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Daily Dime: Buying Tyson Ross, fading Archie Bradley on Tuesday

Daily Dime: Buying Tyson Ross, fading Archie Bradley on Tuesday

Another heavy night of DFS action. Be sure to check those lineups and weather reports carefully.

Players to Buy 

Tyson Ross, SP, vs. Houston (Hernandez), $8400 at FanDuel: The Astros are the easiest team to strike out, and Petco is obviously the best pitcher-park in the league. Ross loves the home cooking, that’s for sure: 2.03 ERA, 1.01 WHIP at the sandbox. He’s also drawing one of Houston’s weaker starting pitchers, giving him a better chance at those critical victory points.

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Nelson Cruz, OF, at Texas (Detwiler), $5000: I hate telling you to drop five dimes on anyone, but Cruz is obliterating left-handed pitching (6-for-12, four homers), he’s working in a hitter’s paradise, and Ross Detwiler is one of the easier draws of the night. I wouldn’t want to be on the other side of this one. There are plenty of places to cut corners elsewhere.

Brian McCann, C, vs. Tampa Bay (Odorizzi), $2800: I’m all for the Jake Odorizzi story and have several shares, but he often loses his way in road starts, and McCann’s controlled this matchup in the past (8-for-13, two homers, 1.951 OPS). You don’t have to clobber the ball to get a good result in New York; the short porch is your friend.

Russell Martin, C, at Boston (Buchholz), $3100: He’s 4-for-14 in his career against Clay Buchholz, with all of the hits home runs. Maybe another dinger is coming. Maybe he’ll get plunked once or twice.  Fenway Park, like most of the AL East locations, is a fun place to take your hacks.

Andrew McCutchen, OF, vs. Chicago (Wood), $3900: At this shrinking price, they’re just begging you to play McCutchen. Take the discount. He’s a career .326/.414/.570 bat against lefties, and Travis Wood is no one to fear.

Zack Cozart, SS, vs. Milwaukee (Lohse), $2300: If you’re going super-cheap in the middle infield, Cozart has a swing-for-the-fences mentality and he’s slotted second Tuesday night, right in front of back-in-form Joey Votto. Kyle Lohse hasn’t been on top of his game thus far, either. This could work.

Matt Kemp, OF, vs. Houston (Hernandez), $4000: He’s off to a terrific start with his new club, and perhaps the Padre most inclined to take advantage of Robert Hernandez’s deliberate motion. Kemp always has a good chance to beat you with his bat, and maybe he’ll do it with the legs, too. San Diego’s new lineup is doing just fine at Petco (tenth in home scoring).

Jose Iglesias, SS, at Minnesota (Pelfrey), $2400: If only you got some points for his angelic defense. That said, Iglesias is showing legitimate offensive value in 2015 (two homers, four steals) – category juice plays anywhere, even if he drops back to the bottom of the lineup Tuesday. The Tigers are pegged for 4.5 runs (and you have to lay juice on the over), the highest team O/U on the card.

Players to Fade

Billy Hamilton, OF, vs. Milwaukee (Lohse), $3800: I don’t mind paying up for Hamilton if a stolen-base gift is on the mound. Jon Lester, Jake Arrieta? Sure, dial up Hamilton. Alas, Kyle Lohse has a strong record of shutting down the running game, and while much of that happened in St. Louis (thanks, Yadier Molina), he remains a negative matchup for would-be thieves. Let’s wait for a better Hamilton spot.

Archie Bradley, SP, vs. Colorado (Kendrick), $7000: The price is right, the opponent (on the road) is right, even the opposing pitcher is right. But Bradley’s 1.45 ERA is one of the stone flukes of the young season, belying a strikeout rate under six and a walk rate over five. In seasonal, you sell high (talk up the ERA and the pedigree). In daily, you look elsewhere.