YOUR FRIENDS' ACTIVITY

    Andy Behrens

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    Andy is the editor of Roto Arcade. He blogs on baseball and football.

    • Ryan Howard, the most under-appreciated, undervalued name in fantasy

      Ryan Howard, obvious rebound candidate (Getty)There's an easy profit to be made on Ryan Howard this season. Easy.

      No, maybe not for his real-life team — the Phillies owe Howard no less than $105 million over the next five years, so they probably don't feel great about the price tag. But if you're a fantasy owner willing to wait until Rounds 8-10 to draft your first baseman, then this is your guy. At Howard's current price — his average Yahoo! draft position is 98.7, his auction value $11.4 — he seems, to me, like the most absurdly under-appreciated name in the player pool.

      [Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

      Let's recall that Howard is just a season removed from a 33-homer, 116-RBI campaign, finishing at No. 55 in the overall fantasy ranks in 2011. That year of course ended horribly for the player and the team, as Howard tore his left Achilles while making the final out of the NLDS. He then limped through a messy half-season in 2012, dealing with rehab, infection and inactivity. He didn't make an appearance in extended spring action until early-June and didn't return to the Phillies lineup until July.

      When he finally made it back to the bigs, he was slower and larger and more strikeout-prone than ever. Plus he was unusually inept against left-handers (.173/.226/.378).

      Read More »from Ryan Howard, the most under-appreciated, undervalued name in fantasy
    • Bobby V, also not welcome in my auctions (USAT Images)

      Eventually, as we get deeper into draft season, the Roto Arcade team will get around to publishing the usual lists of do's and don'ts for fantasy auctions. And it will be an awesome list, loaded with wickedly insightful tips like, "Don't leave dollars on the table" and "Don't overpay for career years" — stuff you couldn't possibly figure out on your own.

      But today, we have a different objective. Today, we're simply discussing behavioral issues.

      Before we give you advice to help dominate at the auction table, we first need to ensure that you aren't the chucklehead who destroys the auction for everyone else.

      [Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

      If you're thinking that perhaps this feature is being written as an angry reaction to a very recent draft experience ... well, yeah. That's exactly what this is. Had a little too much exposure to this tool...

      Read More »from Fantasy Rant: The three managers who can ruin any auction, and who should just be banned indefinitely
    • Jedd Gyorko goes (very) deep in first spring at-bat

      Jedd Gyorko, post-slam (USAT Images)

      OK, so we're talking about a home run in a meaningless game, hit against a pitcher who is verifiably bad at pitching. I get that. But still: JEDD GYORKO WENT DEEP.

      Seattle right-hander Hector Noesi presented him with a 2-1 fastball on Friday, and Gyorko smoked it. Grand slam. Not a bad way to open the Cactus League season, if you're hoping to claim a big league job.

      For those who aren't familiar with Gyorko's story, he's a 24-year-old Padres prospect who hit like a machine in the high minors last season. Gyorko began his year at Double-A and finished in the Pacific Coast League, delivering 30 homers and a .311/.373/.547 slash along the way. This spring, he's attempting to claim the second base job in San Diego — not a given, since he's spent most of his minor league career at third.

      Read More »from Jedd Gyorko goes (very) deep in first spring at-bat
    • Starting Nine: Giancarlo Stanton, beaned but unbroken

      Giancarlo Stanton, pre-beaning (Getty)

      Giancarlo Stanton, unrivaled star of a dreadful Marlins roster, was hit in the helmet on Wednesday by a Jose Fernandez fastball, but there's no obvious reason for anyone to panic — Fernandez included. This from the AP...

      Giancarlo Stanton spotted downcast teammate Jose Fernandez in the Miami Marlins' clubhouse Thursday and flashed him a grin.

      ''Relax,'' Stanton said. ''Relax.''

      [...]

      X-rays were negative, there was no sign of a concussion, and Stanton said his vision returned to normal after a few hours. He expects to play in the Marlins' first spring training game Saturday.

      All of that was good news for the Marlins, and especially for the 20-year-old Fernandez, who is in his first major-league spring training camp.

      So this is apparently not a crisis situation. I just needed something to headline today's news & notes feature. Stanton's biggest issue this season by far will be finding someone willing to throw him a strike.

      You should probably file away Fernandez's name for later use, by the way, if you haven't done so already. The young righty went 14-1 at two Single-A stops last season, striking out 158 batters and walking just 35 in 134.0 innings. His ERA was just 1.75, his WHIP 0.93. It's not out of the question that Fernandez could make his major league debut in 2013, but he'll first need to log a few effective innings at Double-A.

