Dobber Hockey

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Why Mark Giordano is a stud, Matt Niskanen a dud

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 4 days ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website   DobberHockey   back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.

    Every season as we draw closer to the quarter pole, I wander over to BehindtheNet.ca to take a look at some of the extreme PDO results. Any earlier in the season and the results are too volatile for my taste. The reality is they're too volatile now, but at least the stats are starting to settle down, which makes it easier to find some of the players who are over- or under-achieving.

    The PDO is a very basic stat - a quick measurement of luck, more or less, but one that can draw your attention to certain players who warrant further investigation. Here are the notable players with PDO (and, generally speaking, On-Ice Sh%) numbers that are too high. Their current pace is probably not sustainable and if one were to play the odds they would "sell high" on these players at some point over the next month.

    And on the flip side, here are some notable players with a lower PDO and in many cases a rather abysmal On-Ice Sh%. These guys should see a market correction over time.

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Why Tyler Johnson is a stud, Cody Hodgson a dud

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 12 days ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website   DobberHockey   back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.

    In the NHL today, the consensus is that although line combinations that work are a treat to watch, the trio rarely stays together  long enough to get a clever nickname. That's why "That 70's Line" is the most talked about line in hockey. There may be better lines out there, such as the one Dallas boasts, but until that line gets a fancy nickname - it will play second fiddle to the Jeff Carter - Tyler Toffoli - Tanner Pearson troika.

    Here are the most productive even-strength line combinations in hockey so far (via a report run at Frozen Pool):

    These fellas are wielding a hot stick. Take that into consideration when you go after them in trade talks...

    Somebody wake these guys up – their fantasy owners are counting on them...  

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Why is Nick Bonino still on the waiver wire?

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 19 days ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website   DobberHockey   back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.

    The Winnipeg Jets are winning hockey games. Five of the last six, actually. And while reading that may very possibly have caused your jaw to drop, the knowledge that captain Andrew Ladd has been on fire probably won't. Ladd certainly has his hot streaks and in leagues that count hits and shots on goal (along with the usual categories), he's actually been the best skater to own lately. Here are the top 25 skaters in roto hockey over the last two weeks (courtesy of the free tools over at Frozen Pool):

    These fellas are wielding a hot stick. Take that into consideration when you go after them in trade talks...

    Erik Johnson, Colorado Avalanche (7-2-6-8, plus-3, 0 PIM, 19 SOG) - Destined for career highs, EJ continues his steady development into could eventually be one of the best defensemen in the league. He's a blueliner who should be owned in all leagues, yet is just 75% owned in Yahoo.  

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Why Henrik Zetterberg is a stud, Alex Semin a dud

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 26 days ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website   DobberHockey   back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.

    At this point, 40 players are on pace for 80 points. Let's assume that it's not 1984 and this won't happen. In some cases, this won't even be close. Here are some current point-per-game players as October comes to an end, who will be lucky to get 55 points this campaign:

    Nick Foligno, Columbus Blue Jackets - Foligno's upside is very similar to his dad's. And although Mike had an 80-point season, that happened in the 80s - an era in which 70-point players were considered fourth-line checkers. Adjust for the era and Nick is probably going to be a 55-point player. When he returns from his "stinger," his numbers will start to slow when Boone Jenner and the rest of the walking wounded get back.

    Kevin Shattenkirk, St. Louis Blues - I say that Shattenkirk will be lucky to reach 55 because he does this every year. He's one of the top scoring defensemen in the league at the 15 or 20 game mark and then  ends up with around 45.  

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Why Tyler Seguin a Stud, Matt Moulson a Dud

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 1 mth ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website   DobberHockey   back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.  

    Most teams are about six or seven games into the season and poolies are starting to get antsy about their goaltenders. But let's not forget that on October 31, 2013 Henrik Lundqvist was 3-5-0 with a 0.908 SV%. And Jonathan Quick was 8-4-0, which was pretty good but in fantasy his 0.903 SV% wasn't quite as rewarding. Here are some struggling netminders - and how you should play them…

    Steve Mason, Philadelphia Flyers - Mason is also a Golden Boy. The Flyers are desperate for a young goaltender with upside to become the face of the franchise and they'll be giving Mason all the easy match-ups they possibly can. Meanwhile, Emery will get the tough opponents (look no further than Thursday night). What I'm saying is - no matter how much Mason sucks, and he'll certainly have his moments, he's still getting 30 to 34 wins.

