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Double Dips: Stumping for Jason Vargas

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Tangled up in Blue (USAT)

Two-start pitchers are a way of life for some roto formats, especially head-to-head pools and the weekly-transaction rackets. Let's try to figure it out. (As always, consider this list tentative in nature: teams change their pitching plans all the time. We keep up with it as best we can.) 

1. Masahiro Tanaka (at SEA, at OAK): A's can mash, but no denying this stud.
2. Hisashi Iwakuma (NYY, TEX): Great everywhere, but especially in Seattle (2.72/0.99 career).
3. Madison Bumgarner (WAS, COL): Hasn't been sharp at AT&T, but that seems flukish.
4. Corey Kluber (at KC, at BOS): Last seven turns: 2.55 ERA, 10 BB, 64 K.
5. David Price (SEA, at HOU): K/BB rate is divine, but can't fully excuse the homers.
6. Doug Fister (at SF, at STL): I'll never understand Detroit's rush to dump him.
7. Stephen Strasburg (at SF, at STL): Unbenchable, but not as much fun on the road.
8. Ian Kennedy (at PHI, at NYM): Not a Petco sham, road numbers are excellent.
9. Ryan Vogelsong (WAS, COL): He's regained the feel of his curve.
10. Garrett Richards (OAK, at ATL): HR/FB rate can't continue, but spreadsheet still likes him.
11. Josh Beckett (at CIN, ARI): Another veteran making hay with improved curve.
12. Justin Verlander (at CWS, MIN): We've talked about him here, and here.
13. Rick Porcello (at CWS, MIN): So much for 2013's strikeout gains, back down again.
14. Jason Vargas (NYY, at CWS)

There was a lot of snickering when the Royals gave Vargas a four-year, $32 million deal, but he's been worth the dough. Two nightmare outings (14 runs in total against the Tigers and White Sox) mucked his numbers up a little bit, though the bottom line is still useful (3.28 ERA, 1.25 WHIP). He's recorded 10 quality starts in 13 appearances.

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The Yankees assignment doesn't scare me, and the White Sox offense has slowed down a bit (three runs a game over the last couple of weeks). Vargas is Arcade-approved.

15. Mike Minor (at COL, LAA): Would be a lot higher if not for Coors.
16. A.J. Burnett (SD, CHC): Now or never week, look at those tasty matchups.
17. Marco Estrada (at NYM, CIN): The K/BB clip is fine, but needs to keep ball in park.
18. Francisco Liriano (CHC, at MIA): Results have been better with Russell Martin.
19. Jesse Chavez (at LAA, NYY): No major home/road split, A's generally score in Oakland.
20. Charlie Morton (CHC, at MIA): Still gets the grounders, walks creeping up though.
21. Dan Haren (at CIN, ARI): Is he dealing with a cranky back again?
22. R.A. Dickey (MIN, at BAL): There's no rhyme, reason, or pattern for a knuckleballer.
23. Travis Wood (at PIT, at PHI): I'm the last apologist; I can live with this slate.
24. Mike Leake (LAD, at MIL): The NL's Porcello, probably more underrated.
25. Gavin Floyd (at COL, LAA)

Floyd's picked up buzz in some areas, but I'm not lining up for the story. His WHIP is a messy 1.47, he's not working deep into games, and Coors Field is on the docket. Sounds like fool's gold to me. Heck, look at all the crooked numbers he posted in Chicago over the years. Moving to the NL hides some warts, but it doesn't automatically turn mediocre arms into fantasy-credible starters. Let someone else take the plunge.

26. Bronson Arroyo (HOU, at LAD): Window is narrow with finesse pitchers.
27. John Danks (DET, KC): Get the K/BB over two and we'll talk then.
28. Jarred Cosart (at ARI, TB): Nice rebound since Oakland nightmare. 
29. Josh Collmenter (HOU, at LAD): Rarely works past six innings. 
30. Bud Norris (BOS, TOR): I'm waiting for Jon Singleton to mock Norris's contract.
31. Edwin Jackson (at PIT, at PHI): Strikeouts up, but still too much red ink. 
32. Daisuke Matsuzaka (MIL, SD): Takes three hours to watch 60 Minutes. 
33. Brandon Workman (at BAL, CLE): Had a homer problem in Triple-A.
34. JA Happ (MIN, at BAL): This team is begging for a rotation upgrade.
35. Jake Peavy (at BAL, CLE): The San Diego salad days seem so far away.
36. Brad Peacock (at ARI, TB): Occasionally flashes (Texas, Baltimore) but no consistency yet.
37. Nick Martinez (CLE, at SEA): K/BB is almost even; head for the hills.
38. Chris Tillman (BOS, TOR): No borderline pitchers against the Jays, please.
39. Juan Nicasio (ATL, at SF): Five of last nine turns had crooked numbers.
40. Ricky Nolasco (at TOR, at DET): Unsafe anywhere, especially here.
41. T.J. House (at TEX, at BOS): No thanks with those two ballparks. 
42. Erasmo Ramirez (at TB, TEX): Erasmo is Spanish for "Hit Me."
43. Christian Bergman (ATL, at SF): Wasn't doing anything special at Triple-A.
44. Hector Noesi (DET, KC): Career as starter: 3-16, 5.57, 1.43.
45. Vidal Nuno (at KC, at OAK): Oh, la la, Sassoon.

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