      [Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

      Read More »from Starting Nine: Giancarlo Stanton, beaned but unbroken
    • The Angels’ lineup, now with 7 percent more Mike Trout

      Mike Trout (USAT Images)Each spring, we encounter stories about players who've gained or lost 10 to 30 pounds. And no matter which direction these dudes move on the weight chart, the fantasy community usually gets excited. We're either thinking, "He's huge! Best shape of his life! Breakout!" or it's, "Cat-quick! Best shape of his life! Career year!"

      Generally speaking, we just really like change.

      [Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

      One of this year's gainers is 21-year-old Mike Trout, the guy who ranked as last season's most valuable fantasy commodity. Trout's fantasy value in 2012 was, of course, largely tied to his speed. The kid swiped 49 bags in only 54 attempts, plus he scored 129 runs in just 139 games. Thus, his increased mass seems notable, maybe even troubling. This from the L.A. Times...

      Mike Trout assures you he is not fat.

      Yes, the 21-year-old outfielder reported to spring training at 241 pounds, about 10 to 15 pounds more than he weighed in 2012 and five pounds heavier than slugger Albert Pujols, who checked in at 236.

      [...]

      But most of the added weight is muscle — Trout's body fat is 9% — and he expects to lose about 10 pounds during camp, which would put him right around the weight he finished last season at, 230 pounds.

      Trout is actually listed by the team at 210, which led to reports that he actually put on as much as 30 pounds. The point is, there's now more Mike Trout in the world, which can't be a bad thing.

      Unless his speed is compromised. That wouldn't help anyone.

      Read More »from The Angels’ lineup, now with 7 percent more Mike Trout
    • Draftable dozen: The top 12 prospects for fantasy baseball in 2013

      Adam Eaton (Getty Images)

      If we were coming off a typical major league season in terms of rookie production, then I'd use my introductory paragraphs today to caution you against an over-reliance on first-year players. I'd recommend that you avoid the pitfalls of prospect hoarding — that you view these kids as trade chips, not as key contributors.

      But of course we're not coming off a typical season. In 2012, Mike Trout finished atop the overall fantasy ranks despite spending the first month of the season with the Salt Lake Bees. Bryce Harper, at age 19, gave the Nats a 22-homer, 18-steal campaign while scoring 98 runs and hitting .270/.340/.477.

      There's no reason to think that 2013 will produce another Trout or Harper, obviously, so fantasy drafters shouldn't expect any rookie to carry their fake teams. However, I'm also not gonna tell you that you shouldn't quietly hope for a monster season from one of the new arrivals.

      [Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

      Today, we're ranking the prospect class for short-term fantasy impact, looking only at the year ahead. REPEAT: We're looking only at the year ahead. If you're hoping to draft the nucleus of your 2015 title winning team this spring, then you'll want to work from a different list. But if you're planning for 2013 — as most of you should be — then here are a dozen names to target, in the order I'd draft 'em...

      Read More »from Draftable dozen: The top 12 prospects for fantasy baseball in 2013
    • Pressing Questions: The Baltimore Orioles

      The Os dugout was typically a happy place in 2012 (Getty Images)

      If we would have told you last spring that Nick Markakis, Nolan Reimold and Brian Roberts were going to combine for only 553 at-bats in 2012, then you probably would have assumed the Orioles were in for a lousy season.

      Of course it's possible you would have predicted a lousy season for the Os under any circumstances, no matter how that trio performed. On paper, Baltimore looked ... well, lousy.

      Yet the 2012 Orioles somehow managed to win 93 games, despite only scoring seven more runs than they allowed. Deep into September, the team actually had a negative run-differential. They finished with a record of 29-9 in one-run games, which is insane, and they were 74-0 when leading after seven innings.

      [Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

      The Os haven't made any splashy additions during the off-season — we're assuming you aren't dazzled by names like "Valencia" or "Jurrjens" — but they also haven't lost any essential pieces. (No disrespect intended, Joe Saunders. Slight disrespect for you, Mark Reynolds). And they'll presumably get a full year from 20-year-old Manny Machado. And the heart-of-the-order hitters — Adam Jones, Matt Wieters, Chris Davis — are just entering their prime years. And Baltimore has a pair of elite pitching prospects in the system, Dylan Bundy and Kevin Gausman. And Markakis is returning, as are Reimold and Rob--

      Well, OK, I'm not making promises about Brian Roberts.

