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    Ryan Greene

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    • Handicapping the deep race for the Big Ten title … Vegas style

      Michigan State a true Big Ten favorite? (AP)A little over a week into conference play, your guess is as good as ours when it comes to who is going to prevail as the Big Ten's regular season king.

      So, how do you handicap who has the best odds of emerging as the champion in the nation's deepest, most competitive league? You turn to the Las Vegas experts.

      For this one, we asked the team at the SuperBook at the LVH (formerly known as the Las Vegas Hilton) to set the numbers. Sports book director Jay Kornegay's shop is not taking bets on the race for the Big Ten title, but he and his guys kindly took the time to create fictional odds for The Dagger. We'll simply expand on them.

      So, here is who, as of right now, is a real contender, and who's, well, not.

      Ohio State (15-2 overall, 3-1 Big Ten) — 3:5

      No surprise here. Indiana tripped the Buckeyes up and took a four-point win in Bloomington on New Year's Eve, but in three wins over teams from the league's bottom half, Ohio State prevailed by an average margin of 31 points. Plus, the team's upcoming schedule sets up nicely over the next three weeks, with an opportunity to build some momentum. If Jared Sullinger stays healthy, Ohio State remains the class of the league.

      Michigan State (14-2 overall, 3-0 Big Ten) — 4:1

      One of college basketball's best stories, Michigan State hasn't lost since an 0-2 start that included losses to North Carolina and Duke. Plus, having already defeated Indiana despite surrendering a 25-2 run and edged Wisconsin on the road in overtime, the Spartans are proving to be arguably the toughest out in the conference. To beat them, you'll have to bury them.

      Wisconsin (12-5 overall, 1-3 Big Ten) — 4:1

      OK, take a breath before freaking out at the tight odds on the struggling Badgers. Yes, they've lost two in a row, including a pair of rare home setbacks. But the schedule ahead actually lays out nice for Wisconsin. Bo Ryan's club only has four remaining games against league teams currently in the Top 25. Indiana is the only other league team who has that few left on its slate, and those two will meet … in Madison on Jan. 26. At the end of the day, Wisconsin is still talented and tough, and has the league's best lead guard in Jordan Taylor. The LVH guys are banking on it all coming together for Bucky at some point soon. Pay attention.

      Indiana (15-1 overall, 3-1 Big Ten) — 7:1

      In terms of the fictional odds, this is the first team you might look at and think 'value' in terms of their number. But the buyer should beware. With an 88-82 win at Penn State on Sunday, Indiana snapped a 16-game road losing streak in Big Ten play. As mentioned above, the Hoosiers only have four league games left against current Top 25 teams, but three of them — Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan — are on the road. They also play at Purdue and Minnesota still. Yes, Tom Crean's team is one of college basketball's best stories so far, but until it proves it can be consistently strong on the road, it might not be long for this race.

      Read More »from Handicapping the deep race for the Big Ten title … Vegas style
    • Iowa State serves notice with upset of Texas in Big 12 opener

      Iowa State's Chris Babb (AP)Baylor has the most talent, Missouri has the most momentum, Kansas has the championship pedigree and Kansas State has all the makings of a gritty contender as the race for a Big 12 regular season title gets underway.

      But Wednesday night proved that Iowa State shouldn't be ignored as a dark horse, either.

      In their league opener, second-year coach Fred Hoiberg's club consistently held a talented-yet-young Texas squad at arm's length in a 77-71 triumph.

      The victory improved Iowa State to 11-3 overall and ran its current win streak to six games. It also made a statement in helping establish the Cyclones as a legitimate force to be aware of in the Big 12.

      Coming into this season, ISU and its wave of eligible transfers were expected to take a step forward, with the effort being headlined by former McDonald's All-American forward Royce White, whose career at Minnesota crashed before it ever took off.

      But Wednesday's win showed that White doesn't need to be on his A-game for the Cyclones to be dangerous against strong competition.

