Aaron Hill's numbers should provide plenty for fantasy owners to chew on. (Getty)

They say timing is everything. That might be giving "timing" a little bit too much credit. But at least in the case of fantasy baseball drafts, it's spot on. When 2013 comes to an end, you can count on this page to be top-heavy with players that not only had successful fantasy campaigns, but were also afterthoughts on draft day. With that in mind, here's an All-Value team for 2013 - again, it's all about the timing (ADP).

First Base - Chris Davis, Baltimore (Yahoo! ADP 160, Y! '12 rank 89): Players that can hit 30 home runs don't grow on trees, especially those that can also do it with a batting average above .250. Without question, Davis had some difficulty with the batting average aspect of things at times in Texas, but one shouldn't cement their opinions about a player when he is in his early 20s. Davis hit well above .300 during his minor league career and is sitting on a .258 mark (hardly a fantasy deal breaker) through 436 career MLB games, which includes his two-year slump in Texas. Sure, he strikes out a lot, but that certainly doesn't make him unique on fantasy cheat sheets. A middle-of-the-order hitter with Davis' power upside belongs in the same neighborhood (No. 122 ADP) as that of Ike Davis, another young first baseman who projects similarly.

[Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

Shhh! (USAT Sports Images)
Sleeper is such a dangerous term, because it's a relative term. It's league-dependent. One person's sleeper is another dude's fifth round pick.

Many of you play in 8-person mixed fantasy leagues with simple rosters and no keepers. Others are involved in 18-team, N.L.-only, two-catcher, five-outfielder dynasty leagues. If we were to construct sleeper lists for each of those two formats, there would basically be zero overlap. In that first league, you won't care about Cardinals prospect Oscar Taveras until 2014. In the second, he was owned two years ago, before his 19th birthday, when he was lighting up the Midwest League.

[Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

Thus, it's always tricky to write these preseason features. Unavoidably, the sleepers we discuss are useless to many of you because they're way too deep, and useless to others because they're much too obvious.

So today we're targeting fantasy owners who occupy the middle ground in terms of roster depth, those who play in leagues that aren't necessarily at either extreme. If you're managing in, say, a competitive 12 or 14-man mixed league with deep-ish rosters, then perhaps the players below will roughly fit your definition of "sleeper." Consider taking a flier on one or two of 'em (but no more than that. These aren't foundation pieces for your fantasy squad, they're ornamentation. High failure rate among sleepers).

As Dock Ellis would have said, let's do the do...

Signs point to a long, lonely year for Halladay owners. (USAT)

In Fantasyland, a statistical ninja lurks around every corner. Each year in leagues of all shapes and sizes, well-knowns and relative unknowns reach unexpected heights carrying heady investors to the top of the mountain. As fantasy "experts" it's our job to discover, dissect and disseminate recommendations about potential breakouts to the masses. Sometimes our prognostications are eerily accurate. Other instances, we write a few glowing words on a speedy, underachieving infielder that ends up hoofing it in the minors for a majority of the season. You will never be owned again, Dee Gordon.

Hey, 'dems da breaks in a wildly unpredictable business. Win some. Lose most.

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But undeterred by last year's gross misfires, it's time again to put our necks on the chopping block in an attempt to predict this year's unanticipated giants. TEAM HUEVOS would accept nothing less.

It's time to nut up or shut up. With the season opener just days away, here are a dozen insane-in-the-membrane prognostications for the upcoming fantasy season:

Another Shockers Special or two could be around the corner. (USAT)

This year’s wild, wacky, zany and utterly mad NCAA tournament has not only lived up to the hype, it’s exceeded almost every expectation imaginable.

It’s delivered all the necessary ingredients of a ratings blockbuster – upsets, buzzer beaters, incredible comebacks, exhilerating individual performances, undeserving top seeds falling by the wayside, flying Angry Birds issued by the most polarizing figure in the game, Marshall Henderson and even the meteoric rise of RamBoy. Most unbelievably, though, is a tiny school established six years after its star player, Sherwood Brown, was born, has captivated the nation with re-DUNK-ulous jams, frenetic defense and the head coach’s pinup wife.

What a game. What a year. What a tournament.

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My favorite facts from the opening rounds:

• The average true seed in the East is 9.0 (3, 5, 12, 16), Midwest 15.25 (1, 6, 11, 43), South 16.0 (2, 10, 13, 59) and West 28.25 (8, 21, 35, 49).

• Among this year’s batch of Sweet Sixteen coaches, those in the Midwest have 23 Final Four appearances, East five, South five and West two.

• This is the fourth time in tournament history four Big Ten teams have reached the Sweet Sixteen. The Big East holds the record for most single season appearances with five back in 2009.

• At least one double-digit seed has made the Sweet Sixteen in 27 of the past 29 Dances.

• Out of roughly 3.3 million Tourney Pick 'Em entries only 233 correctly prognosticated 14 of 16 Sweet Sixteen teams, two netted 15 of 16, zero nailed all 16. Interestingly, both 15-game winners have Kansas taking the title.

