I've crunched the 2011 numbers and have made related recommendations all spring. But now is time to officially go on record and name the pitchers I think will be bargains and busts relative to Yahoo! average draft position (in parentheses).
Chris Sale, White Sox (203.4): I like so many things about Sale that I don't know where to start. Let's begin with demonstrated big-league dominance (111 Ks in 94.3 innings). He's also left-handed and has even dominated righties. He's s flame thrower (95.3 mph average fastball last year) and has a plus change-up and one of the game's most effective sliders. Yes, he's converting from the bullpen, where he moved immediately after being drafted less than two years out of college, where he was a dominant starter. Projection: 175 innings, 190 Ks, 1.15 WHIP.
Anibal Sanchez, Marlins (149.9): We now begin the bias in favor of NL pitchers. Why swim against the current if you don't have to? Sanchez is the poster boy for the benefits of theRead More »from Pitching by the Numbers: Bargains and busts