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Statistically speaking: Texan has national scoring record in sight

Cameron Smith
Prep Rally

Aledo (Texas) High running back Johnathan Gray has had a heck of a career. Now it's officially one for the record books.

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Aledo running back Johnathan Gray

Aledo running back Johnathan Gray

On Friday, Gray become only the third player in the recorded history of high school football to score more than 1,000 career points. Gray's six-touchdown game against Fort Worth (Texas) Boswell High pushed his career mark to a whopping 1,028 points, just 48 points behind the number two all-time scorer, former North Carolina State running back T.A. McLendon.

For most players, a six touchdown explosion would be a once in a career night. That's not the case for Gray, who has yet to have a single game during the 2011 season when he's been held to fewer than four touchdowns.

Incredibly, according to Dallas Morning News writer Corbett Smith, that pace would give Gray a outside but legitimate chance at setting the all-time high school career scoring record by the end of the season. Any chance of that happening likely depends on Gray's health and Aledo's progress in the state playoffs, but given the running back's long term durability and Aledo's consistent playoff success -- the team has played for the Class 4A Division I state title for the past two season -- it's hardly out of the question.

Here's how the numbers break down:

• To break the all-time career scoring record, Gray would have to score an additional 37 touchdowns to close the 218-point gap between himself and Indianapolis Colts running back Mike Hart.

• Aledo has three remaining regular season games, then the playoff rounds, meaning that Gray could play a maximum of nine more games, if Aledo reaches the state title game.

• Gray would have to keep up his current pace of four touchdowns per game through all nine of those games to break Hart's record.

See? Simple math. Of course, actually pulling off that accomplishment will be exponentially harder than just figuring out what he has to do to get there. According to Dallas Morning News' statistics, Gray has run for 1,880 yards on just 130 carries so far in 2011, astonishingly averaging more than 14 yards per carry.

That would be a nearly impossible pace for anyone to keep up. Of course, the optimal word in the past sentence is nearly. If anyone can keep up such a record pace, it's likely Gray.

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