      Read More »from Iowa State serves notice with upset of Texas in Big 12 opener
    • Three more observations from Thursday’s slate of games

      VanderbiltRutgers' thrilling double-overtime upset at home over No. 10 Florida obviously stole the show on Thursday night, but here are three other observations from the busy slate of games.

      1. Vanderbilt is still very relevant.

      Hey, remember when Vanderbilt started the season ranked seventh in the nation? That was four losses ago, but on Thursday, the Commodores reminded the nation why they were up on that pedestal in the first place. In a stunning 74-57 road blowout of No. 14 Marquette, Kevin Stallings' club secured its most impressive win this season, improving to 9-4. On the night, they were an impressive 10-of-22 from 3-point range and forced Marquette into a sloppy offensive showing, as the Golden Eagles had 14 turnovers and 12 assists on only 19 made field goals. It's not necessarily time to pronounce Vanderbilt as being 'back' just yet, but Thursday showed that the team with Final Four potential is still in there somewhere. They do, however, have a chance to get some momentum rolling until they hit the meat of their SEC schedule. They'll host Miami (Ohio) on Monday before opening up their conference schedule against Auburn, South Carolina and Georgia. If they get hot, the remaining sting from home losses to Cleveland State and Indiana State could soon completely disappear.

      2. The WCC is going to be a ton of fun over the next three months.

      It's hard to say that anyone really lost in Moraga, Calif., on Thursday. Sure, Saint Mary's outlasted BYU in a 98-82 victory in what was the Cougars' first ever league game as a WCC member. But both teams had the look of conference title contenders. Saint Mary's simply stayed hotter longer from the floor, shooting 55.4 percent from the floor and hitting 12 of 25 3-point tries on the night. BYU, meanwhile, looks like a different team now with UCLA transfer Matt Carlino eligible, giving them a true point guard who is a perfect fit for its uptempo system. He went just 5-of-15 in 27 minutes, but he's making several guys around him look much more confident on the offensive end. Mix in Gonzaga, and the race atop the league — along with a couple of dark horses, including Santa Clara — is definitely worth keeping tabs on.

      Read More »from Three more observations from Thursday’s slate of games
    • Should Long Beach State currently be in the at-large conversation?

      LBSUDan Monson isn't shy about the motivation behind his Long Beach State program's aggressive non-conference scheduling this season.

      "I wanted us to get in the conversation for an (NCAA tournament) at-large bid with it — That was our No. 1 goal," he said Sunday over the phone from Honolulu.

      The 49ers' gauntlet of a pre-Big West schedule came to a close in the title game of the Diamond Head Classic, where they were dropped by Kansas State, 77-60.

      With a win, they could have further solidified that standing as a legitimate at-large contender. Without it, you could argue that Monson's club should still be in that conversation here in late December.

      Quick recap …

      The 49ers started off the fireworks with a shocking 86-76 win at No. 9 Pitt on Nov. 16. They would lose five of their next seven, but four of those came at San Diego State, at Louisville, at Kansas and at North Carolina — to four likely NCAA tournament teams. Peppered in between were a few gimme home wins over Idaho, Boise State, BYU-Hawaii and Eastern New Mexico. They started this weekend in Hawaii with a 68-58 victory over shorthanded-yet-14th-ranked Xavier, then blitzed through Auburn en route to Sunday's championship game.

      They now take a much-deserved week off before opening Big West play at UC Irvine on Jan. 2.

      The 49ers only played four of their 13 non-conference games at home, but came away from the brutal stretch with plenty to show for it.

      Read More »from Should Long Beach State currently be in the at-large conversation?
    • Diamond Head Classic title latest triumph for surging Kansas State

      Kansas State celebrates Diamond Head Classic title (AP)While the rest of the college basketball world was taking Christmas off on Sunday, Kansas State was continuing one of the nation's more impressive under-the-radar non-conference runs.

      With a 77-60 slashing of Long Beach State in Honolulu in the Diamond Head Classic title game, K-State improved to 10-1 on the year. It's a start few predicted after the program lost its top player and unquestioned heart and soul — Jacob Pullen — to graduation after last season and was left with a roster full of newcomers and guys who had never been more than complimentary pieces.