      Still, there's talent in this organization. Maybe not enough to reach 90 wins again, but certainly enough to help the fantasy community.

      Read More »from Pressing Questions: The Baltimore Orioles
    • Pressing Questions: The Pittsburgh Pirates

      Aaaaarrrrgh. (USAT Sports Images)

      In a series like Pressing Questions, where our mission is to explore the biggest unknowns facing each team, the Pirates are a nightmare to write. This is a dumpster-diving team that collects unknowns, that seeks out reclamation projects. For years, the Bucs have been picking from the MLB discard pile. A few seasons ago it was Andy LaRoche, then Lastings Milledge and Jeff Clement. Then it was James McDonald, Erik Bedard, AJ Burnett, Gaby Sanchez and Travis Snider. This year, it's Jerry Sands, Mark Melancon, Francisco Liriano, Felix Pie and Jonathan Sanchez.

      Pittsburgh is basically the 1-800-GOT-JUNK? of Major League Baseball. Thus, the Pirates are a tricky team to consider in a feature that's supposed to focus on uncertainties.

      [Baseball 2013 from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports: Join a league today!]

      An unusual team like this requires an unusual approach. Today I'm scrapping the Q&A gimmick, because this squad has an unlimited number of Qs and very few obvious As. We're simply going to go position-by-position, with a few thoughts on the Bucs' excellent farm system sprinkled in along the way. Let's dive in...

      Read More »from Pressing Questions: The Pittsburgh Pirates
    • Pressing Questions: The St. Louis Cardinals

      Cardinal party! (Getty Images)

      St. Louis will open 2013 with a lineup that looks nearly identical to the group that dropped Game 7 of the NLCS last October ... and that seems perfectly OK. Last year's team was excellent.

      The Cardinals won 88 games in 2012, posting the NL's second-best run differential, then edged Atlanta in the wild card play-in game (thanks in part to a ridiculous, rally-killing ruling that went against the Braves). There have been a few off-season personnel losses, but nothing devastating. Lance Berkman is gone, though he barely played last year. Kyle Lohse is out of the picture, too, a free agent linked to several teams. The Cards will have little trouble replacing Puma's production — Allen Craig takes over at first base — but Lohse's 200-plus innings are another matter. The veteran is coming off a career year: 16-3, 2.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP. And it sounds like Chris Carpenter won't pitch this season, his career in jeopardy due to persistent arm issues.

      Still, it's not as if the Cards will be completely without pitching in 2013. Adam Wainwright is entering a contract year, now two seasons removed from Tommy John surgery. Lance Lynn is coming off an 18-win campaign, Jaime Garcia is presumably healthy, and Jake Westbrook is still lurking. Shelby Miller, Joe Kelly and Trevor Rosenthal are in the mix, too.

      And then there's this nugget: St. Louis has the best farm system in baseball, according to pretty much everyone who rates such things. Here's Sickels, here's Law, here's BA. The Cardinals are well-positioned for success over multiple seasons.

      Read More »from Pressing Questions: The St. Louis Cardinals
    • Pressing Questions: The Cincinnati Reds

      Mr. Redlegs & Rosie, wide-eyed and terrifying (USAT Sports)

      Cincinnati has claimed the N.L. Central flag in two of the past three seasons, winning 97 games last year, and this team has to be considered the favorite to take the division title in 2013. Last year's pitching staff was outstanding, ranking fourth in MLB in team ERA (3.34), third in WHIP (1.23) and fourth in quality starts (98) — crazy numbers when you consider the fact that Great American Ball Park is among the most hitter-friendly (and power-friendly) environments in baseball.

      The Reds have added Shin-Soo Choo to the lineup this season, presumably in the lead-off spot, giving the team a table-setter with respectable speed, pop, and on-base skills (.381 career OBP). Choo will be followed in the batting order by Brandon Phillips, Joey Votto, Ryan Ludwick and Jay Bruce, four guys who've collectively made eight All-Star appearances, winning three Silver Sluggers and an MVP award.

      In a nutshell, this team should not have much trouble scoring runs, nor preventing runs. That's a decent combo. It's a good time to be a Reds fan. Cincy appears to be poised for a period of sustained success. Votto is under contract for the next decade-plus, Bruce is locked up through 2017, and both Johnny Cueto and Mat Latos are under team control through 2015.

      Read More »from Pressing Questions: The Cincinnati Reds

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