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    Roto Arcade
    • Not your night, Fernando Rodney (Getty)

      So Fernando Rodney was not exactly at his best against the Red Sox on Thursday night.

      Asked to protect a two-run ninth-inning lead, Rodney immediately issued a pair of free passes. Nine of the first 11 pitches he threw were non-strikes. He eventually loaded the bases via walk, then gave up a two-out, three-run double to Will Middlebrooks. And then he walked Jarrod Saltalamacchia, just to prove the first three BBs weren't flukes.

      Rodney's final fantasy line was a big steaming mess...

      Yup, you're reading those ratios correctly: 40.50, 7.50. Some of us are hurting today.

      Read More »from Maddon: ‘I’m not running away from Fernando. We’ll get him right’
    • Segura has been running, hitting like a man possessed. (USAT)

      Over the course of roughly 45 days, it's stunning how different the fantasy landscape appears. Alleged franchise cornerstones Matt Kemp, Albert Pujols, Josh Hamilton and R.A. Dickey, once thought to be indispensable, have underachieved. Meanwhile, afterthoughts Manny Machado, Starling Marte, Jean Segura and Shelby Miller, who were nothing more than late-round Hail Marys, are keeping many in contention.

      On this week's insightful program, Brad Evans and Brandon Funston redrafted the season, fearlessly forecasting what slow/hot starts in Fantasyland will continue. Also on this week's program, we chatted bloodied Bryce Harper, Vernon Wells' sudden versatility, the Dodgers bullpen and fantasy football mock trends.

      Too busy exercising your liver? No problem. Listen to the replays below:

      LISTEN TO HOUR 1 (MLB/NFL)

      LISTEN TO HOUR 2 (MLB)


      Read More »from The Fantasy Freak Show Podcast: Gronk talk, gaga for Goldy and selling Zim
    • Steve Cishek, frustrating Fish (USAT Images)

      So Thursday's slate played out pretty much the way we all expected. Aroldis Chapman blew a save against the Marlins, Justin Verlander gave up eight runs and couldn't escape the third, and, of course, Francisco Liriano struck out seven batters in an easy win.

      Baseball, you guys. Almost too predictable. Why they even play the games, I don't really know.

      We're heading straight to the bullets, because nothing makes sense just now...

      Read More »from Closing Time: Cishek struggles, Murphy ablaze, Moreland still raking
    • Baby, you're a big star now (USAT)

      Here are your Shuffle Up corners for the month of May. Dig into them, think about them, disagree with them.

      Normal rules apply, of course. We're trying to project 5x5 value to come; what's happened to this point is an audition, not a mandate. Players at the same price are considered even. Don't worry about the prices in a vacuum - what matters is how the players relate to one another. Your intelligent and respectful disagreement is always welcome.

      Please remember the golden rule of shuffling: a player doesn't gain (or lose) 15-20 percent of value simply because he's on your roster.

      Courtesy injury ranks are at the bottom. I won't debate those (I'm generally not as shiny, happy and optimistic about injury comebacks) but everything else is in play. Make the jump, have a look around.

      $34 Miguel Cabrera
      $31 Prince Fielder
      $30 Joey Votto
      $29 Evan Longoria
      $28 David Wright
      $28 Paul Goldschmidt
      $27 Adrian Beltre
      $27 Edwin Encarnacion
      $25 Albert Pujols
      $22 Anthony Rizzo
      $21 Chris Davis
      $21 Allen Craig
      $21 Billy Butler
      $21 Freddie Freeman

      An underrated part of Wright's

      Read More »from Shuffle Up: Manny Machado, ahead of schedule
    • Ryan Vogelsong loses his way (USAT)

      For all the jagged numbers tied to Ryan Vogelsong this season, the number that surprises me most is 45 – his percent ownership in the Yahoo! game. I'm all for patience to a point, but eventually we hit a spot where it's time to accept a crummy start is probably a crummy season. I'm at that conclusion with Vogelsong now.

      The batting practice tour landed in the YYZ for Wednesday's play and it was a mess from the start. Vogelsong went just two innings, allowing six hits and eight runs over 80 pitches. Two balls left the park. The Giants defense sabotaged Vogelsong, mind you, committing a couple of first-inning errors, but there was no positive spin from this outing. Vogelsong's ERA is 8.06 for the year, his WHIP 1.84.

