Jeff Passan

  • How Jake Arrieta guaranteed the Cubs' wild-card victory three weeks ago

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 16 hrs ago

    PITTSBURGH – On the flight home, they were talking about possibilities. These Chicago Cubs are too young to understand the gravity of their optimism and the weight of their positivity, too footloose and fancy-free to wear the burden of more than a century. They live instead for the present and the future, and on Sept. 17, both looked promising. The Cubs had taken three straight games from the Pirates in Pittsburgh, and that got them talking: If they could just win the National League wild-card game against the Pirates in a few weeks, they might go deep into the playoffs, maybe even win the whole damn thing.

    Sitting on the periphery of the conversation was Jake Arrieta, the Cubs' ace and presumed starter for the wild card. He cast an annoyed look at the group, according to players on the plane, and slowly stood up. Arrieta wanted to address his teammates.

    "Boys," Arrieta said, "we're winning the one-game playoff."

    "I could just think of Namath guaranteeing the Super Bowl victory," Cubs manager Joe Maddon said. "That's all I could think of the last few days."

    "Oh, yeah," Arrieta said. "I'll work out twice."

  • How the Astros rode bat flips to a wild-card victory over the Yankees

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 1 day ago

    NEW YORK – The bat flip is a glorious thing, baseball's version of interpretive dance, ripe for creativity and flair and all of the other things systematically beaten out of players at a young age. Sometimes, blessedly, the deprogramming doesn't work. And for such insolence to end up on a stage like Yankee Stadium on Tuesday night, in the first game of the 2015 postseason no less, indeed tickled the bat-flip gods.

    What came of this weren't the sort of flips that will adorn highlight reels or make best-of lists. No overhead tomahawking or single-handed air-chuck or even a laser side-toss. Just the Houston Astros being the Houston Astros, which is as wonderful a thing as it is a story.

    Down went the Yankees in inglorious fashion, three-hit by a combination of Astros ace Dallas Keuchel – working on three days' rest for the first time in his career – and three relief pitchers from September's worst bullpen. It's October, of course, and the travails of last month mean nothing when great pitching marries the timely hitting worthy of some flippery.

    "We are a young team," Carlos Correa said. "We're going to have fun playing baseball."

  • 10 Degrees: It's season awards time

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 6 days ago

    This again. It’s like the American League MVP award exists to polarize the masses. It is baseball’s version of electoral politics, with the debates devolving into ad hominem attacks and factual misrepresentation and everything that pollutes discourse. It’s ugly and shameful and, fine, if you really want to know, it’s devilishly fun.

    Stay above the fray, and the Mike Trout-vs.-Miguel Cabrera debates of yore were tremendous mental exercises, offering the ability to debunk myths of the past using knowledge from the present. Baseball, an ever-evolving game, allowed us to see how a kid in center field can be better than a Triple Crown winner.

    This year’s deliberation is far more difficult, because Trout and Josh Donaldson are so very similar. They play important, difficult positions. Their offensive profiles are quite close. And amid the handful of meaningful games left in this 2015 season, they are putting on a daily anything-you-can-do-I-can-do-better show.

    On Saturday night, Trout did this.

    And then, less than 24 hours later, Donaldson did this.

    Traditional stats

    Here is Donaldson with: Runners on: .335/.409/.601 Runners in scoring position: .358/.445/.627 RISP with 2 outs: .254/.382/.444

  • Francisco Lindor's journey from Puerto Rico to AL Rookie of the Year favorite

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 8 days ago

    On the side of a house in Caguas, Puerto Rico, a hill descended about 100 yards into a swath of bushes. At the top stood Miguel Lindor, and he would instruct his son Francisco to move about halfway down. Miguel would grab one of those bouncy, yellow rubber balls and whack it toward Francisco, again and again, every chance fraught with peril.

    “If I missed a groundball,” Francisco Lindor said, “I had to chase the ball.” He did everything he could to stop the ball from getting past him. Throw his glove at it. Try to knock it toward a tree and get a kind ricochet. Or, best of all, hoover it and fling it back to Miguel so he could tempt fate one more time.

    What Francisco Lindor is today – 5-foot-11, 190 pounds of instinct draped in a Cleveland Indians uniform, doing things at the shortstop position not seen there since Omar Vizquel last patrolled the infield at Progressive Field, and sneaking up to position himself as the leading candidate for American League Rookie of the Year because his bat is every bit as precocious as his glove – comes directly from those afternoons in Caguas and the lessons he learned before moving to Florida as a teenager.

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  • How much does Bryce Harper actually hustle? Quite a lot

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 9 days ago

    Bryce Harper is a walking kick-me sign, his every move guaranteed to draw the ire of those who don't know him and don't care what he stands for. It's how Jonathan Papelbon's hands ended up around the neck of Harper, his Washington Nationals teammate, on Sunday: He ignored facts and let perceptions guide his stupidity.

    Let's delve into these perceptions and facts, because they're central to the absolution of Harper at a time where his greatest sin was allowing a troglodyte relief pitcher to burrow into his head.

    Perception: Harper does not hustle.

    Fact: Harper's average time from home to first base is among the top one-third in all of baseball. His average speed down the line is even higher than that. He hustles pretty damn hard actually.'s Statcast system tracks every runner who puts a ball in play and clocks his speed from home to first. A query of the Statcast database looked at who ran the fastest time (on plays that took between 3.5 and 5.5 seconds) and who had the best top-end speed.

