What's buzzing:

Justin Phan

Court Report: Week 1 Dashboard, Part II

Justin Phan
Roto Arcade

Each Sunday, the Dashboard centralizes all the crucial information fantasy managers need to dominate their weekly head-to-head matchups or climb the standings in their rotisserie leagues. The Dashboard covers schedule analysis, status updates, adds, drops, watch list candidates, and deep league targets for managers of all skill levels. Quite simply, it is a comprehensive weekly cheat sheet that is packed with so much information that we’ve devoted two writers to producing it.

I’ll do my best not to mention players I already covered in the first installment of the Dashboard. Not a whole lot has changed since then so I’ll dig a little deeper than usual into each player as to avoid dialing up the Department of Redundancy Department.

View gallery

.
Add List - players currently owned in less than 40% of Yahoo! leagues

Carlos Delfino(notes) (22% owned) – let’s not forget that Delfino put up top-40 value during the final three months of last season. That was with Brandon Jennings(notes), Andrew Bogut(notes), and John Salmons(notes) there (and healthy), in case you were wondering. The starting small forward job appears to be his for at least the foreseeable future as Corey Maggette(notes) works his way back from a sore left ankle. Delfino will continue to do what he does best: park behind the three-point line and stroke treys (where half of his shot attempts came from), play unselfishly and facilitate the offense (10th amongst SF’s in assist rate), and hit the defensive glass hard (tied-sixth amongst SF’s in defensive rebound rate). There aren’t many players past the 10th round who will hit six of nine categories, a reality that differentiates him from the other three-point specialists out there. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that he is killing it in the preseason with averages of 13.5 points, 2.2 treys, 5 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1 steal in 29.7 minutes a game.

Arron Afflalo(notes) (19% owned) – his inability to create his own offense isn’t much of a concern playing alongside Chauncey Billups(notes) and Carmelo Anthony(notes), where he takes advantage of quality opportunities and generates the majority of his offense from the perimeter effectively (43.4 percent from deep; eighth in the league). He is everything that JR Smith(notes) isn’t – a disciplined defender who is fantastic defending the pick-and-roll, a perimeter shooter who understands his limitations and doesn’t have one of the league’s worst shot selections, and a non-issue/distraction away from the court. His recent emergence has made Smith even more expendable, and has likely earned him the starting shooting guard job. He has put up top-five per-game value in the preseason, with averages of 20.7 points, 2.3 treys, 4.3 rebounds, and 2.7 assists to boot.

Cut List - players owned in over 10 percent of Yahoo! leagues who should not be rostered in standard formats

Omri Casspi(notes) (23% owned) – the fact that he’s stuck in an ugly three-man timeshare at the three with Donte Greene(notes) (the current starter) and Francisco Garcia(notes) should be enough to scare you away. It’s hard to trust Casspi fully after his precipitous drop-off during the final three months of last season, and until he proves he can handle the rigors of a full 82-game schedule, he should be no more than a plug-in-play option better left on the waiver wire.

Hakim Warrick(notes) (14% owned) – Warrick is one of those players who always gets some sort of buzz/hype during the offseason but never, ever delivers. The fact that he is an abhorrent defender doesn’t help his case for more minutes. The Bucks allowed 4.2 points more per 100 possessions with him on the floor, while the Bulls allowed 6.8 more. Here are his per-game ranks from the last four seasons (most recent first): 290, 215, 199, 182. With Hedo Turkoglu(notes) entrenched as the Suns’ starting 4 and Channing Frye(notes) pushing him for minutes, there’s no reason to hold out hope that Warrick finally turns it around.

Ronny Turiaf(notes) (12% owned) – it’s a bit puzzling how quickly Turiaf has fallen out of favor with Mike D’Antoni, but he is technically the Knicks’ third center right now behind Timofey Mozgov(notes) and Amar’e Stoudemire(notes). He has proven to be an excellent source of blocks when given minutes, but given the way things currently stand, he won’t be given enough opportunities to warrant a roster spot in standard-sized leagues. If you’re in need of blocks, opt for Serge Ibaka(notes) or Amir Johnson(notes) instead.

Watch List - players to monitor closely in standard leagues

View gallery

.
Rudy Fernandez(notes) (10% owned) – the recent Jerryd Bayless(notes) trade only further cements Fernandez (and Wesley Matthews(notes) for that matter) into the Blazers’ backcourt rotation. It appears that Rudy has come to terms with the fact that he won’t be going back to Europe this season as he had previously requested. Happy or unhappy, there’s no denying that he’s been Portland’s best player in preseason play, leading all players with 21 treys for an average of three a game. He’s definitely a volatile option and has questionable long-term value with a potential spat/trade request on the horizon, but for now no one is shooting the ball better from distance. Ride Fernandez’s hot streak for as long and far as it takes you.

Rodrigue Beaubois(notes) (25% owned) – there’s still plenty of upside here to be had here but it will just take him a little longer to realize it with his recent setback as he recovers from a broken left foot. He won’t be ready for the season opener, but is aggressively rehabbing and shouldn’t be out for more than a few weeks. Just a refresher – amongst qualifiers (20+ games, 10+ minutes per game), Beaubois finished 14th in per-minute value last season. The guys ahead of him: LeBron, Durant, Dirk, Chris Paul(notes), Oden, Manu, Granger, Duncan, Wade, Murphy, Frye, David Lee(notes), and Bosh. Feel free to cut him loose in standard sized head-to-head leagues, but if you can afford to stash him in rotisserie leagues and/or deeper leagues then by all means.