      Before we look at the secondary numbers, remember one inescapable fact: outlier stats always come with outlier peripherals. Any pitcher with a glittering ERA is going to look like the lottery winner in the under-the-hood areas, and the opposite applies when someone is struggling. Of course Vogelsong's BABIP is inflated (.369), and of course his HR/FB rate is crazy high (21.6 percent). That said, the hit rate isn't all flares and bloops - batters have a zesty 25 percent line drive rate against Vogelsong. And his swinging strike rate has fallen to 6.4 percent.

      Read More »from Closing Time: The music stops for Ryan Vogelsong
    • Round-trippers have happened early and often for The 'Schmidt. (USAT)

      Fantasy is a speculative game. Predict the future, and you look like a genius. Don't, and you're painfully human. Gazing into the crystal ball, here's our view on 10 intriguing over/unders this week.

      Corner Infield conundrum. Pick one from this point forward: Albert Pujols, Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Davis or Anthony Rizzo

      Scott – GOLDSCHMIDT, Jerry, Goldschmidt. It pains me to have him on zero teams. (Check that: I have Goldschmidt in one hybrid league that doesn't count home runs. Boy is that league fun.)

      Andy – GOLDSCHMIDT, easy. This one doesn't seem like much of a contest. He's an all-category contributor. If Price were in here, we would have had something to debate.

      Brad – GOLDSCHMIDT. At the No. 15 pick in the Roto Arcade Redo Draft, I had the opportunity to acquire Pujols. However, I kicked the old codger to the curb, opting for the younger, sexier 'Schmidt. Goldy is what Phat Albert use to be, a multicategorical monster who offers much consistency. His BA will likely dip a little, but given the nourishing offensive environment it would be no stretch for him to finish in range of .285-35-120-15.

      Read More »from Over/Under: Is there a new Gold standard in fantasy?
    • Sultan of swing (USAT)

      I can understand why Mitch Moreland's name doesn't move the needle in a lot of roto circles. He's been a solid but somewhat forgettable bat over the last few years, a part-time power source with a so-so average and a platoon deficiency. In the typical mixer, you need to shoot for a higher upside.

      That established, maybe Moreland's career arc is finally ready to pay the bill. Moreland is owned in just 21 percent of Yahoo! leagues as Closing Time goes to press - I'd like to see that number fixed over the next 24-48 hours.

      [The windows are still open! Sign-up today for Yahoo! Fantasy Baseball 2013]

      Moreland's power stroke has been on full display this month, as he's clouted six homers in his last nine games. He already has three taters in the Oakland series, including a pair Tuesday. He's carrying a .296/.347/.578 slash for the year, with nine homers over 39 games (that's a 37 pace). Those numbers at least force you to open the argument.

      The Rangers have a different view of Moreland in 2013: they're letting him play against all kinds of pitching. While the obvious small-sample caveat applies, Moreland hasn't looked overmatched against left-handers, posting a .281/.333/.456 slash versus them. Ron Washington is viewing Moreland as a full-time player, and that's a game-changer in the mixed-league environment. Moreland has also nudged his strikeout and walk rates in the right direction, a key point to note (remember, he's no longer shielded from the platoon disadvantage).

      Read More »from Closing Time: The case for Mitch Moreland; Kenley Jansen closes up
    • How long will Albert Pujols look lost at the plate? (USAT)

      We held a mid-season draft Monday, and I ended up taking Albert Pujols with the 19th pick. Judging by Yahoo’s updated rest of season rankings, I guess this could be considered something of a reach. I’m not necessarily going to argue against that, but it’s remarkable someone who was a unanimous top-three pick last year and was generally considered a top-10 pick this year is now a borderline top-25 pick after six more weeks of disappointment. Pujols’ first 10 seasons in the league were unprecedented, and he’s still just 33 years old (assuming his listed age is correct), but with a .234/.315/.393 line over 145 at-bats, it’s easy to see why he keeps falling down fantasy draft boards (or in most cases this time of year, it’s his sinking trade value). Picking arbitrary end points is cheating, but Pujols did hit .303 with 29 homers, 87 RBI, 66 runs scored and eight steals over 396 at-bats from May-September last season, a span in which he was the sixth most valuable fantasy player. I have no clue why Pujols batted .246 with just one home run over the other two months of the season (211 at-bats), and the ice cold start and finish to the year are equally as meaningful as the hot stretch in between, but at least there’s recent evidence Pujols is still capable of being an elite hitter.

