11 minutes because of a left ankle sprain, an injury he expects to sideline him for "a week, maybe." George Hill(notes) will get the starts in the interim, although the Spurs play only three times over the next 11 days.

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29 Comments

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  1. japeth aguilar
    1. Posted by japeth aguilar Sat Nov 07, 2009 7:04 am EST

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    Hey matt buser i like the improvement this year you keep us updated always compare to last year. Continue to update always. Keep up the good work! Many of us fanatics always read your column
  2. Moss
    2. Posted by Moss Sat Nov 07, 2009 8:20 am EST

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    Word
  3. cynicism 101
    3. Posted by cynicism 101 Sat Nov 07, 2009 9:23 am EST

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    *agrees*
  4. brian
    4. Posted by brian Sat Nov 07, 2009 11:19 am EST

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    Anybody have an opinion of the long term value of Ben Wallace compared to Joel Przyblla? Ben's had a hot start, but can he keep it up? Joel gets great per minute numbers, but sees the court less than 20 mpg. The only stat's I'm worried about in this match up are Reb, block, steals, & FG%. 14 team league, so there aren't a whole lot of options on the wire.
  5. Miguel
    5. Posted by Miguel Sat Nov 07, 2009 11:25 am EST

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    Any opinions on Aldridge? I was high on him because of A. Miller I only saw parts of the Spurs game and I saw Jefferson playing PF maybe that's why he struggled but he's starting to worry me a bit they keep feeding Oden on the post instead of Aldridge.
  6. P Day
    6. Posted by P Day Sat Nov 07, 2009 11:26 am EST

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    anybody know what is going on with Rudy Fernandez he isn't getting any Playing time. Should I cut him or is he going to start producing more.
  7. JZ
    7. Posted by JZ Sat Nov 07, 2009 11:53 am EST

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    Great article Matt. Your advice is sound and reasonable as always. Now to pitch some offers to the K-Mart owner in my league...
  8. trevor s
    8. Posted by trevor s Sat Nov 07, 2009 12:11 pm EST

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    with Webster healthy and Andre Miller now joining the team, plus Bayless off the bench Fernandez will probably see less time. Hard to say who is going to step it up and earn more minutes at this point.
  9. mbuser
    9. Posted by mbuser Sat Nov 07, 2009 12:59 pm EST

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    brian: przy has more consistent reb/blk potential than wallace and significantly more potential in FG%
    miguel: oden's development in the offensive post could certainly affect LMA to some extent. i wouldn't panic yet, though, as LMA has been dealing with some foul issues in the early going and that's been the culprit as much as anything in terms of his slow-ish start
    p day: he was never going to be in line for significant PT as it was. an add/drop always depends on who you are picking up, but in general rudy's ceiling is only so high when everyone is healthy
  10. tomostuni2003
    10. Posted by tomostuni2003 Sat Nov 07, 2009 1:07 pm EST

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    J. Kidd and A. Kirilanko for M. Camby and C. Frye.....Which set of players is better?
  11. Derrick
    11. Posted by Derrick Sat Nov 07, 2009 2:31 pm EST

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    I'd rather have Kidd and Kirilenko.
  12. siddusom
    12. Posted by siddusom Sat Nov 07, 2009 3:25 pm EST

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    so what to do with brand? I drafted him in the 3rd round,
    and he's giving me less than some players in the free agency.
    It'd be a real pity to let him go, knowing how good he was in the Clippers.
  13. o s
    13. Posted by o s Sat Nov 07, 2009 3:33 pm EST

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    the portland situation is a bit tumultuous at the moment, and mcmillan is still tinkering with the line-up. everyone in portland wants rudy to get more pt, but the blazers have a crowded bench and for the moment there's just not enough to go around. word is portland will be active before the trade deadline with the expiring contracts of outlaw and blake the most likely to be moved for an experienced, tough pf to back up aldridge. if that happens, look for rudy to get tons of time backing up both the 1 and 2 with webster coming off the bench behind batum who'll be back after new year's.
  14. crazysmoke_1999
    14. Posted by crazysmoke_1999 Sat Nov 07, 2009 3:35 pm EST