      [Related: Should Long Beach State hoops be in the at-large conversation?]

      Instead of just one of those guys emerging and filling Pullen's shoes, it's been a successful collaborative effort, as this may be the most cohesive group Frank Martin has had in his five seasons at the helm in Manhattan.

      So far, including Sunday's triumph, the Wildcats own quality wins over Alabama and on the road against Virginia Tech. Their lone loss came in double overtime against West Virginia — hardly a setback to be ashamed of. They'll get a much-needed rest now before closing non-conference play at home against Howard on Dec. 31, then open Big 12 play with a brutal three-game stretch that starts at rival Kansas on Jan. 4, then is followed up by home games against Missouri and Baylor.

      [Related: Who are the favorites to win Big East, Big Ten and Pac-12 hoops titles?]

      While last year's team dealt with waves of adversity before the Big 12 season began — such as unsightly losses, transfers and suspensions — this one has gone in a different direction, simply getting stronger from the start.

      Read More »from Diamond Head Classic title latest triumph for surging Kansas State
    • Breakfast Buffet: Wagner, Hawaii score stunning holiday upsets

      Wagner

      1. Wagner, in a stunning 59-54 Friday upset of 15th-ranked Pitt, took complete advantage of a Panther team that limped to the non-conference finish line. With highly-touted freshman Khem Birch deciding to transfer two weeks back and starting point guard Tray Woodall sidelined with an injury, now Pitt heads into Big East play with a noticeable limp. Ashton Gibbs had to run the point, and the Seahawks game-planned against him beautifully, making him work extra hard in setting up Pitt's offense, which ultimately took away from his scoring punch. He did tally 14 points, but was just 5-of-16 from the floor and 1-of-7 from long range. On the other side, Wagner's surprising 8-3 start under first-year coach Dan Hurley now includes the program's first win over a ranked team since 1978.

      2. A couple of weeks back, the idea of continuing their blistering start in Honolulu over Christmas probably sounded just peachy to Xavier and coach Chris Mack. Now? They likely can't get back to the mainland fast enough. After leading most of the game comfortably by double-digits, Xavier collapsed late to host Hawaii at the Diamond Head Classic late Friday night, eventually falling in overtime, 84-82. The loss makes the Musketeers now 0-3 since its brawl with Cincinnati on Dec. 10 that led to a wave of suspensions on both sides. It was their first game since the fight with both Tu Holloway and Mark Lyons in the backcourt (freshman wing Dez Wells is still out one more game), but it was hard to pin too much of the loss on either of them, as they combined for 44 points in the effort. A 13-of-25 free throw shooting performance, though, killed Xavier, including two misses by Kenny Frease in the final seconds that led to a game-tying 3-pointer with two seconds left in regulation from Hauns Brereton. Now, Xavier has to try and enjoy a day off in Oahu before playing Southern Illinois on Sunday in the tourney's seventh-place game. Making matters worse? Cincy is 4-0 since the brawl, having topped the 100-point mark twice.

      3. You might be hard-pressed to find too many Top 25 teams right now with more impressive non-conference résumés than No. 21 UNLV, who improved to 13-2 on the season with an 85-68 rout of Pac-12 contender Cal on Friday afternoon in Las Vegas. The Rebels dominated from start to finish, and looked considerably fresh for a team that has already played 15 games, and to this point has yet to have four full days off between contests. The win now gives them wins over Cal at home and both Illinois and North Carolina on neutral floors. The two losses — at Wichita State and at Wisconsin — can hardly be considered bad, and they have a firm Top-20 RPI right now. Barring a major collapse in Mountain West Conference play, UNLV should finally play its way off of the 8/9 line in the NCAA tournament, which is where the Rebels have found themselves in their last three trips to the dance.

