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    Roto Arcade
    • All my exes live in Texas (USAT)

      It's the middle of May and we've got plenty to talk about. Jurickson Profar's promotion. Doug Fister's college days. Derek Holland's OPS.

      As usual, we'll do it in chat fashion. I'll provide the polls, you provide the beverages, everyone bring something silly. In Michael Scott's lingo, this is a win-win-win.

      Headed for a magazine mock, so you're on your own for a while. Re-convene at 10:15 pm ET.

      Read More »from Late Night Fantasy Chat: 10:15 pm
    • Jurickson Profar has been raking at Round Rock (USAT Images)On Sunday afternoon, Buster Olney broke the news that Rangers prospect Jurickson Profar — rated by many as baseball's top prospect — had arrived in Arlington. Profar has since been promoted to the big league roster, with Ian Kinsler (ribs) hitting the 15-day disabled list.

      This is an actionable fantasy event, you guys. Add Profar where you can, then return here for additional details.

      GO. MAKE THE ADD. SHOO.

      Profar didn't race out to a huge start at Round Rock this season — he hit just .231/.355/.410 in April — but he's been on a tear lately. He's hitting .415 over his last 10 games, he homered twice on Saturday, and he's raised his slash to .278/.370/.438. Not bad for a 20-year-old at Triple-A. He's swiped six bags in seven attempts so far this year, too, and he's walked nearly as often as he's struck out (21 BB, 24 Ks).

      Yes, we all understand that Profar is just a kid, and it's only the PCL. Plus he'll have no guaranteed spot in the Texas lineup when Kinsler returns (probably soon). There are issues here, no doubt. We can make no guarantees with Profar. Everyone should understand that 20-year-olds sometimes fail. Blah-blah-temper-expectations-blah-blah-losing-advice-blah. (There, satisfied with the caveats? Great.)

      Read More »from Fantasy alert: Jurickson Profar gets the call as Ian Kinsler hits the DL
    • Stafford's mind-blowing 2012 left us all dumbfounded. (USAT)

      In every corner of the sports universe hard-to-explain anomalies push the boundaries of flukiness, crazy events that leave eyewitnesses with jaws dropped.

      Fantasy football is no exception.

      From Jerome Harrison’s trampling of Kansas City Week 14 2009 to Billy Volek’s unforgettable two-game stretch with the Titans in 2004 to an entire offseason week where neither Kenny Britt or Titus Young are incarcerated, unforeseen occurrences happen all the time, changing previously conceived notions about a particular player or team.

      Take Detroit’s Matthew Stafford.

      Last year, the former No. 1 pick was the definition of 'gunslinger.' Blessed with the game's finest target (Calvin Johnson), immersed in a pass-first offense and placed in numerous come-from-behind situations, the passer shattered Drew Bledsoe's single-season attempts record, firing an unreal 727 passes. Strangely, despite the high pitch-count, he found the end-zone a mere 20 times, the lowest number for a quarterback with at least 640 attempts in NFL history.

      Head-scratching.

      Read More »from First Down: Sizing up Stafford, Gronk’s soap opera and ‘Felony and Ivory’
    • Sweet thirtysomething swing (USAT)

      It's a casual Friday. All bullets, all the time.

      • The Arizona at Miami game got out of hand quickly, as the Snakes posted six runs in the first three innings and turned the game into a rout. Paul Goldschmidt clocked a couple of homers, because that's what Goldschmidts do, and I'd like to burn every nice thing I said about Kevin Slowey this spring.

      But let's try to find an actionable item here. Say hello to Arizona's cleanup man, Eric Chavez.

      The veteran lefty swinger filled the box score nicely, with three singles and a homer over five trips. Chavez knocked in two runs and is slashing .337/.398/.584 on the year. He's still a useful player at age 35, worthy of a fantasy audit.

      A decade ago, the Chavez story was much different. He was one of the superstars on the Oakland juggernaut of the early 2000s, one of the players Moneyball more or less ignored so we could all learn to appreciate Scott Hatteberg. Chavez offered a nifty mix of power and patience, and he also bagged six Gold Gloves in a row. Durability wasn't an issue back then, as Chavez logged 151 games or more in five of six seasons.

      Alas, the wave broke in Chavez's late 20s, when his body began to betray him. He missed a month of time in 2006 and things got progressively worse; from 2007-2010, he never played in more than 90 games. A career on a possible Hall of Fame trajectory quickly spiraled out of control.

      Read More »from Closing Time: Eric Chavez turns back the clock; Adam LaRoche springs forward
    • Not your night, Fernando Rodney (Getty)

      So Fernando Rodney was not exactly at his best against the Red Sox on Thursday night.

      Asked to protect a two-run ninth-inning lead, Rodney immediately issued a pair of free passes. Nine of the first 11 pitches he threw were non-strikes. He eventually loaded the bases via walk, then gave up a two-out, three-run double to Will Middlebrooks. And then he walked Jarrod Saltalamacchia, just to prove the first three BBs weren't flukes.

      Rodney's final fantasy line was a big steaming mess...

      Yup, you're reading those ratios correctly: 40.50, 7.50. Some of us are hurting today.

