The blockbuster months in the making has finally happened. The trade immediately made the Lakers co-favorites to win the 2012/13 title. AccuScore added 4.4 wins to Los Angeles after the move, while they took away 13.1 wins from Orlando, which gives an idea of just how big the ramifications will be. Let's take a team-by-team look at how their newly acquired players will affect fantasy values:
Howard's fantasy value shouldn't change a ton with the move to LA. He may see fewer shots with such an upgrade in teammates, but fewer double teams should offset that. Moreover, Howard, who scored the most points per play as a pick-and-roll man last season (1.38), now gets to play with Steve Nash, who had the most pick-and-roll passes in the NBA last year. It should be a nice match. Although LA wasn't his first choice, Howard should theoretically be happier now out of Orlando and will still be playing for a big contract.
Andrew Bynum attempted nearly an identical amount of field goals per game as Howard did, so this trade shouldn't affect the values of Kobe Bryant or Pau Gasol all that much, although the latter may see a small decrease in rebounds. Nash, even at age 38 and in limited minutes, is a threat to lead the NBA in assists with all those weapons at his disposal.
Denver Nuggets: acquired Andre Iguodala.
Iguodala will likely become Denver's starting shooting guard, moving to the three when the team goes small. The Nuggets run a much more uptempo style than the 76ers, so the move should increase Iguodala's scoring and help his fantasy value overall.
The other big possible ramification of this deal is a boost for Kenneth Faried with Al Harrington gone. With perennial tease (and disappointment) Anthony Randolph his biggest competition for minutes at power forward, Faried is going to see a lot of run this year. He averaged 11.6 ppg, 9.1 rpg, 0.9 spg and 1.1 bpg while shooting 58.4% from the field over the final month of his rookie year last season, so there's some nice upside here.
Afflalo should start at shooting guard and immediately becomes the favorite to lead Orlando in scoring. He averaged 17.9 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.1 apg and 1.6 3pt while shooting 50.4% from the floor after the All-Star break last year and can be expected to surpass all those numbers in 2012/13 now in Orlando. Vucevic looks like the favorite to start at center for the Magic. His 0.7 bpg in just 15:54 mpg last year is intriguing, but he's raw and probably isn't ready for big minutes. Still, he's a sleeper.
The 15th pick of the draft, Harkless lands in a better situation than he was before, but he's unlikely to make a major impact right away. Harrington should see similar playing time and production as he did last year, while Glen Davis could suddenly get a nice uptick in minutes with Howard's departure. When Howard was sidelined over the final month of last season, Davis averaged 16.4 ppg, 8.8 rpg and 1.4 spg. Vucevic, Harrington and Davis will all battle for minutes inside.
Philadelphia 76ers: acquired Andrew Bynum and Jason Richardson.
Richardson remains in decline and will compete for minutes with Evan Turner, Nick Young and Dorrell Wright. His sinking fantasy value shouldn't change much. As for Bynum, he should set a career high in scoring as the true centerpiece of an offense for the first time ever, but he will likely be less efficient while doing so. With a huge downgrade in teammates, Bynum will be looking at many more double teams. When doubled last season, Bynum saw his TO% increase from 9.5 to 24.8 while scoring just 0.77 points per post-up, which was the fewest in the entire league. Bynum should still be a fantasy beast, but this is something at least worth noting. As usual, the key to his fantasy success will ultimately come down to health.
- Sports & Recreation
- Dwight Howard
- Andrew Bynum
- Al Harrington