      Read More »from Breakfast Buffet: Wagner, Hawaii score stunning holiday upsets
    • Dunk of the Year nominee: UNC’s Dexter Strickland, P.J. Hairston

      Myck Kabongo fought through some persistent lower back pain to play 15 minutes for Texas on Wednesday night in an 82-63 loss at North Carolina.

      Afterwards, though, it was a different type of pain that Kabongo and fellow Longorn freshman guard Julien Lewis shared.

      Both were victimized by poster-worthy transition dunks as the Tar Heels raced out to an early lead, then held Texas at arm's length the rest of the night.

      Kabongo was thrown on by Dexter Strickland, while Lewis got put on the deck by P.J. Hairston. Both were equally impressive, molding into a combined nominee for the Dunk of the Year.

      The reason for the shared nomination? Aside from the fact that they came in the same game — heck, the same half — it's simply too tough to decide whose throw-down was better.

      Poor Kabongo was in a no-win situation when it came to Strickland's dunk, as he was stuck as the lone defender in a dangerous 2-on-1 situation. On the one side, the ball was being brought up by 6-foot-8 Harrison Barnes, who normally finishes in similar situations. On the left was Strickland, who has a history of slamming on opponents' heads without giving it a second thought. By the time Barnes released the ball, Strickland had a full head of steam.

      Read More »from Dunk of the Year nominee: UNC’s Dexter Strickland, P.J. Hairston
    • Dagger Q&A: Catching up with BYU’s new sensation, Matt Carlino

      BYU sophomore guard Matt Carlino (US Presswire)Though no one expected him to be another Jimmer Fredette, BYU freshman point guard Matt Carlino in the last week has filled a void left when last season's National Player of the Year graduated and moved on to the NBA ranks.

      The UCLA transfer became eligible for the Cougars in time for last Saturday's highly-anticipated home date against Baylor, giving coach Dave Rose a scoring-minded point guard who can fill up the stat sheet in several ways. BYU has a healthy amount of talent around Carlino, but he could be the final piece that helps tie it all together.

      In the narrow 86-83 loss to Baylor, Carlino scored 18 points and hit four 3-pointers, but also committed four turnovers, including a crucial giveaway in the game's final minute with BYU trailing by just a point. Then, in a 93-78 victory over Buffalo on Wednesday night, he scored 10 points, gave out 11 assists and almost rounded out a triple-double, finishing with seven rebounds in his first collegiate start.

      Carlino's presence on the floor is coming at just the right time for BYU, who now has the look of a team that could dominate in its first year as a West Coast Conference member. League play starts on Dec. 29 with a marquee showdown on the road with perennial WCC power Saint Mary's.

      On Thursday, The Dagger caught up with Carlino just as the real fun is beginning for him at BYU.

      The Dagger: The three schools you looked at the closest after deciding to transfer were BYU, UNLV and Butler. What was it that ultimately led you to BYU? How much did seeing what Jimmer Fredette was doing and maybe picturing yourself in that role have to do with your final decision?

      Matt Carlino: It had a lot to do with it, watching Jimmer and just the whole team last year. Coach Rose had a ton to do with it because of how he lets people plays and how good of a coach I think he is. Now that I've had a chance to play for him, I know even more how good of a coach he is. In the recruiting process, you just have to listen to what they have to say. Jimmer had a lot to do with it. Coach Rose had a ton to do with it. It's just been a good fit for me.

      TD: You had a year to sit out and not play as a redshirt after not getting to play much at UCLA. Looking back on what you did over the last year, what was the key to making sure you were this ready to play and contribute right away starting last Saturday? How do you keep your game sharp?

      MC: Just working hard and trying to take everything I could get from everyone — like Jimmer, when I had to play against him. At UCLA, I had to guard Malcolm Lee, who was also drafted this year. I was playing against two NBA draft picks last year every day in practice, so just learning from guys like that, learning from the coaches, and especially just learning from coach Rose and what he wants. It was big for me, because it gave me a year to just get prepared instead of just being from high school and going.