      Read More »from Maddon: ‘I’m not running away from Fernando. We’ll get him right’
    • Segura has been running, hitting like a man possessed. (USAT)

      Over the course of roughly 45 days, it's stunning how different the fantasy landscape appears. Alleged franchise cornerstones Matt Kemp, Albert Pujols, Josh Hamilton and R.A. Dickey, once thought to be indispensable, have underachieved. Meanwhile, afterthoughts Manny Machado, Starling Marte, Jean Segura and Shelby Miller, who were nothing more than late-round Hail Marys, are keeping many in contention.

      On this week's insightful program, Brad Evans and Brandon Funston redrafted the season, fearlessly forecasting what slow/hot starts in Fantasyland will continue. Also on this week's program, we chatted bloodied Bryce Harper, Vernon Wells' sudden versatility, the Dodgers bullpen and fantasy football mock trends.

      Too busy exercising your liver? No problem. Listen to the replays below:

      LISTEN TO HOUR 1 (MLB/NFL)

      LISTEN TO HOUR 2 (MLB)


      Read More »from The Fantasy Freak Show Podcast: Gronk talk, gaga for Goldy and selling Zim
    • Steve Cishek, frustrating Fish (USAT Images)

      So Thursday's slate played out pretty much the way we all expected. Aroldis Chapman blew a save against the Marlins, Justin Verlander gave up eight runs and couldn't escape the third, and, of course, Francisco Liriano struck out seven batters in an easy win.

      Baseball, you guys. Almost too predictable. Why they even play the games, I don't really know.

      We're heading straight to the bullets, because nothing makes sense just now...

      Read More »from Closing Time: Cishek struggles, Murphy ablaze, Moreland still raking
    • Baby, you're a big star now (USAT)

      Here are your Shuffle Up corners for the month of May. Dig into them, think about them, disagree with them.

      Normal rules apply, of course. We're trying to project 5x5 value to come; what's happened to this point is an audition, not a mandate. Players at the same price are considered even. Don't worry about the prices in a vacuum - what matters is how the players relate to one another. Your intelligent and respectful disagreement is always welcome.

      Please remember the golden rule of shuffling: a player doesn't gain (or lose) 15-20 percent of value simply because he's on your roster.

      Courtesy injury ranks are at the bottom. I won't debate those (I'm generally not as shiny, happy and optimistic about injury comebacks) but everything else is in play. Make the jump, have a look around.

      $34 Miguel Cabrera
      $31 Prince Fielder
      $30 Joey Votto
      $29 Evan Longoria
      $28 David Wright
      $28 Paul Goldschmidt
      $27 Adrian Beltre
      $27 Edwin Encarnacion
      $25 Albert Pujols
      $22 Anthony Rizzo
      $21 Chris Davis
      $21 Allen Craig
      $21 Billy Butler
      $21 Freddie Freeman

      An underrated part of Wright's

      Read More »from Shuffle Up: Manny Machado, ahead of schedule
    • Ryan Vogelsong loses his way (USAT)

      For all the jagged numbers tied to Ryan Vogelsong this season, the number that surprises me most is 45 – his percent ownership in the Yahoo! game. I'm all for patience to a point, but eventually we hit a spot where it's time to accept a crummy start is probably a crummy season. I'm at that conclusion with Vogelsong now.

      The batting practice tour landed in the YYZ for Wednesday's play and it was a mess from the start. Vogelsong went just two innings, allowing six hits and eight runs over 80 pitches. Two balls left the park. The Giants defense sabotaged Vogelsong, mind you, committing a couple of first-inning errors, but there was no positive spin from this outing. Vogelsong's ERA is 8.06 for the year, his WHIP 1.84.

      Before we look at the secondary numbers, remember one inescapable fact: outlier stats always come with outlier peripherals. Any pitcher with a glittering ERA is going to look like the lottery winner in the under-the-hood areas, and the opposite applies when someone is struggling. Of course Vogelsong's BABIP is inflated (.369), and of course his HR/FB rate is crazy high (21.6 percent). That said, the hit rate isn't all flares and bloops - batters have a zesty 25 percent line drive rate against Vogelsong. And his swinging strike rate has fallen to 6.4 percent.

      Read More »from Closing Time: The music stops for Ryan Vogelsong
    • Round-trippers have happened early and often for The 'Schmidt. (USAT)

      Fantasy is a speculative game. Predict the future, and you look like a genius. Don't, and you're painfully human. Gazing into the crystal ball, here's our view on 10 intriguing over/unders this week.

      Corner Infield conundrum. Pick one from this point forward: Albert Pujols, Paul Goldschmidt, Chris Davis or Anthony Rizzo

      Scott – GOLDSCHMIDT, Jerry, Goldschmidt. It pains me to have him on zero teams. (Check that: I have Goldschmidt in one hybrid league that doesn't count home runs. Boy is that league fun.)

      Andy – GOLDSCHMIDT, easy. This one doesn't seem like much of a contest. He's an all-category contributor. If Price were in here, we would have had something to debate.

      Brad – GOLDSCHMIDT. At the No. 15 pick in the Roto Arcade Redo Draft, I had the opportunity to acquire Pujols. However, I kicked the old codger to the curb, opting for the younger, sexier 'Schmidt. Goldy is what Phat Albert use to be, a multicategorical monster who offers much consistency. His BA will likely dip a little, but given the nourishing offensive environment it would be no stretch for him to finish in range of .285-35-120-15.

      Read More »from Over/Under: Is there a new Gold standard in fantasy?

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