Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 1 day ago
Realistically, you will not become a zillionaire by playing daily fantasy baseball. Sorry to smack you with cold truth right here at the top, but there it is. Advertising efforts from various DFS sites may have convinced you that such games offer a clear and easy path to extreme, life-changing wealth, but, um ... no, probably not happening.
In fact, a comprehensive review of the Forbes 400 list will reveal that zero of our richest citizens acquired their fortunes via daily fantasy games.
However, this fact doesn't mean you can't still profit by dabbling in DFS. Daily games are really an excellent complement to the standard fantasy portfolio. If you regret not drafting any shares of, say, Taijuan Walker or Nolan Arenado or whoever else, you can always find opportunities for single-serving ownership in daily.
Know your scoring settings
REPEAT: KNOW YOUR SETTINGS
Vegas is your friend
Pitching is priceless
Don't obsess over batter-vs.-pitcher stats
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 6 days ago
It would not be entirely accurate to say that I entered this year's A.L.-only Tout Wars auction with a highly detailed and thoroughly vetted plan.
No, plan is definitely the wrong term.
Last year I had a well-rehearsed plan, executed it reasonably well, and then four of my players suffered season-ending injuries almost immediately. Mike Trout couldn't do it all by himself. My pitching staff was basically Yordano Ventura and five dudes who threw like Boof Bonser. That is to say, it was not a good pitching staff.
At a very basic level, of course, the idea in any fantasy auction is to use your $260 budget to purchase a group of players you believe will deliver far greater than $260 in value. And then you need to remember to address all statistical categories while simultaneously tracking the needs of your competitors ... and their dwindling auction resources, and their bidding habits.
C: Jason Castro $13, Geovany Soto $2
And now for the arms...
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 9 days ago
If you were under the impression that spring training existed entirely as a showcase for Kris Bryant's ridiculous power and for no other reason ... well, we get it. Bryant's dominance has certainly been the top story from the exhibition season. When a prospect slugs eight homers over just 29 plate appearances, hype is gonna happen. It's unavoidable.
However, Bryant actually isn't the only player making noise this spring — he's been the noisiest, sure, but he's not alone.
Today, our purpose is to discuss other players who've surged in March, several of whom have earned opening day roster spots. We're diving relatively deep here, just for the record, well beyond the early rounds in standard fantasy drafts. You shouldn't need us to tell you about Mike Trout's 1.459 spring OPS, or Brandon Belt's .333/.467/.722 slash. Those guys are well established. The players mentioned below have much, much more to prove.
Joc Pederson, OF, LAD
Taijuan Walker, SP, SEA
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 14 days ago
Closers are really a fantasy nuisance.
You're a fool if you draft them early — or if you draft too many of them — because we all know several new sources of saves will emerge during the season. Happens every year. Something like one-third of closing jobs will flip at some point.
But of course if you don't draft any closers — or if you limit yourself to just one — then you'll spend the next six months of your life targeting saves on the wire. And for most of us, that's not much fun. Nor is it entirely practical if you're a normal human, instead of a fantasy professional.
If you desperately need reliever ranks, we've got you covered right here.
[Want to join a league and live draft right now? Go to the Yahoo Draft Lobby]
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 16 days ago
On Monday afternoon, Chicago Cubs prospect Kris Bryant had a miserable day at the plate by his recent standards, merely going 1-for-3 with an opposite field double off the wall.
Bryant is now nine games into his second spring with the Cubs and he's 10-for-23 with two doubles, six homers and an OPS of 1.804. No other ballplayer on any team has hit more than three spring home runs.
This is a conversation, gamers, not a monologue...
Related MLB video:
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 16 days ago
Whatever statistical lines of demarcation you've used in the past to define good, bad and ordinary pitching performances, it's well past time for an update. We've hammered away at this general theme in earlier Position Primers, you might have noticed. The run-scoring environment has changed substantially in recent seasons, so fantasy managers need to adapt.
Back in 2004, for example, the Atlanta Braves led all major league teams in ERA at 3.74. Last year, the average MLB pitching staff posted a 3.74 ERA. Seventeen teams finished below that number, and the average National League ERA was 3.66.
Among all individual pitchers who tossed more than 140.0 innings in '04, only 19 posted ERAs below 3.50. Last season, 26 pitchers delivered sub-3.00 ERAs with over 140 frames of work, and 48 hurlers were below 3.50.
2014 – 51 2013 – 44 2012 – 38 2011 – 39 2010 – 26 2009 – 26 2008 – 24 2007 – 21 2006 – 20 2005 – 30 2004 – 17 2003 – 20 2002 – 14 2001 – 17 2000 – 13
That's silly, right?
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 20 days ago
The outfield is where you'll find ... well, everything.
Whatever you need, it's available in the outfield. All hitting stats, all player traits. This roster spot is where the four and five-category fantasy commodities tend to reside. The top-two overall picks in an average Yahoo draft are a pair of outfielders — Mike Trout and Andrew McCutchen — and four additional OF-eligible players are typically selected among the overall top-ten.
Simply put, fantasy is a numbers game, and the outfield is rich with numbers. If you adhere too strictly to position-scarcity draft principles in the opening rounds, you'll whiff on several of the game's most productive, bankable, multi-category assets.
Bottom line: If you deliberately avoid this position at the top of your draft, you're choosing to pass on fantasy's most useful and reliable stars. Does that sound like a winning approach?
Position averages for the top-60 outfielders, last three years
OUTFIELD TIERS TIER ONE
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 21 days ago
Not so long ago, back when middle infielders were supposed to look like this dude or this dude, we expected the best of them to hit 30-plus home runs. Today, in a much different run-scoring environment, our projections for second basemen and shortstops are relatively modest.
Only six middle infielders reached the 20-homer plateau last season, and none topped Ian Desmond's 24. Only four middles finished the year with more than 80 RBIs, and none reached 100. Banking on significant production in the power categories from these spots, is ... well, it's probably a terrible plan.
But really, all you're guaranteed to find at these positions — up and down your draft board — are pressing questions. For example...
Can Javier Baez somehow not strike out 250 times, if he plays a full season?
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 27 days ago
Many of you have been managing fantasy baseball teams for a decade or more, so you can remember a time when power stats were available everywhere , at all positions. Back in the day, we used to get 25 and 30-homer seasons from middle infielders who weren't even particularly skilled at hitting — like this guy and this guy.
Power was unavoidable. Everyone cleared the fences.
These days, however, power isn't so widely available.
We should also note that last year's minor league home run leaderboard was dominated by corner infielders, including third base prospects Kris Bryant (43) and Joey Gallo (42), as well as 20-year-old first baseman Matt Olson (37). Miguel Sano is on his way, too, following a year lost to injury. And Yasmany Tomas has been known to reach the seats.
Andy Behrens at Roto Arcade 29 days ago
In leagues with standard Yahoo settings, there are basically two acceptable ways to address the position of catcher on draft day:
1) Get Buster Posey in the early rounds, or...
2) Wait it out and find a value — and when it seems like you've finally waited long enough, wait another round or two.
Seriously, with the exception of Buster, this position is really a minefield of uninteresting numbers and grossly inflated prices. Last season, Posey was the only catcher to finish among the top-50 overall fantasy assets in the year-end ranks (No. 42). In fact, over the past 15 years he's one of just four backstops to have delivered that sort of value. Here's the full list of the catchers who've achieved top-50 status in recent seasons:
[Related: Dishing on Gattis, and other catchers]