      [The windows are still open! Sign-up today for Yahoo! Fantasy Baseball 2013]

      Obviously, Pujols’ start to 2013 has been highly discouraging and continues a disturbing trend, as his batting average and on-base percentage have decreased in each of the past five seasons (his SLG has dropped in each of the past four, highlighted by an anemic .393 this season). It’s clear Pujols is past his prime, but just how steep will his decline be in 2013? His current 21:18 K:BB rate is hardly abhorrent, and his 18.8 LD% is right in line with his career mark of 19.0% (although it may be worth noting his 1.31 GB/FB rate is a career high). Maybe this is simply a health issue, and Pujols is playing through injuries more serious than we realize, but that doesn’t exactly answer the question of whether or not he should currently be considered a top-20 fantasy player. Since I was willing to take him 19th, I’m of the belief he’ll bounce back (his current BABIP is .236), and hitting in between Mike Trout, Mark Trumbo (I could not have been more wrong about him so far) and Josh Hamilton (assuming the current version doesn't last forever) is certainly a nice spot to be, but I’m also willing to acknowledge a return to form is no sure thing at this point. The draft was a nice exercise to see the change in values over the first six weeks of the year. Before the season, it would have been a bit unexpected to see Chris Davis go just four picks after Pujols, that’s for sure.

      This first pitch is one of the worst you’ll ever see, although still not as bad as this classic one by the Cincinnati mayor.

      That’s just Manny Being Manny.

      Read More »from Mostly MLB Notes: Albert Pujols’ decline, Carlos Santana’s emergence and examining David Price
    • Bryce Harper, dazed and confused (USAT)

      This column isn't targeted for injury news on a daily basis. We'd prefer to focus on player performance and the subtle changes that make someone ownable and unownable. But when Bryce Harper takes on an outfield wall at Chavez Ravine, that's going to push its way to the top of the fold. Time for a SoCal meetup.

      The Nationals were nursing a comfortable 6-0 lead on Monday (thanks, Josh Beckett) when the Harper collision went down in the bottom of the fifth. A.J. Ellis drove a ball deep to right field and for some reason Harper lost his bearings; watch the replay and you'll see Harper completely unprepared for the presence of the wall. Good lord, that's a nasty shot. The Nats took Harper out immediately while fantasy owners held their breath.

      [The windows are still open! Sign-up today for Yahoo! Fantasy Baseball 2013]

      All of the initial check-ins with Harper are coming back favorably. His agent told beat writer Adam Kilgore that 11 stitches were required but Harper doesn't have a concussion. That established, the club figures to do its full diligence with its franchise player and Harper isn't necessarily out of the woods yet. We should know a lot more by the end of the day (lunchtime update, from Kilgore: X-rays came back negative and Harper is day-to-day).

      Yoenis Cespedes and B.J. Upton were also part of the late-night outfielder drop; Cespedes had an early exit because of a stomach illness, while a shoulder contusion (thanks, Wade Miley fastball) took Upton off the field prematurely. Both players are day-to-day. Cespedes cranked his seventh homer in the Oakland victory, though he's stuck on 0-for-3 as a base stealer. The less we say about Upton's horrendous season, the better.

      Houston infielder Jose Altuve should be fine despite his jaw injury Monday; he was hurt in a collision with right fielder Jimmy Paredes. The Astros offense has been surprisingly not terrible

      Read More »from Closing Time: Bryce Harper fights the wall, wall wins
    • Nope, Bryce did not have a long wait in the green room (USAT Images)

      At the risk of tearing down the entire "fantasy expert" scam, we begin today with an admission: Occasionally, fantasy gurus get stuff wrong.

      It's rare, but it happens. Back in March, it's possible that some of us led you to believe Roy Halladay was salvageable and that Adam Dunn was not terrible at baseball. We apologize for these misunderstandings.

      With six weeks of MLB data in the books, it's time to reassess the player pool. We've assembled a group of 10 experts for an in-season baseball draft. The league settings are fairly standard: 5x5, mixed player pool, CI & MI, head-to-head, weekly lineups. Nothing too exotic.

      [Yes, you can still own Goldschmidt! Sign-up today for Yahoo! Fantasy Baseball 2013]

      Read More »from Fantasy do-over: Auditing results from an in-season experts draft

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