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    Kidd and Kirilenko in my opinion
  15. Beev
    15. Posted by Beev Sat Nov 07, 2009 4:46 pm EST

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    Buser - Can't your comments to posts be highlighted in blue like the other "Pros" or is that only reserved for Behrnes, Funston Piano etc
  16. Paul Da Man
    16. Posted by Paul Da Man Sat Nov 07, 2009 6:31 pm EST

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    Do you think Aldridge and Jason Terry is giving too much up to get D Howard? I could also sub E Gordon, Gallinari, R Jefferson, or Mo Williams instead of Terry. 10 team Head to head league with 5 bench spots, scoring is "scoring heavy" with extra FG made and FT made categories on top of the regular FG% FT% 3s Pts Rebs A Stl Blk TO categories.
    Thanks for you opinions in advance.
  17. Erik L
    17. Posted by Erik L Sat Nov 07, 2009 6:44 pm EST

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    Man, this KevMart injury really hurts. I drafted him on value alone (pick #35), but I was planning on trading him and JR Smith once JR was back on the court because I am punting threes and already have plenty of 20-point scorers. Now I don't know what to do - he's a top 15 guy this year when healthy so I can't just drop him. But I won't get good value for him. Guess I'm stuck with the dude. Has anyone traded him since his injury? If so, what did you get in return?
  18. green dog
    18. Posted by green dog Sat Nov 07, 2009 6:57 pm EST

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    matt: just traded A Randolph for TJ Ford...I was sick of Nellie and his crazy...what do you guys think
  19. poon_tang69
    19. Posted by poon_tang69 Sat Nov 07, 2009 7:23 pm EST

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    great move on dumping A Randolph for TJ Ford. Nellie is messin with his mind.
    I like the new format Buser. Keep up the good work and info.
  20. Artie Deco
    20. Posted by Artie Deco Sat Nov 07, 2009 10:33 pm EST

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    Elton Brand is absolutely on the wrong team. What a waste.
  21. stephen
    21. Posted by stephen Sun Nov 08, 2009 6:04 am EST

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    At some point this idiot Don Nelson will be held accountable for all the things the Warriors do poorly under his watch.
  22. bandoogie
    22. Posted by bandoogie Sun Nov 08, 2009 10:50 am EST

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    Erik L, I am in the same position as you. And I think my next week matchup will be very tough. I'm not sure what to do. I would suggest keeping him if you can afford it. I was thinking about dropping him and picking up Tyreke Evans. I don't want to trade him as I am hoping he will sit on waivers for at least 2 weeks. At that point, I think that my toughest matchups will pass until week 11 which is 2 months from now and so I can pick him up after the 2 weeks pass. Then I can hold him until he's back playing again. Any suggestions here? I have read around that Anthony Randolph should be given one more week to payoff specifically because the Warriors play 4 games this week. Also, I have Erik Dampier, but it looks like he's going to lose playing time now that Josh Howard is back. I have looked around and Roy Hibbert caught my eye. My only issue is, Erik plays 4 times this week as opposed to Roy's 2 times. Should I still pull the trigger? Thanks for any responses.
  23. Erik L
    23. Posted by Erik L Sun Nov 08, 2009 11:58 am EST

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    Don't drop Martin. He's far too valuable for that and will get snatched off of waivers. I am trying to get Evans off of waivers, but I'm dropping someone else (Hinrich).
    I think Hibbert better in the long term. It's a long season, I wouldn't worry too much about how much each player plays in a week at this point. The point is to build the best possible team you can by the time the playoffs start. Of course, you have to get to the playoffs, but if you can't, it won't be because of small moves like that.
  24. bandoogie
    24. Posted by bandoogie Sun Nov 08, 2009 8:00 pm EST

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    Thanks for the advice. I guess I am going to keep him. I'll just have to rely on the players I've got. Actually, this is my first foray into fantasy basketball. If I knew it was this fun, I would've tried it a long time ago. My team as of today is:
    Billups
    Chris Paul
    David West
    Charlie Villanueva
    Caron Butler
    Andrew Bynum
    Eric Gordon
    Baron Davis
    Brendan Haywood
    Anthony Randolph
    Udonis Haslem
    Erik Dampier
    Kevin Martin
    I was going to replace Dampier with Hibbert.

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