- Michael Salfino at Yahoo Sports3 days ago
Nick Foles is the most efficient fantasy football scorer in the league right now. That doesn’t make him the best player because volume matters, too. But it sure puts him in the conversation. Yet I keep getting a lot of questions on Twitter (@michaelsalfino) about starting Foles or Fantasy QB X (who isn’t Peyton Manning). My answer is Foles. Maybe I’d change my mind if the matchup was terrible, which it is not this week against a Detroit team that has trouble stopping passing attacks. You’ll see later in Splitsville that the Lions are downright bad against the pass. They are a backwards defense: stop the run at all costs. So I think Foles and the Eagles will have a typical day and typical for them is top shelf for us. Here’s a chart of the quarterbacks this year sorted by Yahoo! standard fantasy points per touch (pass attempts, rushing attempts and sacks): Player, Fantasy Points Per Touch Nick Foles, 0.743 Peyton Manning, 0.63 Russell Wilson, 0.588 Michael Vick, 0.556 Aaron Rodgers, 0.553 Drew Brees, 0.535 Cam Newton, 0.534 Josh McCown, 0.51 Philip Rivers, 0.506 Colin Kaepernick, 0.5 Matthew Stafford, 0.494 Jake Locker, 0.481 Ryan Fitzpatrick, 0.476 Tony Romo, 0.474 Case Keenum, 0.465 Andrew Luck, 0.459 Jay Cutler, 0.442 Ben Roethlisberger, 0.416 Terrelle Pryor, 0.415 Andy Dalton, 0.413 Alex Smith, 0.401 Robert Griffin III, 0.4 EJ Manuel, 0.392 Matt Ryan, 0.39 Mike Glennon, 0.383 Tom Brady, 0.383 Christian Ponder, 0.38 Carson Palmer, 0.379 Jason Campbell, 0.37 Ryan Tannehill, 0.37 Kellen Clemens, 0.368 Joe Flacco, 0.347 Eli Manning, 0.338 Brandon Weeden, 0.324 Matt Schaub, 0.311 Geno Smith, 0.31 Chad Henne, 0.27 So if you are choosing between, say, Tony Romo this week or, for some reason, Andrew Luck, you have to expect that their touches will exceed Foles’ by a big enough margin to allow them to score more points. Tom Brady is tricky. Obviously it’s a different paradigm with Rob Gronkowski back. Since then, Brady has 256 touches and 106.2 fantasy points, or .414 fantasy points per touch, which places him 20th in fantasy scoring efficiency. So he’s STILL going to need a lot of volume to justify starting him each week. Or maybe he only needs a really killer matchup. This week, the Browns are NOT a good matchup for Brady and the Patriots’ passing game. To help you with matchup decisions, here are how the teams rank in fantasy points per game allowed to quarterbacks (and by extension all receivers, including running backs) and versus the run only. Here are the worst matchups for your quarterbacks and receivers this week based on how many fantasy points they’ve allowed to quarterbacks over the past five games (cumulative stats): Tm, Passing Pts/G MIA, 8.64 CIN, 9.10 CAR, 9.20 NYG, 9.45 TEN, 10.12 SF, 10.18 CHI 11.53 SEA, 11.54 NOR, 13.65 STL: 14.43 Here are your best matchups for quarterbacks and wide receivers this week based on last five games only: Tm, Passing Pts/G KAN, 24.25 NYJ, 22.67 OAK, 22.40 MIN, 21.89
- Michael Salfino at Yahoo Sports5 days ago
Alex Smith got some bad breaks on Sunday with dropped passes, and you can say that those who speculated on him this week deserved a better fate. But the problem with being a team like the Chiefs is that you are not in the practice of passing. So when the need arises, it’s not second nature. Great quarterback play can overcome this only so far as the receivers are on the same page and accustomed to making the tougher catches that have to be made to win against an offense and quarterback of the caliber of the Broncos and Peyton Manning.
- Michael Salfino at Yahoo Sports9 days ago
The fantasy football playoffs are right around the corner, but we need to get there first. Here are some stats designed to help you mine the waiver wire and set your lineup in ways that maximize win probability.
Let's start with the basics, the teams that pass and run the most.
Most passing attempts per game thus far in 2013: Cleveland (43.4), Detroit(42.3), Atlanta (41), Denver (40.7), Houston (40), New Orleans (39.9),New England (39.1), Pittsburgh (38), Chicago (37.5), Cincinnati (37.4).
Fewest pass attempts: San Francisco (25.1), Seattle (26), Jets (30.4),Carolina (30.6), Oakland (30.7), Philadelphia (32), Tennessee (33.1),Tampa Bay (33.3), St. Louis (33.7).
But don't panic yet. Because big plays can make up for these volume problems and we¹re going to get to them in a bit.
First, let's look at rushing attempts the same way.
Most per game: Buffalo (33), Seattle (32.5), San Francisco (31.7),Carolina (31.3), Denver (30.9), Philadelphia (30.6), Washington (30.4),Jets (30), New England (29.5), Green Bay (29.1).
Fewest: Atlanta (18.8), Dallas (19.9), Miami (21), Cleveland (21.4),Jacksonville (22.9), Pittsburgh (23.7), Arizona (24.3), Giants (24.4),Chicago (24.8), Colts (24.9).
- Michael Salfino at Yahoo Sports12 days ago
“Hey, let’s throw to Dez Bryant,” the Cowboys finally resolved while his fantasy football owners sighed. Bryant had 16 targets and was robbed of a 10th catch and about 25 more yards just before the game-winning field goal with more “completing the act of catching” nonsense. Bryant will win championships this year for his owners. Again.
- Michael Salfino at Yahoo Sports26 days ago
The Colts are the sixth team since 1978 to have lost a home game by more than 30 points when they were favored by seven or more, according to www.Spreadapedia.com. This is not going to be a line on Andrew Luck’s resume. He salvaged some fantasy production but otherwise it was one of those days. But he’s a very good player who still could be great even though at this moment, he’s overhyped. I mean, if Luck was as good as everyone says he is, he'd be Russell Wilson. And he’s not. And don’t tell me Luck beat Wilson because then by the transitive property Kellen Clemens is better than them both. Nonsense.
- Michael Salfino at Yahoo Sports1 mth ago
Let’s start the Week 10 Splitsville by looking at average air yards per reception for wide receivers. These are the guys who do not need a lot of targets to be productive. I’m going to also note their catch rate, too. A leader in the air yards average with a catch rate over 60 percent is obviously very explosive while being relatively efficient, too:
[Watch: Andre Johnson's stock sky high]