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Matt Buser

If we have more trading, then we'll have more Buser

Matt Buser
Roto Arcade

Editor's Note: Matt Buser started a franchise of his own, but remains a top expert in fantasy basketball and his court vision is sharp as ever. We continue to encourage you to visit busersports.com, but we'll also feature his analysis frequently in the Roto Arcade. Please enjoy some deadline coverage...

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The major trade from Wednesday was a three-teamer:

The Bulls acquired center Brad Miller and John Salmons from the Kings on Wednesday for four players, including forwards Drew Gooden and Andres Nocioni. Sacramento also got Michael Ruffin and Cedric Simmons in the deal, but immediately traded Ruffin to the Trail Blazers for forward Ike Diogu and cash. The Kings then waived guard Quincy Douby and veteran Sam Cassell, acquired on Tuesday from Boston, to make room for their new players.

Obviously, only the first four players mentioned in the blurb have an impact in fantasy, so we’re just dealing with them. Let’s take a look at how the substantially affected rosters shake out now:

Chicago Bulls (also adjusted for the Hughes, Sefolosha trades)
PG: Derrick Rose, Kirk Hinrich, Anthony Roberson, Lindsey Hunter
SG: Ben Gordon
SF: Luol Deng, John Salmons
PF: Tyrus Thomas, Tim Thomas
C: Brad Miller, Joakim Noah, Aaron Gray

There aren’t a lot of clear "winners" from a fantasy perspective in the deal for the Bulls. Miller will start when he’s healthy, taking a bit of the shine off of Noah’s recent productive stretch. Over the past 13 games - all starts - he’s averaged 8.3 points on 58 percent shooting, 9.2 boards, and 2.1 blocks; falling back closer to his season averages (5.4 points, 6.7 boards, and 1.4 blocks in 21 minutes) seems realistic with Miller in the fold, although he should also start seeing a few more minutes at power forward. Salmons, in the midst of a career season, takes a hit as the Bulls’ sixth man - there’s simply no way his minutes (37-plus) will remain the same. Don’t panic just yet - there remains the possibility that the Bulls will flip Salmons to another of his previous suitors (Oklahoma City?) before the deadline. If he remains with the Bulls, he could end up poaching a few minutes from Gordon (36 per game) and Deng (35).

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What should help the Bulls overall is that Miller is a legit post presence and a good player, in general. He’s also as good of a passing big as you’ll find. Rose and Thomas’ fantasy owners can feel a bit better about their players down the stretch with Miller on board - Thomas in particular has been stepping up his production lately, averaging 14.8 points, 9 boards, 1.6 steals, and 1.8 blocks in 33 minutes over his past 10 games.

Sacramento Kings
PG: Beno Udrih, Bobby Jackson
SG: Kevin Martin, Rashad McCants
SF: Francisco Garcia, Andres Nocioni, Donte Greene
PF: Jason Thompson, Mikki Moore, Ike Diogu, Cedric Simmons, Kenny Thomas
C: Spencer Hawes, Drew Gooden, Patrick O’Bryant, Calvin Booth

We do have some clear winners in Sacramento, as both Hawes and Garcia deserve universal ownership as starters moving forward. In 12 starts at center thus far on the season, Hawes has averaged 11.5 points, 0.6 threes, 7.8 boards, 2.3 assists, 0.9 steals, and 2 blocks in 34 minutes. In 52 career starts, Garcia has averaged 13.6 points, 1.1 threes, 4.5 boards, 2.4 assists, 1.5 steals, and 0.9 blocks in 34 minutes.

Nocioni’s role figures to be fairly similar with the Kings as the backup for both forward positions. Gooden won’t approach the 30 minutes per game he saw with the Bulls - once he’s healthy, he’ll give Hawes a breather when he needs one and play some at the four, as well, but his per-game impact takes a hit. Neither Martin, Thompson, nor Udrih figure to be affected greatly by the deal...

OK, that's enough theft. You'll find more trade-related spin here, including notes on Rafer Alston, Larry Hughes and various others.

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Photos via AP Images

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