Deep League Specials - players owned in five percent or less of Yahoo! leagues

Shelden Williams(notes) (2% owned) - injuries have created a serious opportunity for Williams, at least to start the season, in the Denver frontcourt. He averaged 12.6 points on 57-percent shooting, 7.9 boards, 0.9 steals, and 0.7 blocks in 28 minutes during the preseason, and at the very least that many minutes won't be hard to come by while Kenyon Martin(notes) and Chris Andersen(notes) are inactive.

James Jones(notes) (1% owned) - the Heat are without a key cog in their expected rotation (Mike Miller(notes)), and Jones (career 40% 3PT) is likely to get first crack at the minutes that are now available. Eddie House(notes) and the newly-signed Jerry Stackhouse(notes) are also in the mix, but it's Jones that could emerge with some value if he gets hot early.

Jerryd Bayless (3% owned) – he’ll assume Darren Collison’s(notes) role backing up Chris Paul at the point with his recent trade to New Orleans. There is certainly some upside here should Paul get hurt (knock on wood), but keep in mind that he's just a backup point guard and a third shooting guard at this point. He averaged a foul every 8.5 minutes last season, second highest at his position, and his game is limited to three categories: points, assists, and free-throw percentage. He'll give you some threes but his three-point percentage is too low for him to be any better than average there. Poor field-goal percentage, very low steal rate (fourth-lowest amongst point guards), moderately high turnovers, and nothing notable in the rebounds/blocks department. In other words, only add him if you’re handcuffing him with Paul or in a 16+ team league.

Nazr Mohammed(notes) (3% owned) - Mohammed is the starting center for the Bobcats, and he averaged 9.4 points on 57-percent shooting, 6.1 boards, and 0.9 blocks in just 20 minutes in the same capacity last season. He can't be looked at as someone with tremendous upside, but Nazr is a solid pro with a steady role, so there are some assurances in terms of expected production here.

Reggie Evans(notes) (1% owned) - Evans is likely to have played himself into the Raptors' starting lineup during the preseason, during which he averaged 8.3 boards (3.6 offensive), 1.2 steals, and 0.5 blocks in 23 minutes. He brings toughness that the team desperately needs, but one thing he absolutely won't provide to fantasy owners is offense - he averaged 3.4 points in the preseason and 4.8 points on 271 career starts (23 minutes). Those hustle-board numbers can come in handy, and Evans becomes significantly more useful if you are employing the rare punt points strategy.

Depth Chart Breakdown & Analysis - an in-depth breakdown of rotations that are in still in flux and the potential implications for those involved

Cleveland Cavaliers

PG: Mo Williams(notes), Ramon Sessions(notes)
SG: Anthony Parker(notes), Daniel Gibson(notes)
SF: Jamario Moon(notes), Jawad Williams(notes), Joey Graham(notes)
PF: J.J. Hickson(notes), Antawn Jamison(notes), Leon Powe(notes)
C: Anderson Varejao(notes), Ryan Hollins(notes)

The starting five has been settled and Byron Scott’s rotation is finally starting to take shape. The weak spot in the lineup is clearly at the 2, where Parker has shot 40.4 percent to Moon’s 48.4 percent in the preseason. Parker is technically the starter, but Gibson will definitely challenge for the job and should win it at some point. Scott also won’t hesitate to slide Mo over to the off-guard spot while Sessions runs the point. That would easily give the Cavs their most potent offensive backcourt pairing, with Sessions running the P&R with Hickson/Varejao and Mo camping on the perimeter as a deadly spot-up shooter. I’d milk that set for all its worth if I was Scott. Jamison will come off the bench but will still be prominently featured at both forward spots. His value will ultimately come down to health (knee tendonitis) and stability (whether he gets moved at the trade deadline). If you normalize his out-of-whack free-throw percentage last season, he still posted top-45 per-game value.

Orlando Magic

PG: Jameer Nelson(notes), Chris Duhon(notes), Jason Williams(notes)
SG: Vince Carter(notes), J.J. Redick(notes)
SF: Quentin Richardson(notes), Mickael Pietrus(notes)
PF: Rashard Lewis(notes), Ryan Anderson(notes), Brandon Bass
C: Dwight Howard(notes), Marcin Gortat(notes)

Too much of something is sometimes a bad thing, and with the Magic that thing might be depth. With Stan Van Gundy's plan to play Lewis at both the 3 and the 4, it means that two of Redick, Pietrus, Richardson, Anderson, and Bass will likely not play at all on some nights. Unless there is some clarity as the season progresses, and I believe there will be, that whole group becomes too unpredictable to warrant ownership in standard leagues. My feeling is that QRich and Bass will eventually become the two oddest men out -- Bass because his poor rebounding only exacerbates the Magic's weaknesses, and Q because he adds next to nothing defensively alongside an already suspect Vince Carter. Pietrus' preseason performance (28.6 percent) doesn't inspire much confidence in a break-through campaign, but Anderson's does (11.5 points, 5.8 rebounds, 1.8 treys, 1.3 steals).

Follow Justin Phan on Twitter @jphanned

-----
Photos via Getty Images

View Comments (0)