Unfortunately, the unpredictable craziness quickly eliminated millions from office pool bragging rights. Many brackets, inlucing the Noise’s, has taken on the appearance of a slasher movie victim. Red strikes from region-to-region have left entries irreperably bloodied, damage that’s led hoop heads to discard their sheets in various ways – tearing, rolling, smoking, goat-feeding. Chances are the person leading the pool pack is an extremely lucky basketball newbie with a penchant for orinthology. After all, four Sweet Sixteen teams are represented by feathery mascots.

But here’s the good news: Life is full of second chances, brackets included. To ensure a better performance, here’s my guide to hardwood redemption in your Second Chance Tourney Pick 'Em game:

Welcome to the club, Toddzilla (USAT)The first thing to know about this exercise is that it's mostly out of context. I'm in a bunch of leagues every year (too many, really, but it's a labor of love) and they come from all angles. Mixed leagues. Mono leagues. Keeper leagues (well, one). Redraft leagues. Drafts and auctions, with the player-penetration level constantly changing.

At this time of year I like to look back (though I'm not done drafting) and see what players I've landed more than once. Repeated ownership generally means I like a player, at least more than my opponents do - but it's obviously a lot more complicated than that. And sometimes I find myself missing on players I actually do like a lot because of circumstances I can't really control (I only have one Norichika Aoki share to this point; two months ago, I thought he'd be on nearly all of my teams).

WIthout further preamble, here's a look at some of my common threads for 2013. Take it for what it's worth. It's all about value collecting and balancing upside and floor. When I tell you I have a handful of Paul Maholm shares this year, it doesn't mean I think he's better than Cliff Lee. I'll try not to be repetitive with it, but I could write "hey, I liked the price" on every name here.

Let's do the do.

Todd Frazier: I've never tried to deny my affection for position flexibility, and Frazier no longer has to look over his shoulder at Scott Rolen. The park also could be a nice boost for Frazier, something he didn't take advantage of last year (.871 road OPS, .786 at home). An Age-27 season is also something nice to invest in.

Hanley Ramirez, pre-thumb tweak (USAT Sports Images)

We begin with a news item that is unambiguously good: Zack Greinke is pitching again, and he's not in terrible pain.

[Related: Dodgers' Zack Greinke erases doubt in return to mound]

Greinke tossed four scoreless frames against a collection of minor leaguers on Wednesday, allowing just one hit, then offered this assessment:

"My arm felt really good today," he said. "It felt strong."

[...]

"I wasn't perfect," he said. "You saw me upset with several pitches. But for the first outing in two weeks, that's kind of expected."

Good to hear — especially if you already drafted the guy. Greinke has been dealing with elbow soreness and inflammation. He received an injection of platelet-rich plasma last week, which obviously raised his midichlorian count to pre-injury levels. (Don't make me explain medicine to you. It's hard).

The tentative plan for Greinke is to make two additional spring starts, leaving him on track to face Pittsburgh on April 5.

"I want to pitch 34 starts," he says, "the whole regular season."

So there you go. Now for some not-so-great Dodgers news...

Julio Teheran (Getty Images)A year ago, Atlanta right-hander Julio Teheran entered spring training as a high-buzz pitching prospect, a 21-year-old seeking a spot in the Braves' starting rotation. Teheran was coming off a dominant season at Triple-A Gwinnett, where he went 15-3 with an ERA of 2.55. Baseball America rated him as the No. 5 prospect in the game, behind only Bryce Harper, Matt Moore, Mike Trout and Yu Darvish.

And then this happened: 2.0 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, 6 HR, 1 BB, 1 K.

That was the stat line from Teheran's disastrous 2012 spring debut. The Tigers absolutely lit him up, banging out six homers in just two innings on a windy day in Lakeland.

Teheran made four additional Grapefruit League appearances for the Braves last year, allowing multiple runs in three of them. He finished the spring with an ERA of 9.37, then was shipped back to the International League.

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Instead of thriving at Gwinnett, as he had the previous year, Teheran struggled badly. His velocity dipped, his K-rate fell, his ERA rose to 5.08, and he allowed as many home runs as he'd given up in his three prior minor league seasons (18). Not surprisingly, Teheran also fell a few dozen spots in everyone's prospect rankings.

But entering spring training in 2013, Teheran again found himself battling for a big league rotation spot. Here's how his five exhibition appearances have gone:

Head Games, 2013 (USAT)

Everyone needs a few simple rules and concepts to navigate through life. You don't tug on Superman's Cape. You don't play poker against anyone whose first name is a city. And in fantasy baseball, you don't mess with thumb injuries.

Sorry about that, Chase Headley. For the rest of March's draft season, you're just about dead to me.

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The Padres made the news official Monday: Headley has a small fracture on his left thumb and is projected to miss 4-6 weeks (with the full six weeks being the expected timetable). The injury means Logan Forsythe and cuddly sleeper Jedd Gyorko are likely safe as opening day starters, one at second base and one at third base. For an ordinary offensive club like the Padres, this is a crushing blow.

Injury analysis in fantasy baseball can often turn into a Mad Lib. Almost any injury will be described as "potentially lingering" or "power sapping." You've probably seen the notes, likely know what I'm speaking of here.