      Read More »from Dagger Q&A: Catching up with BYU’s new sensation, Matt Carlino
    • Xavier learns the hard way what life is like without star guards

      Tu Holloway, left, and Mark Lyons (AP)As Tu Holloway and Mark Lyons go, so goes Xavier.

      The eighth-ranked Musketeers learned that the hard way Sunday, suffering their first loss of the season at home to Oral Roberts with their entire starting backcourt suspended. A solid ORU team came to town and ran away with a 64-42 win, controlling things from start to finish.

      Holloway (17.6 ppg, 4.9 apg, 3.9 rpg, 2.4 spg) and Lyons (17.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 2.9 apg) have combined to form arguably the nation's best backcourt to this point in the season, and 6-foot-4 freshman wing Dez Wells has been a strong contributor so far, averaging 9.5 points and 4.5 rebounds. All three sat on Sunday as punishment for their roles in — and cryptic comments after — the team's ugly brawl with Cincinnati last Saturday. And Xavier's lack of reliable depth on the perimeter behind them showed.

      Holloway, an All-American candidate and one of college basketball's true clutch performers, will be back in uniform on Thursday when Xavier takes on Long Beach State. Lyons will have to sit another game while Wells and little-used reserve Landon Amos still have to sit three more.

      Without its entire starting perimeter, Xavier was relatively punchless, shooting just 32.7 percent from the floor, hitting only 1 of 11 3-point attempts and committing 17 turnovers across from 11 assists.

      Junior Brad Redford and freshman Dee Davis started in the backcourt, with neither having played 22 minutes in a game all season. On Sunday, they combined to play 69. Monmouth transfer Travis Taylor deserved a bit of praise for his performance in place of Wells, with 11 points and nine rebounds in 24 minutes, but he was also responsible for five of the team's giveaways.

      It was a team that played with no rhythm and, when it fell down 36-19 after the half, clearly didn't have enough firepower to mount a comeback like the dramatic charge it had two weeks ago against Purdue in a 66-63 home win.

      Read More »from Xavier learns the hard way what life is like without star guards
    • Five Up and Five Down from Saturday’s college hoops slate

      Butler celebrates victory over Purdue (AP)It was hard to trim the lists down for this week's installment of 'Five Up, Five Down.' Outside of what we have already highlighted this weekend on The Dagger, here is a look at some whose stock got a bump and whose took a hit on Saturday.

      UP: Butler

      The Bulldogs (5-6) needed this one in the absolute worst way, and they got it with a combination of great second-half defense and a bit of luck in edging Purdue (9-3) in Indianapolis, 67-65. After the Boilermakers shot 55.6 percent from the floor in the first half, they went just 6-of-29 after the break (20.7 percent). They were out-scored by 13 after the break, with the final bucket coming on an Andrew Smith tip-in in the closing seconds. That win doesn't make up for a trio of early season, in-state losses to Ball State, Valparaiso and Evansville, but it gives Butler a big boost as it heads out for a pre-Christmas road swing to face Gonzaga (Tuesday) and Stanford (Thursday).

      DOWN: Illinois

      UNLV barely missed the cut for the 'Up' list, but their 64-48 wipe-down of Illinois was quite impressive. In the process of securing their second neutral site victory over a Top-20 team this season, the Rebels (11-2) exposed the Illini's (10-1) weaknesses. The one that stuck out the most was rising 7-foot-1 sophomore Meyers Leonard's inability to work out of double teams. He scored a season-low 7 points in 33 minutes. UNLV doubled him every time he touched the ball, but it derailed him for the rest of the afternoon, as he couldn't create anything for himself. Making it look worse was that the open 3-point looks Illinois got as a result of those early doubles weren't falling. Illinois hasn't looked great in its three games since beating Gonzaga on Dec. 3, but they better figure it out fast, as a matchup with No. 10 Missouri on Thursday leads them into Big Ten play after Christmas weekend. One other ugly stat to emerge from Saturday's game: Illinois has now lost five of its last six games at the United Center.

      Read More »from Five Up and Five Down from Saturday’s college hoops slate

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