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Five Reasons Marquez Could Pull Off the Upset and Defeat Pacquiao
When Juan Manuel Marquez steps into the ring against Manny Pacquiao on Saturday, November 12th, he'll be an overwhelming underdog against his arch-rival. That doesn't mean that he can't pull off the upset, and if anything, in 2011 the boxing world has seen over and over again that heavily favored fighters are often there, ripe for the picking.
Here are five reasons why Marquez could pull off the upset and defeat Manny Pacquiao in their rubber match.
1. Confidence: All fighters go into fights confident, but none of Pacquiao's recent opponents could have been walking into the ring with the kind of confidence that Marquez has. He's faced this challenge, twice before, and some would say he's gotten the best out of Pacquiao. While he's been knocked down, he's always gotten back up, and nobody can deny that the two fighters have been a perfect counterweight to one another in their previous meetings. You can't buy that kind of confidence; that has to be earned in the ring.
2. 24 Rounds: Only one man has spent more time in a boxing ring, in real fights, against Manny Pacquiao than Juan Manuel Marquez has. That was Erik Morales, who began 25 rounds spread over three fights against Pacquiao, but only finished 23 of them on his feet. Not to mention that the last 10 or so of those rounds featured him taking a ferocious beating. Marquez though has given as good as he's taken for a full 24 rounds, and there's not a man alive with the experience, knowledge and understanding of Pacquiao in the ring that Marquez has.
3. Track Record: Marquez's track record against Pacquiao speaks for itself. If you combine the official scorecards from their first two fights, Pacquiao has a 1 point advantage in scoring over Marquez over two fights. Marquez has shown twice that he has what it takes to be neck-and-neck with Pacquiao.
4. Mayweather: All reports have been that Pacquiao has been extremely fired up for this fight against Marquez. But with all of the talk about a Mayweather showdown, it's possible that Pacquiao could be looking past his old rival. Once you start looking ahead to the next fight, it's near-impossible to maintain complete focus on the current fight. If Paquiao has lost focus, even a small bit, he could be in trouble.
5. Age is But a Number: Marquez is 38-years-old now, but as Bernard Hopkins has proven, age is sometimes but a number. Most fighters age poorly from their mid-30s on, and that's especially true for guys in the lower weight classes. However, Marquez doesn't have a game built on speed or explosion. The reasons he has had Pacquiao's number have been his timing, his technical skill and his will to push on at all costs. None of these should be any worse for the wear.
Sources: Yahoo! Boxing, ESPN Boxing, Boxrec.com, HBO 24/7
Jake Emen runs the boxing news website ProBoxing-Fans.com. You can find more of his writing, along with interviews, rankings and breaking news stories at the site, or you can follow ProBoxing-Fans.com on Twitter, @ProBoxingFans.
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