    These fellas are wielding a hot stick. Take that into consideration when you go after them in trade talks... 

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Why Rick Nash is a stud, Gabriel Landeskog is a dud

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 1 mth ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website   DobberHockey   back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.

    The season is early and that's the perfect time to pick up on some early trends in the supplemental categories. While it's a terrible time to put any stock in Brock Nelson's big goals/assists numbers and it's an even worse time to panic about the Boston Bruins or the Colorado Avalanche, it's a great time to find some gems when it comes to hits or blocked shots. Not many poolies are well-schooled in those categories, especially when it comes to rookies or sophomores, as those categories aren't published in lesser leagues.

    Courtesy of Frozen Pool, here are the early blocked shots (BLKS) leaders:

    These fellas are wielding a hot stick. Take that into consideration when you go after them in trade talks...  

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Finding gems on the early-season waiver wire

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 1 mth ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website DobberHockey back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.

    Usually when I do this column I run through some of the hot and cold sticks from around the league. But of course we're just one day in - eight teams have played one game - so that's obviously not going to get us anywhere. Although Phil Kessel is pointless in one game so you should probably drop him.

    We do have some preseason data, via Frozen Pool, and I ran the league leaders in hits in the preseason. Note that a handful of games were without data, so not all the games were entered here:

    It looks like Kane is on a mission, which is a good sign if you're a Kane owner. But it's interesting to see some of the young players such as Chaput and Bjorkstrand on here as we're generally not privy to information on hits in the AHL and Canadian Junior ranks.

    Michael Hutchinson, Winnipeg Jets - He's behind Ondrej Pavelec. Give this a few weeks. Of all the backup goaltenders, Hutchinson is the one guy who best has an opportunity to take the top job before Christmas.

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: The impact of linemates

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 1 mth ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website DobberHockey back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.  

    Most fantasy owners put a lot of stock in who a player plays with. Not me. After all, an NHL coach will change up his lines more frequently than Wyshynski types up hockey columns, so why on earth would I base a decision on that? That being said, I'm not an idiot (well, debatable, but work with me here) - there are 15 or 20 players out there who really will see big shifts in fantasy value as a result of his linemates. It's just that there are many fantasy owners who treat every player's line as etched in stone. Take it from me, who puts out a Fantasy Guide that includes line combos and gets inundated with emails about how Player X shouldn't be on the third line because he scrimmaged on the second line the other day. But I digress.

    It was thought that Brock Nelson would be the best fit for that plum spot, but he has been very strong as a centerman and it doesn't look like he'll be moved back to the wing any time soon.

    Uh…Ryan…Garbutt?

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: 15 hunches heading into the 2014-15 season

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 2 mths ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website DobberHockey back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.  

    We all have our hunches. And of course, we let them influence our selections at the draft table. But that's a good thing provided your hunch isn't completely ridiculous like believing Matt Moulson became a 30-goal scorer on his own merit. And you don't want to move a player up or down 10 rounds because of a hunch either. Hunches are just for tweaking.

    If you want a few of my hunches, which will absolutely be better than yours (unless they're not), here you go…

    I don't think anyone is drafting Heatley in the first seven or eight rounds just because he's playing on a line with Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry. But some may be tempted in that 10th or 11th round to do so. No thank you. Of course, if he falls to 18 or 19 then of course I'll take him. But there are better gambles in those middle rounds than Heatley such as…well anyone, ever.  

  • NHL Fantasy Hockey: Finding late round gems in your draft

    Dobber Hockey at Puck Daddy 2 mths ago

    Dobber launched his fantasy hockey website DobberHockey back in 2005 and has been Puck Daddy's resident fantasy hockey 'expert' since 2009.

    Yeah, winning or losing your league depends on your success rate with some of the sleepers you take in the later rounds blah blah blah. All sleeper articles say the same thing in the intro, so I'll forego that and get to the goods.

    Here are my picks for the late round gems, 2014-15 edition. All players below have an average draft position (Yahoo!) of 147th overall or later and an average round drafted of 14 or later…

    [ Yahoo Sports Fantasy Hockey: It's time to join a league today! ]

    (Average Pick, Average Round)

    Andrej Sekera, Carolina Hurricanes (165.5, 14.9) - Looks like poolies aren't trusting our little one-hit wonder. But who is going to knock him off the power play, Ryan Murphy? Justin Faulk? John-Michael L-hahahaha I can't even finish that name. It ain't happening. Sekera had 44 points last season and is in the prime of his career. Trust me - and trust him.