    Perception: Harper did not run out his pop fly to left field in Sunday's game.

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  • 10 Degrees: The incredible run of Jake Arrieta and his minuscule ERA

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 10 days ago

    As they spent draft picks and money to build a war chest of bats, the Chicago Cubs always came back to the same thought: We'll find pitching. There was some cockiness to this, as there is to much of what the Cubs do, because the people who run the organization know they're good at their jobs and have seen their process manifest itself in diamond-encrusted rings.

    Some of the arms would come through their checkbook. They tried for Masahiro Tanaka; they succeeded with Jon Lester. Others came through savvy: Getting Jason Hammel on the cheap not once but twice, nabbing Kyle Hendricks in a trade. And then there was the case of a tall, well-put-together right-hander who at age 27 looked to the rest of the world like little more than another pitching prospect who simply didn't pan out.

    The Cubs saw something different in Jake Arrieta, and when they acquired him July 2, 2013, in exchange for free agent-to-be Scott Feldman, so began the two-year buildup to one of the finest stretches of pitching in history.

    Nobody wants to face him today, not in a five- or seven-game series and especially not in a one-and-done game. It's the hitter's equivalent to what pitchers face when …

  • 25 Things You Didn’t Know About Baseball: Bryce Harper vs. Ted Williams

    14 days ago

    Never has there been a better time to understand baseball and the minutiae that defines every game. We know the speed of every pitch and the speed of the ball off the bat. We know how far fielders run and how fast they run and how far they throw and how fast they throw. You want it, they’ve got it. Modern baseball is Amazon for the curious.

    Trying to scrape together 25 Things You Didn’t Know About Baseball, then, gets tougher and tougher every year. Thankfully, FanGraphs, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball-Reference, Baseball Savant, Hardball Times, Brooks Baseball and StatCorner all exist. They’re run by people evermore curious, and their incredible insight, thirst for numbers and indispensible databases inspired much of this column. So enjoy the information dump that follows and know that it's but a fraction of the knowledge being traded among the inquisitive who find the intricacies of the game as fascinating as the game itself.


  • Yogi Berra: A celebration of baseball, life and a man's legacy of words

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 15 days ago

    “When you come to a fork in the road, take it.”

    Born to immigrants in St. Louis, storming the beach at Normandy, shot later in World War II, behind the plate for the New York Yankees, in the dugout for them and the New York Mets, kibitzing around New Jersey with his beloved wife, Carmen, Yogi Berra bebopped from place to place, moment to moment, his presence a vortex. Berra’s pull was gravitational, and it made his famous quotes all the more powerful. People didn’t latch on to what Berra said because of what he did. They found meaning in his words because of who he was. For the pocket philosopher who tries to translate Yogi-isms, this one – which sprung from a split road that ended up at his home on either path – is quite simple: Trust yourself.

    "Baseball is 90 percent mental. The other half is physical."

    “It’s like déjà vu all over again.”

    "I always thought that record would stand until it was broken."

    “You can observe a lot by watching.”

    “I didn't really say everything I said.”

    "You should always go to other people's funerals. Otherwise, they won't come to yours."

    “It ain’t over ’til it’s over.”

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  • Sources: Korean outfielder plans to enter posting system this offseason

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 16 days ago

    Korean outfielder Ah-Seop Son plans to enter the posting system this offseason, sources told Yahoo Sports, paving the way for his arrival in Major League Baseball next year and continuing the expected infusion of Korean position players after the success of Pittsburgh infielder Jung-Ho Kang this season.

    Son, 27, is a left-handed hitting, right-handed throwing corner outfielder whose forte is more hitting for a high average and getting on base than the power-hitting Kang. The 5-foot-9, 190-pound Son has hit better than .300 for six consecutive seasons with the Lotte Giants of the Korean Baseball Organization.

    His best season came in 2014, when he batted .362/.456/.538 and won a fourth consecutive Gold Glove, which is given to the best overall player at his position in the KBO. This year, Son is hitting .324/.412/.476 and shows enough power to quell concerns he’s simply a slap hitter.

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  • 10 Degrees: Playoff possibilities could be a picture of pure chaos

    Jeff Passan at Yahoo Sports 17 days ago

    Considering the tectonic shift in the American League playoff picture over the last two weeks, the opportunity exists for pure, unadulterated chaos over the final half-month of the season. Technically, this scenario is feasible: Three teams tie for the AL West championship and four others outside the division match their record. It is like baseball drawn by Picasso, a thought so abstract that even MLB’s official tie-breaking procedures, all 2,366 convoluted words of them, do not bother to dream it up.

    And yet if the New York Yankees, Texas Rangers and Houston Astros falter, the Los Angeles Angels and Minnesota Twins forge ahead and the Cleveland Indians and Baltimore Orioles surge, the seven-way tie for three playoff spots could happen. Reality, of course, reminds us that the chance of it is about the same as Yoenis Cespedes winning National League MVP.

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    So it’s possible that the …

    ERA: 17th Bullpen ERA: 16th Strikeouts per 9: 25th Walks per 9: 18th Batting average: 5th On-base percentage: 2nd Slugging percentage: 13th Home runs: 17th Runs: 7th